Failte Go Dti Kilcohan Park 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mrs Gilhooleyb 1y 14 | - | - | - | - | 66 (2) | 50 (4) | 60 (2) | 57 (3) | 52 (4) | 44 (5) | 40 (4) | - | - | - | 38 | 25 | 28 | 33 | 55 | 40 | 6 | 1/1F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Whiteys Gloria? ? 23 | - | - | 30 | - | 41 (6) | 32 (5) | 49 (6) | 42 (3) | 35 (4) | 41 (6) | 43 (6) | 38 (4) | 31 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 22 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fly Contemnb 1y | - | - | - | - | 33 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | - | - | - | 33 | 34 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballybrazil Laneb 1y 2 | - | - | - | - | 31 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | 31 | 16 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Whitewood Bratd 1y | - | - | - | - | 37 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 37 | 34 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Clogga Blackbirdd 2y 6 | Leo Dunphy — 17% R23 W4 P11 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | - | 67 (1) | 54 (4) | 47 (4) | 34 (6) | 49 (5) | 52 (5) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 65 (3) | 75 (1) | 24 | 19 | 34 | 26 | 54 | 53 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Clogga Blackbird | 29.58 | 30.04 | 29.91 | 51 | +0.33 | Won last time | |
| 1 | Mrs Gilhooley | 29.61 | 29.94 | 29.77 | 54 | +0.16 | Class drop | |
| 2 | Whiteys Gloria | 30.34 | 30.77 | 30.84 | 10 | +0.50 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 3 | Fly Contemn | No recorded fastest time at this trip yet — only one open run to date. | — | No 525m data | ||||
| 4 | Ballybrazil Lane | Only one recorded run, over a month ago — no reliable time to compare. | — | No 525m data | ||||
| 5 | Whitewood Brat | Only one recorded run, at a different track, over two weeks ago. | — | No 525m data | ||||
Waterford's 525-metre trip is a fair enough test in theory, but the condition data tells a clear story at A7 grade — trap three has been comfortably the best box, winning almost one in five, while trap one and trap five have been the weakest performers. The top-rated dog only wins around one in five races at this level too, so this is a grade where the ratings alone are not to be trusted blindly. Clogga Blackbird drew right away last time from trap three and looks the class of this six, while Mrs Gilhooley arrives dropping down from tougher company in trap one — the least productive box tonight.
Won impressively last time out at this exact track, trip and grade, leading from the second bend and drawing right away for a comfortable success — a genuine form line rather than one built on a class drop. The speed figures back it up too, close to the best in this field. Trainer Leo Dunphy's overall record is modest, but the placement here — same conditions as his last win — looks deliberate. Trap six hasn't been the standout box at this grade, but the manner of that recent victory is hard to ignore.
Drops down having been competing at A5 and A6 level recently, finishing second last time out with a clear run and running on well. That's a step down in class tonight, which should help, though her recent average is somewhat inflated by racing tougher company. She carries the fastest recorded time in this field and clear course form, but trap one has been the least productive box at this grade and trip — a genuine structural knock against her.
Making only his second competitive start after a modest run in a stakes heat, finishing well back. There's no course and distance form to speak of and no reliable time to compare against this field. He does have the benefit of trap three, the strongest box at this grade and trip, but the form itself gives little to work with. One for the market to sort out rather than a confident pick on the data.
Only one recorded run to his name, well back in a stakes heat over a month ago, and nothing since to suggest improvement. There's no course and distance record to lean on and the suitability figures are blank across the board. On what little evidence exists he looks the outsider of this field, needing plenty to go right just to be competitive.
Ran at a different track last time and finished well beaten, missing the break and never threatening. Trap five is one of the weaker boxes at this grade and trip, adding to the challenge. There's simply not enough in this form to make a case for him being competitive with the leading pair tonight.
Well held in her last six starts, finishing last time knocked over early and never featuring. The recorded times have been well off the pace of this field throughout and there's little in recent running to suggest a turnaround is imminent. A big form gap to make up on tonight's principals.
Key insight: A7 is a grade where the top-rated dog wins only around one in five here, so the draw and recent race-winning form carry real weight alongside the ratings.
Trap 3 best at 19.9%, trap 1 and trap 5 weakest at around 11.5%
924 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.