The Slan Abhaile A0 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Laois Lightningd 3y 13 | Donal Duggan — 21% R34 W7 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 82 (3) | 80 (2) | 94 (1) | 93 (1) | 75 (2) | 90 (1) | 70 (2) | 72 (2) | 82 (2) | 72 (3) | 48 | 28 | - | 60 | 83 | 54 | 2 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Drombeg Kingd 2y 33 | Mr. Evan McAuliffe — 12% R25 W3 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | - | 69 (4) | 43 (3) | 37 (4) | 100 (1) | 93 (1) | 72 (2) | 47 (5) | 89 (1) | 71 (2) | 84 (1) | 26 | 35 | - | 64 | 67 | 38 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Balymartin Neadyb 2y 14 | - | - | 53 | - | 72 (5) | 72 (5) | 40 (6) | 66 (1) | 88 (2) | 99 (1) | 82 (2) | 68 (4) | 79 (3) | 77 (4) | 50 | 40 | - | 31 | 72 | 52 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Blastoff Rickyd 3y 24 | - | - | 56 | - | 100 (1) | 62 (5) | 100 (1) | 85 (3) | 36 (5) | 83 (3) | 76 (4) | 53 (4) | 49 (5) | 48 (3) | 26 | 21 | - | 37 | 75 | 37 | 5 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tonyfromdaparishd 2y 23 | Stephen Murray — 14% R28 W4 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 68 (4) | 84 (2) | 88 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 15 | 6 | 34 | 79 | 34 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crickleowl Josed 3y 23 | - | - | 50 | - | 59 (6) | 34 (6) | 32 (6) | 33 (6) | 100 (1) | 95 (1) | 77 (3) | 82 (2) | 88 (2) | 89 (2) | 36 | 5 | 14 | 45 | 61 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laois Lightning | 28.94 | 29.12 | 29.05 | 48 | +0.11 | Model pick, best average form | |
| 2 | Magical Be Nifty | 28.93 | 29.13 | 29.08 | 48 | +0.15 | Trainer 47%, dead trap | |
| 3 | Balymartin Neady | 28.92 | 28.99 | 28.96 | 53 | +0.04 | Best trap, most C&D runs | |
| 4 | Blastoff Ricky | 28.88 | 28.92 | 28.88 | 56 | 0.00 | Fastest but off nearly a year | |
| 5 | Tonyfromdaparish | 29.06 | 29.06 | 29.06 | 48 | 0.00 | Lightly raced recently | |
| 6 | Crickleowl Jose | No course-and-distance runs recorded at Limerick over 525m. | — | Wildly inconsistent | ||||
The feature race of the night — Limerick's top A0 grade over the standard 525 metres, and the data here is unusually clear for a track that's been hard to pin down elsewhere on the card. Trap 3 has been comfortably the best box, winning almost a third of the time, with trap 1 close behind, while trap 2 has been a near-death draw at under 7 percent. The best single signal at this grade and trip is raw speed — the fastest dog in the field wins fully 30 percent of the time here, far outstripping the model's own top pick, which barely wins one in eight. With this much class packed into six traps, the difference is likely to come down to who's fastest and freshest on the night.
The best average performance figure in the entire field and drawn in the second-strongest trap at this grade and trip. Three course-and-distance runs recently have all seen her finish in the frame, including third last time out, and she carried peaks of 94 and 93 not long before that — proof the top level is well within reach. Trainer Donal Duggan sits at a respectable 19 percent. The most complete, proven package in a very strong race.
Raced just yesterday at an even tougher grade and still finished third with a strong figure of 86 — the sign of a dog in red-hot current form. Trainer Patrick Guilfoyle's yard is exceptional, running at a remarkable 47 percent strike rate, easily the best of any connections in this race. The one real worry is the draw — trap 2 has been a near-dead box at this grade, managing under 7 percent winners. If she overcomes the trap, the form and trainer angle make her a big threat.
Drawn in the best-performing trap at this grade by some distance, and carries more course-and-distance experience than anyone else in the field with seven runs at this exact combination. Form has been steady rather than spectacular lately — fifth two runs back sandwiched between more even efforts. The trap and track knowledge are her calling cards even if the raw performance figures sit below the very best in this field.
The fastest recorded time and speed rating of anyone in this field, and his historical course-and-distance form — five runs, two wins — is excellent on paper. The major catch is timing: his last recorded run was back in August of last year, meaning this looks to be a return from a long absence. That kind of layoff makes fitness and sharpness a genuine unknown regardless of how good the old form reads.
Lightly raced recently with only three runs on record, but the level has been solid — fourth last time out at this exact grade back in April, with two better efforts before that. Drawn in the weakest of the workable traps at this grade. Hard to know exactly where he stands, but the underlying figures are competitive with this field.
The weakest average performance figure in this field and desperately inconsistent — form of 59, 34, 32, 33, 100, 95 swings from brilliant to well beaten with no obvious pattern. No course-and-distance form at Limerick over this trip to lean on either. Capable of a big run on his day but far too unreliable to trust in this company.
Key insight: 176 runs at the top grade show trap 3 clearly the strongest box and trap 2 a near-structural dead draw. Speed rating is far more reliable than the composite score here — the fastest dog in the field wins 30 percent of the time against just 12.9 percent for the top-rated dog on the composite, a big gap that says raw pace should lead the analysis at this level.
T1:23.3% T2:6.9% T3:32.3% T4:16.7% T5:11.1% T6:13.8%
176 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Laois Lightning | — | 0.552 | — | — |
| 2 | Drombeg King | 0.556 | 0.555 | 0.553 | — |
| 3 | Balymartin Neady | — | 0.550 | 0.542 | — |
| 4 | Blastoff Ricky | — | 0.549 | 0.557 | — |
| 5 | Tonyfromdaparish | — | 0.550 | — | — |
| 6 | Crickleowl Jose | — | 0.556 | — | 0.562 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.