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The Upcoming Events @ Kilcohan Park 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Johnspark Boyd 2y 23 | Lester Power — 20% R10 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 57 (5) | 92 (1) | 62 (5) | 66 (1) | 66 (1) | 58 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 8 | - | 68 | 33 | 1 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rains Cassieb 1y 43 | - | - | 55 | - | 70 (4) | 66 (5) | 67 (2) | 41 (5) | 56 (2) | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | 18 | 60 | 25 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Slaneyside Fifib 3y 14 | Derek Kehoe — 23% R120 W27 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 65 (5) | 86 (1) | 65 (4) | 68 (2) | 79 (1) | 58 (4) | 57 (4) | 59 (3) | 69 (2) | 79 (1) | 32 | - | - | 37 | 69 | 41 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mandeville Beaud 4y 23 | - | - | 35 | - | 50 (5) | 48 (6) | 54 (5) | 45 (5) | 64 (5) | 78 (4) | 68 (4) | 90 (1) | 73 (3) | 64 (5) | 3 | 13 | 25 | 2 | 59 | 33 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Bing Khayad 3yN/R 24 | Joe Anglim — 18% R28 W5 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 89 (1) | 66 (5) | 56 (5) | 72 (3) | 63 (4) | 85 (2) | 73 (3) | 100 (1) | 94 (1) | 78 (2) | 25 | 39 | 34 | 37 | 75 | 39 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alien Zenb 2y 34 | - | - | 59 | - | 23 (6) | 58 (6) | 75 (2) | 74 (2) | 95 (1) | 66 (5) | 70 (3) | 62 (4) | 57 (6) | 93 (1) | 43 | 25 | 10 | 31 | 71 | 46 | 2 | 6/4JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Alien Zen | 29.02 | 29.24 | 29.29 | 59 | +0.27 | 280m→730m→525m | |
| 5 | Bing Khaya | 28.94 | 29.41 | 29.22 | 58 | +0.28 | Long layoff | |
| 3 | Slaneyside Fifi | 29.29 | 29.59 | 29.46 | 45 | +0.17 | Best trap draw | |
| 1 | Johnspark Boy | 29.39 | 29.49 | 29.59 | 44 | +0.20 | Trainer 25% | |
| 2 | Rains Cassie | 29.26 | 29.26 | 29.26 | 55 | 0.00 | 730m last time | |
| 4 | Mandeville Beau | 29.23 | 29.68 | 30.07 | 35 | +0.84 | 0 wins from 6 |
A3 grade at Waterford over 525 metres is where the fastest dog in the field really earns its keep — the top speed rating wins nearly one in three races here, a far stronger signal than the composite ratings, which barely manage one in five. Trap three has also been the only box to show a genuine profit at this grade. Slaneyside Fifi ticks both of those boxes tonight, drawn in the best trap with solid recent form, while Alien Zen carries the fastest clock in the field but comes with question marks — his sole recent run was a marathon trip well below this level, and Bing Khaya hasn't raced in almost six months.
Consistent without winning lately, finishing fifth last time out but racing to a fair standard throughout her recent starts, and her distance suitability figure is the strongest in this field. Trainer Derek Kehoe has a decent one-in-five record. Trap three has been comfortably the best-performing box at this grade, the only one to show a real profit, and unlike the two fastest dogs in this field she's been racing regularly and at the right conditions. The steadiest case in a race with question marks over the speed leaders.
Carries the fastest recorded time and top speed rating of this entire field, and at A3 grade speed is the single strongest predictor at this track. The catch is his last run was a 730-metre marathon at a much weaker grade, finishing well beaten — a completely different test to tonight's sharp 525-metre sprint, so that form tells us little. Trap six has also been the weakest box at this grade. If the speed translates back to this trip, he's the biggest danger in the race; if it doesn't, he could easily disappoint.
Won impressively last time out with the best overall performance average in this field, but that win came back in late January — close to six months ago. Trainer Joe Anglim has a fair one-in-five record. The ability is clearly there on the figures, with strong suitability scores across track, trip, trap and grade, but the long absence since his last run raises real questions about fitness and sharpness tonight.
Finished fifth last time out but trainer Lester Power has the best win rate of any trainer in this field at one in four. The recorded times have been solid without standing out, and the trap suitability figure for tonight's box is reasonable. A fair each-way watch given the strong trainer angle, even if the raw form doesn't scream confidence.
Her only recent recorded run was a 730-metre marathon, a completely different test to tonight's sharp sprint trip, so there's no clean form line at this distance to lean on. The suitability figures for tonight's conditions are modest across the board. Switching back down to a sprint trip after a marathon test is a genuine unknown, and she'll need to prove she still has the pace for it.
Well held last time out and the recorded times have been drifting away from his personal best in recent starts. There's little in the suitability figures to build a case for tonight's conditions either. On the bare data he's up against it, needing a big step forward from his recent efforts to trouble the principals.
Key insight: Speed is the standout factor at A3 grade — the fastest dog in the field wins almost one in three races, far outperforming the composite ratings.
Trap 3 the only box showing a profit at 25.7%, trap 6 the weakest at under 10%
688 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 730m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Johnspark Boy | 0.543 | 0.562 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Rains Cassie | — | 0.564 | — | 0.555 | 0.576 |
| 3 | Slaneyside Fifi | — | 0.564 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Mandeville Beau | — | 0.565 | 0.547 | 0.561 | — |
| 5 | Bing Khaya | — | 0.560 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Alien Zen | — | 0.556 | — | — | 0.590 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.