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Slan Abhaile Agus Go Raibh Maith Agat 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rosegarland Goldb 2yN/R 25 | - | - | 52 | - | 71 (4) | 87 (2) | 75 (3) | 90 (1) | 62 (4) | 75 (3) | 75 (3) | 62 (5) | 64 (4) | 70 (5) | - | 17 | 10 | 18 | 75 | 46 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rastafari Rafad 1y 13 | - | - | 42 | - | 67 (4) | 56 (6) | 64 (5) | 62 (5) | 55 (6) | 69 (4) | 94 (1) | 83 (2) | 88 (1) | 66 (4) | - | 36 | - | 28 | 67 | 46 | 4 | 6/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Airmount Bartd 3y 23 | - | - | 52 | - | 72 (6) | 70 (2) | 57 (4) | 82 (6) | 54 (2) | 47 (3) | 95 (4) | 94 (1) | 78 (1) | - | 24 | 63 | 41 | 33 | 70 | 47 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Almighty Laurab 1y 44 | - | - | 55 | - | 79 (3) | 45 (4) | 59 (2) | 91 (1) | 65 (5) | 81 (1) | 72 (2) | 73 (3) | 66 (4) | 74 (2) | 43 | 40 | 10 | 37 | 69 | 32 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Cloneen Alainnb 3y 24 | Laura Britton — 40% R5 W2 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 79 (2) | 57 (5) | 86 (1) | 66 (3) | 65 (2) | 56 (3) | 80 (1) | 50 (5) | 61 (2) | 80 (1) | 16 | 18 | 18 | 46 | 69 | 44 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crack On Mackd 3y 26 | - | - | 23 | - | 48 (5) | 49 (5) | 52 (5) | 53 (4) | 40 (6) | 61 (4) | 63 (4) | 82 (1) | 80 (1) | 78 (1) | - | 11 | - | 23 | 56 | 13 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosegarland Gold | 29.04 | 29.31 | 29.29 | 52 | +0.25 | Best avg performance | |
| 5 | Cloneen Alainn | 28.91 | 29.54 | 29.12 | 52 | +0.21 | Trainer 33% | |
| 4 | Almighty Laura | 28.98 | 29.44 | 28.98 | 55 | 0.00 | Highest speed rating | |
| 3 | Airmount Bart | 29.05 | 29.28 | 29.30 | 52 | +0.25 | Top composite | |
| 2 | Rastafari Rafa | 29.05 | 29.38 | 29.88 | 42 | +0.83 | Weak trap | |
| 6 | Crack On Mack | 29.34 | 29.98 | 30.05 | 23 | +0.71 | Best trap draw |
A2 grade is the one place tonight where Waterford's composite ratings actually hold up reasonably well, and it's also the grade where the trap bias flips entirely from what's seen lower down the card — trap six and trap five are the two strongest boxes here, not trap three. The ratings are packed tightly together across the top four dogs, so this looks a genuinely competitive heat. Cloneen Alainn, drawn in the second-best box and sent out by the meeting's most in-form trainer, has the strongest combination of factors even though she doesn't quite top the raw ratings.
Placed second last time out and races consistently to a fair standard, with the best distance suitability figure of anyone in this field. Trainer Laura Britton has a superb one-in-three record, comfortably the best of any trainer with a runner tonight, and that kind of placement is rarely accidental. Trap five has been the second-strongest box at this grade — a genuine reversal from the trap patterns seen lower down the card — and with the ratings bunched tightly at the top of this field, the trainer and trap combination is enough to edge it.
Finished fourth last time out but carries the best overall performance average in this field, built on solid recent running. Trap one is a middling box at this grade — not a strong asset but not a major hindrance either. With the highest raw rating on the card, he's the obvious one to take it away from tonight's pick if the trainer and trap edge doesn't tell.
Finished last time out well beaten, but that follows solid earlier form and he actually tops the model's composite rating for this race. His course suitability figure is the strongest in the field by some distance too. Trap three is a modest box at this grade, the opposite pattern to what's seen lower down the card, which takes a little shine off an otherwise strong figures-based case.
Finished third last time out at a slightly longer trip, and carries the highest speed rating and fastest recorded time of anyone in this field. The suitability figures are solid across the board too. Trap four is around the middle of the pack at this grade. A fair each-way include given the strong pace figures, even without the trainer or trap edge of the top two.
Finished fourth last time out stepping down from the extended 550-metre trip, and the recorded time was well off his own personal best. Trap two has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade, adding a structural obstacle to the ordinary recent form. A fair rating on paper but the draw and current shape of his form are working against him.
Finished fifth last time out at a lower grade, so there's a step up in company to overcome tonight, and the recorded times have been the slowest of this field. Trap six has been the single best-performing box at this grade, which is a genuine positive, but the modest form and step up in class make him hard to trust as more than an interest for the places.
Key insight: A2 is Waterford's most reliable grade for the ratings, with the top-rated dog winning one in four here, but tonight's ratings are bunched tightly across four separate runners.
Trap 6 best at 22.6%, trap 5 close behind at 21.0% — a reversal of the trap-three bias seen at lower grades
387 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 575m | 730m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rosegarland Gold | 0.558 | — | 0.551 | 0.568 | — |
| 2 | Rastafari Rafa | 0.557 | 0.556 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Airmount Bart | 0.556 | — | 0.546 | — | — |
| 4 | Almighty Laura | 0.561 | — | 0.556 | — | 0.567 |
| 5 | Cloneen Alainn | 0.563 | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Crack On Mack | 0.571 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.