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The W.G.O.B.A A4 Guys & Dolls Deise Derby R1 H1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Chapelstbrunod 2y 25 | Leo Dunphy — 17% R23 W4 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 48 (6) | 65 (4) | 75 (2) | 48 (6) | 82 (2) | 64 (4) | 94 (1) | 44 (6) | 87 (1) | 81 (1) | 13 | 49 | 30 | 28 | 65 | 46 | 4 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Nans Larkd 3y 23 | - | - | 56 | - | 83 (2) | 68 (4) | 76 (3) | 87 (1) | 55 (4) | 75 (2) | 79 (3) | 73 (3) | 91 (1) | 89 (1) | 14 | 52 | - | 36 | 77 | 46 | 5 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bing Four Windsd 3y 33 | Joe Anglim — 18% R28 W5 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | - | 48 (6) | 54 (4) | 57 (4) | 56 (4) | 44 (6) | 79 (1) | 58 (2) | 60 (3) | 64 (3) | 60 (4) | 29 | 17 | - | 17 | 56 | 17 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Lough Market? ? 13 | Lester Power — 20% R10 W2 P4 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 50 (6) | 62 (4) | 71 (2) | 72 (4) | 59 (5) | 75 (2) | 86 (1) | 76 (1) | 3 | 37 | 51 | 43 | 69 | 50 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Slaneyside Aland 1y 16 | Derek Kehoe — 23% R120 W27 P69 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 79 (1) | 70 (2) | 79 (1) | 58 (4) | 69 (1) | 46 (5) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | 38 | 26 | 50 | 67 | 48 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cooneysupatfourd 4y 24 | - | - | 48 | - | 62 (3) | 54 (5) | 42 (5) | 70 (2) | 61 (5) | 51 (4) | 81 (1) | 48 (5) | 57 (5) | 74 (3) | 32 | 10 | 28 | 18 | 59 | 42 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lough Market | 29.09 | 29.51 | 29.52 | 52 | +0.43 | Won last time | |
| 5 | Slaneyside Alan | 29.49 | 29.69 | 29.49 | 43 | 0.00 | Won last time | |
| 1 | Chapelstbruno | 29.01 | 29.53 | 29.70 | 50 | +0.69 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 6 | Cooneysupatfour | 29.22 | 29.60 | 29.50 | 48 | +0.28 | Trap 32% | |
| 2 | Nans Lark | 28.97 | 29.42 | 29.50 | 56 | +0.53 | Highest speed rating | |
| 3 | Bing Four Winds | 29.49 | 29.95 | 30.01 | 30 | +0.52 | Best trap draw |
At A4 grade over 525 metres, Waterford's condition data is unusually clear on one point — trap three has been the only box to actually turn a profit for backers here, winning one in four, while trap one has struggled badly at under 7%. The top-rated dog only wins around one in six at this grade, so this is a card where the ratings need help from the draw and recent form. Lough Market won impressively last time out and tops the ratings, with Slaneyside Alan the closest thing to a natural rival after his own recent win.
Won nicely last time out, leading and doing enough to hold on for the win, and that form now tops this field. His overall performance figures are the best in the race and the fastest recorded time backs up the ability. Trainer Lester Power has a solid one-in-four record. Trap four sits in the middle of the pack for this grade, but with genuine winning form and the top rating, he's the narrow poll position pick in a race with no standout trap advantage.
Also won last time out, leading throughout for a clear-cut success, and his distance suitability figures are the strongest in this field. Trainer Derek Kehoe wins at a healthy rate too. The ratings separate him only marginally from tonight's pick, and with a genuine recent win of his own, he's the obvious one to reverse the form if given the chance.
Placed second last time out finishing well, and carries the fastest recorded time and highest speed rating of anyone in this field. Her overall performance average is actually the best on paper, built on some strong recent runs, but she hasn't quite converted that speed into a win just yet. Trap two has been below-average at this grade, adding a structural knock. Respected on the clock but needs to find the winning touch.
Consistent without winning lately, placing third last time out and racing to a fair standard throughout his recent starts. The trap suitability figure for tonight's box is the best of any runner in this field, which is a genuine positive, though trap six itself hasn't been a strong performer at this grade generally. A solid include for the places rather than a confident winning pick.
Well beaten last time out having stepped up from a weaker grade the run before, and the recorded time has been drifting away from his personal best. The strongest run in his recent figures came a few starts back, so the capability is there somewhere, but the current shape of his form is against him. Trap one has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade, adding to the concerns.
Well held last time out and hasn't been especially fast through the card recently, with the slowest recorded time of this field. The one thing in his favour is the draw — trap three has been the standout box at this grade by some distance, the only box to show a genuine profit. On the bare form he's up against it, but the trap alone gives him a puncher's chance.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins barely one in six races at this grade — a genuinely weak guide, so recent winning form and the draw carry extra weight tonight.
Trap 3 the only box showing a profit at 25%, trap 1 the weakest at under 7%
871 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chapelstbruno | 0.563 | 0.558 | 0.558 |
| 2 | Nans Lark | 0.560 | — | — |
| 3 | Bing Four Winds | 0.570 | — | — |
| 4 | Lough Market | 0.562 | 0.560 | — |
| 5 | Slaneyside Alan | 0.566 | — | — |
| 6 | Cooneysupatfour | 0.564 | 0.556 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.