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The W.G.O.B.A A4 Guys & Dolls Deise Derby R1 H2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Rockmount Nicod 1y 13 | Brendan Murphy — 13% R15 W2 P9 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | - | 68 (4) | 49 (5) | 49 (5) | 51 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 10 | - | - | 55 | 35 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tycoon Fota? ? 33 | - | - | 50 | - | 60 (3) | 49 (6) | 62 (5) | 66 (3) | 72 (3) | 85 (1) | 68 (3) | 60 (2) | 67 (3) | 60 (3) | 35 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 63 | 44 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fagans Biancod 1y 34 | - | - | - | - | 49 (2) | 54 (2) | 54 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 28 | - | 29 | 52 | 33 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Amazing Powerd 2y 33 | - | - | 38 | - | 43 (5) | 67 (2) | 52 (4) | 52 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | 6 | 14 | 53 | 16 | 6 | 5/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Hooky Handicap? ? 26 | Leo Dunphy — 17% R23 W4 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | - | 80 (2) | 55 (5) | 54 (5) | 84 (1) | 62 (5) | 66 (3) | 58 (4) | 89 (1) | 90 (1) | 85 (1) | 22 | 47 | 43 | 38 | 70 | 43 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Placid Princed 2y 34 | Joe Anglim — 18% R28 W5 P15 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 47 (6) | 66 (3) | 74 (3) | 58 (6) | 68 (3) | 69 (3) | 82 (1) | 64 (4) | 46 (5) | 53 (3) | 16 | 26 | - | 8 | 62 | 34 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Hooky Handicap | 29.13 | 29.45 | 29.32 | 61 | +0.19 | Fastest in field | |
| 2 | Tycoon Fota | 29.20 | 29.61 | 29.74 | 50 | +0.54 | Top composite | |
| 6 | Placid Prince | 29.05 | 29.62 | 30.10 | 47 | +1.05 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 1 | Rockmount Nico | 29.70 | 29.81 | 29.70 | 40 | 0.00 | Weak trap | |
| 4 | Amazing Power | 29.28 | 29.77 | 30.26 | 38 | +0.98 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 3 | Fagans Bianco | No recorded time at this grade — recent form came from a stakes heat. | — | Best trap draw | ||||
Another A4 contest over the 525-metre trip, where trap three remains the only genuinely profitable box at this grade and the top-rated dog on raw suitability numbers is far from a reliable guide. Hooky Handicap sets the standard here on both recent performance and speed, having been runner-up last time out with the fastest clock in the field, and Tycoon Fota is the leading name on the model's ratings. Expect Hooky Handicap to be involved from the front given his pace edge, with the pack strung out behind chasing the clock.
Placed second last time out and his overall performance and speed figures are clearly the best of this six, with the fastest recorded time in the field to back it up. Trainer Leo Dunphy's overall record is modest, but the dog's own numbers do the talking here — top on speed, top on recent form, and the best all-round suitability profile in the race. Trap five has been a fair box at this grade, adding a touch of support to a genuinely strong form case.
Tops the overall ratings model for this race and placed third last time out with a fair level of form behind him. The trap and distance suitability figures are solid without being outstanding, and while he doesn't match tonight's top pick on the clock, the model's confidence in him shouldn't be dismissed. The most obvious one to upset the pick if the pace doesn't suit.
Well held last time out, running well off the pace throughout, though the trainer Joe Anglim has a fair one-in-five record overall. The recorded time last time was well behind his own personal best, a concerning sign heading into tonight. Trap six has been a modest performer at this grade too. Others have far stronger recent claims.
Finished fourth last time out at a slightly higher grade, so there's a touch of encouragement in dropping back tonight, though the overall performance figures remain modest. Trainer Brendan Murphy has a fair record. Trap one has been the weakest box at this grade by a distance, which is a real structural obstacle stacked on top of the ordinary form.
Finished fifth last time out and the recorded times have generally been off the pace of this field, well behind his own personal best in the most recent outing. There's little in the suitability figures to suggest a strong fit for tonight's conditions either. A modest each-way watching brief at best rather than a confident inclusion.
Finished second in a stakes heat last time, a level below tonight's open company, so there's no reliable time at this grade to lean on. The one thing working in his favour is the draw — trap three has been by far the best-performing box at A4 grade, the only one to show a genuine profit. On what limited evidence exists he's the outsider, but the trap keeps him from being dismissed entirely.
Key insight: Speed and recent peak performance have outperformed the composite ratings at this grade — the fastest dog in the field carries real weight tonight.
Trap 3 the only box showing a profit at 25%, trap 1 the weakest at under 7%
871 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.