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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Wee Mac Kateb 2y 26 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 99 | 100 | 66 (4) | 78 (3) | 73 (3) | 92 (1) | 66 (4) | 85 (2) | 65 (4) | 52 (5) | 66 (4) | 93 (1) | 32 | 31 | 22 | - | 74 | 40 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Getaway Card 2y 26 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 0 | 87 (1) | 76 (2) | 65 (4) | 79 (2) | 83 (1) | 41 (5) | 100 (1) | 66 (4) | 83 (5) | - | 18 | 34 | 24 | 17 | 76 | 36 | 4 | 5/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Savana Ribenab 2y 25 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 88 | 100 | 60 (4) | 54 (5) | 85 (1) | 60 (5) | 45 (6) | 71 (3) | 72 (3) | 65 (3) | 69 (3) | 17 (4) | 1 | 10 | - | - | 62 | 19 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Savana Magiqueb 2yN/R 34 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 13 | 100 | 33 (4) | 38 (4) | 26 (6) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 19 (5) | 24 (4) | 29 (2) | 27 (3) | 30 (3) | - | 15 | - | - | 33 | 15 | - | - | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Made Of Stoned 2y 27 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 0 | 72 (3) | 86 (1) | 83 (1) | 58 (5) | 81 (2) | 53 (5) | 77 (1) | 79 (2) | 52 (2) | - | 37 | 38 | 17 | 18 | 73 | 40 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Homestead Annab 5y 47 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 0 | 82 (2) | 100 (1) | 99 (1) | 79 (3) | 82 (4) | 73 (4) | 79 (3) | 83 (2) | 100 (1) | 67 (6) | 30 | 42 | 17 | 24 | 86 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wee Mac Kate | No 659m form -- all ten recent starts were over 462 metres. Times not directly comparable. | — | No 659m form | ||||
| 2 | Getaway Car | 41.09 | 41.29 | 41.20 | 52 | +0.11 | Won last 659m start | |
| 3 | Savana Ribena | No 659m form -- all recent starts have been over 462 metres. Times not directly comparable. | — | No 659m form | ||||
| 4 | Savana Magique | No 659m form -- recent starts have been over 277 and 462 metres, a huge step up in trip today. | — | Huge trip jump | ||||
| 5 | Made Of Stone | 41.35 | 41.35 | 41.35 | 44 | 0.00 | Best trap in field | |
| 6 | Homestead Anna | 41.16 | 41.45 | 41.29 | 46 | +0.13 | Model pick | |
There's no established profile for Yarmouth's marathon 659-metre trip, so the general staying-trip principles apply here rather than anything specific to this track: extra distance rewards stamina and a strong closing effort, and on a fair, well-cambered circuit like this one the draw shouldn't be overplayed even at this longer distance. The numbers back that up on a small sample -- trap five has produced the best return so far, trap four the worst, but with only around 140 runs recorded at this grade and trip those figures are more of a lean than a certainty. Homestead Anna, dropping in sharply from Open Race company, looks the class of this field by a distance on recent performances and has the proven stamina for this exact trip. Two runners, Wee Mac Kate and Savana Ribena, arrive with eye-catching recent figures but have never actually raced the full 659 metres -- their true form at this trip is unknown, and it's the dogs with genuine experience over the extra distance, like the selection and Made Of Stone, who look better equipped to last home.
Streets clear of this field on recent performances -- her last six starts have been run in Open Race company, the very top level, and she's won twice and placed twice more at that grade, dropping down here represents a genuine drop in class rather than a step up in test. Her form figures are comfortably the strongest of anyone in this race, and she's proven over this exact trip and grade with wins and places at both 659 metres and similar marathon distances at other tracks. The draw isn't a help -- trap six has been below-average in this grade on the numbers so far -- and her trainer's record in these specific conditions comes from a small handful of runs, so that's not a factor to lean on either. She finishes strongly from off the pace, which is exactly the profile that should suit a stamina test like this. The class gap here looks the difference-maker -- when a dog of this level drops in sharply and still shows the stamina and finishing kick to match, the modest draw becomes a secondary concern rather than a deal-breaker.
Solid recent form with two wins in her last six starts and rarely finishing far away, including a runner-up effort at the top A1 grade last time out. Drawn in trap five, which has been the best-performing box in this grade at this trip so far, and she already has a placed run over 659 metres in Open Race company on her card -- proper evidence she stays this sort of test. A committed closer who finishes off her races strongly from off the pace, exactly the profile a marathon trip like this rewards. Her trainer's record in these conditions is limited but positive. The best draw in the race combined with genuine experience at the trip makes her the most credible threat to the selection.
A huge step up in company and distance tonight -- her recent starts have all come at a far lower grade over 277 and 462 metres, and stepping up to a 659-metre marathon against this level is a completely different proposition. Trap four has been a genuinely dead draw in this small sample, failing to produce a single winner from 22 runs, adding a structural obstacle on top of the enormous test in front of her. The weakest recent form and the weakest rating in the field by some distance. There is a small chance the extra stamina required suits her better than sprinting has, but there is no evidence for that either way -- a rank outsider on everything the data shows.
In good form recently with a win last time out, and importantly that win came over this exact 659-metre trip -- proper recent evidence she handles the marathon distance. A committed closer who does her best work in the second half of a race, which fits a track and trip where patient running tends to be rewarded. Trap two has a fair record in this grade, and her trainer C R Morris has a decent overall reputation, though the sample in these specific conditions is small. A fair alternative with a positive recent line at this trip, without quite matching the selection's overall body of form.
Competitive recent form at the top A1 grade over the shorter 462-metre trip, including a win five starts back, but every single one of her recent starts has been at that shorter distance -- she has no recorded form at all over this marathon 659-metre trip. She shows blistering early pace but next to no finishing kick once headed, a running style that carries real risk once the extra 200 metres starts to bite. Trap one is a moderate draw in this grade and her trainer's record in these conditions comes from a tiny sample. The fastest figures on paper, but those figures are essentially a guess at this unfamiliar trip -- a genuine unknown stepping up so sharply in distance with a pace profile that doesn't suit staying on.
Modest recent form, finishing fourth last time out after a mixed run of results at A2 and A3 grade over the shorter 462-metre trip -- like a couple of others in this field, she has no recorded form at all over tonight's 659-metre distance. Shows early pace as a fader rather than a stayer's finish, which doesn't inspire confidence about lasting out the extra distance. Trap three has been a below-average draw in this small sample, and the weakest composite rating in the field reflects modest underlying form even at her regular trip. Others have much stronger claims both on proven stamina and on the raw numbers.
Key insight: This is a thin dataset for this grade and trip, and the top-rated dog's edge here is only slim -- barely two points clear of the next two in the field on the ratings -- so the recent form and proven stamina at the trip matter more than the numbers alone.
Trap 5 best at 29.6%, trap 4 worst at 0% from 22 runs -- but the whole sample is thin at just 140 runs, so treat it as a lean rather than gospel
140 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 659m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Wee Mac Kate | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Getaway Car | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Savana Ribena | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Savana Magique | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Made Of Stone | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Homestead Anna | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 659m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (659m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 462m | 659m | 661m | 750m | 890m | 942m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wee Mac Kate | 0.610 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Getaway Car | 0.612 | 0.627 | 0.644 | — | — | 0.632 |
| 3 | Savana Ribena | 0.615 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Made Of Stone | 0.647 | 0.627 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Homestead Anna | — | 0.629 | 0.637 | 0.637 | 0.675 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.