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The W.G.O.B.A A4 Guys & Dolls Deise Derby R1 H4
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moonveen Flossb 2y 5 | - | - | 63 | - | 64 (4) | 52 (6) | 60 (4) | 60 (5) | 47 (6) | 90 (1) | 79 (3) | 58 (4) | 62 (5) | 83 (1) | - | 23 | 5 | 16 | 63 | 53 | 1 | 6/4JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Almighty Fayeb 1y 23 | - | - | 21 | - | 41 (5) | 52 (4) | 38 (6) | 52 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 45 | 19 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Poker Queenb 3y 14 | David Flanagan — 21% R34 W7 P20 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 60 (4) | 62 (4) | 57 (3) | 44 (6) | 51 (5) | 66 (3) | 64 (3) | 75 (3) | 52 (6) | 57 (4) | 26 | - | 10 | 11 | 58 | 36 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballygur Mistyb 2y 24 | - | - | 48 | - | 71 (2) | 51 (6) | 47 (6) | 47 (5) | 66 (2) | 57 (3) | 59 (2) | 59 (2) | 42 (5) | 54 (4) | 30 | 21 | 6 | 29 | 56 | 41 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Nametab Sisub 2y 23 | Geoff Bateman — 0% R9 W0 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | - | 38 (6) | 52 (5) | 59 (2) | 39 (5) | 43 (4) | 36 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | 14 | - | 10 | 45 | 23 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Nans Ziggy? ? 33 | - | - | 59 | - | 84 (1) | 61 (4) | 59 (4) | 58 (6) | 68 (3) | 70 (3) | 86 (1) | 68 (2) | 84 (2) | 43 (6) | 31 | 32 | 57 | 32 | 69 | 34 | 6 | 6/4JF | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moonveen Floss | 28.91 | 29.49 | 29.51 | 63 | +0.60 | Top rated + fastest | |
| 6 | Nans Ziggy | 29.16 | 29.59 | 29.41 | 59 | +0.25 | Won last time | |
| 3 | Poker Queen | 29.26 | 29.62 | 29.64 | 53 | +0.38 | Best trap draw | |
| 4 | Ballygur Misty | 29.42 | 29.90 | 29.42 | 48 | 0.00 | Trainer unlisted | |
| 5 | Nametab Sisu | 29.42 | 30.02 | 30.78 | 29 | +1.36 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Almighty Faye | 29.67 | 30.20 | 30.72 | 21 | +1.05 | 0 wins from 6 |
Trap three remains the only genuinely profitable draw at A4 grade over this trip, but tonight's shape is built around trap one — Moonveen Floss tops both the overall ratings and the speed figures, a rare double at a grade where the two signals usually disagree. She'll want an early break to use that pace before the field bunches at the first bend. Nans Ziggy, fresh from a dominant recent win, is the clear threat if the leader doesn't get the run of the race.
Finished fourth last time out but her overall figures top this field on both the ratings and the clock, a combination that carries real weight at this grade. The fastest recorded time in the field belongs to her, and her recent races have generally been to a fair standard. Trap one has been the weakest box at A4 grade, the one genuine concern, but with speed and rating agreeing on the same dog, that's a stronger case than the trap alone can undo.
Won impressively last time out and his overall performance average is the best in this field, with the strongest all-round suitability profile of any runner tonight — track, trip, trap and class all rate well. Trap six has been a modest performer at this grade generally, but a dog winning as well as he did last time and rating this strongly across the board is the obvious threat to the top pick.
Finished fourth last time out, running to a fair standard, and trainer David Flanagan has a decent record just under one in five. Trap three has been the standout box at this grade, the only one to show a genuine profit for backers, which gives her a real structural boost even though the form itself is unremarkable. Worth including for the places on the trap alone.
Placed second last time out, dropping down from a tougher grade the run before, which is a positive sign for tonight. The recorded time from that run was actually her fastest, suggesting the drop in company is suiting her. Trap four is a fair box at this grade. A sensible each-way include given the positive class drop.
Well held last time out, finishing last with the recorded time well behind her own personal best. Trainer Geoff Bateman is yet to record a win from his runners here, which adds to the concerns. There's little in this form to suggest she's competitive with the leading pair tonight.
Well held last time out and the recorded times have been consistently the slowest of this field. There's no course or distance suitability edge to lean on either, with blank figures across the board. On the bare data she's the clear outsider tonight, needing a major step forward just to be competitive.
Key insight: When the top-rated dog also carries the fastest recorded time, that combination is a far stronger signal at this grade than either factor alone — and that's the case here despite the modest trap.
Trap 3 the only box showing a profit at 25%, trap 1 the weakest at under 7%
871 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 325m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moonveen Floss | — | 0.562 |
| 2 | Almighty Faye | — | 0.573 |
| 3 | Poker Queen | — | 0.564 |
| 4 | Ballygur Misty | 0.568 | 0.570 |
| 5 | Nametab Sisu | 0.577 | 0.573 |
| 6 | Nans Ziggy | — | 0.564 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.