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The W.G.O.B.A A4 Guys & Dolls Deise Derby R1 H6
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Crack On Bonnieb 1y 13 | - | - | 51 | - | 62 (3) | 56 (5) | 48 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 56 | 41 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Roseville Gizmob 2y 43 | - | - | 42 | - | 35 (6) | 70 (2) | 52 (6) | 76 (2) | 68 (4) | 76 (2) | 34 (5) | - | - | - | 12 | 31 | 18 | 20 | 58 | 21 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Almighty Elsab 3y 4 | - | - | 62 | - | 78 (3) | 70 (2) | 64 (3) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | 65 (4) | 56 (6) | 69 (2) | 77 (1) | 64 (2) | 24 | 46 | 21 | 40 | 70 | 57 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shunters Happyb 3y 23 | - | - | 47 | - | 43 (6) | 55 (5) | 68 (4) | 47 (6) | 67 (3) | 77 (1) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 59 (2) | 59 (3) | 25 | 17 | 2 | 13 | 57 | 37 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Classic Laylab 1y 14 | Jimmy Power — 0% R6 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 60 (4) | 49 (4) | 59 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | 13 | 56 | 30 | 3 | 6/4f | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cillnacu Blazerb 2yN/R 5 | - | - | 53 | - | 80 (1) | 40 (6) | 48 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 32 | - | 39 | 58 | 49 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Almighty Elsa | 29.13 | 29.56 | 29.33 | 62 | +0.20 | Top rated + fastest + best trap | |
| 6 | Cillnacu Blazer | 29.35 | 29.79 | 29.35 | 53 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 1 | Crack On Bonnie | 29.53 | 29.57 | 29.61 | 51 | +0.08 | Weak trap | |
| 4 | Shunters Happy | 29.21 | 29.67 | 30.09 | 47 | +0.88 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Roseville Gizmo | 29.15 | 29.63 | 30.50 | 42 | +1.35 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 5 | Classic Layla | 30.01 | 30.01 | 30.01 | 29 | 0.00 | Trainer 0% |
This is the strongest stacking case on the entire card. Trap three is the only genuinely profitable box at A4 grade over 525 metres, and tonight the dog occupying it also tops the overall rating, the fastest recorded time, and the best recent performance figure in the field — composite, speed, form and draw all pointing the same way. Almighty Elsa should be doing the pace-setting from that box, with Cillnacu Blazer the type to pick up the pieces if she doesn't have things her own way.
The complete package for this grade — top of the overall ratings, the fastest recorded time in the field, and the best recent performance figure too, all bundled with the single best-performing draw at A4 grade over this trip. Finished third last time out but the underlying figures have been the strongest of anyone here for a while. When the ratings, the clock, the recent form and the draw all point at the same dog, that's about as strong a case as this grade produces.
Won impressively last time out at his own best time, and the overall rating is the second-best in this field behind only tonight's top pick. Trap six has been a modest performer at this grade, but a dog winning that well and rating this strongly is the clear threat if the top selection has any trouble in running.
Finished third last time out, running to a fair level, with a recorded time close to his own personal best. The suitability figures are blank across the board though, suggesting little proven course or trap form. Trap one has been the weakest box at this grade, adding a structural obstacle to an otherwise workmanlike effort.
Well held last time out, finishing last with the recorded time well behind his own personal best. There's a fair trap suitability figure for tonight's box, but the recent form is the dominant concern heading into this contest. Needs to bounce back sharply to be competitive with this field.
Well held last time out, finishing last with the recorded time well off his own personal best. The suitability figures for tonight's conditions are decent, with reasonable track and distance scores, but the recent shape of his form is against him. On the bare recent evidence he's up against it in this field.
Finished fourth last time out with the slowest recorded time of this field, and trainer Jimmy Power is yet to record a winner from his runners on file. There's little in the current form or the trainer record to build a confident case for tonight, and she looks the obvious outsider of this six.
Key insight: Almighty Elsa stacks the top rating, the fastest clock, the best recent form AND the single best-performing trap at this grade — a genuine four-factor alignment that's rare at Waterford.
Trap 3 the only box showing a profit at 25%, trap 1 the weakest at under 7%
871 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 300m | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crack On Bonnie | — | — | 0.564 |
| 2 | Roseville Gizmo | 0.561 | 0.560 | 0.568 |
| 3 | Almighty Elsa | — | — | 0.563 |
| 4 | Shunters Happy | — | — | 0.565 |
| 5 | Classic Layla | — | — | 0.564 |
| 6 | Cillnacu Blazer | — | — | 0.566 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.