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Limerick & Clare GOBA Novice 750
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Borna Lassieb 1y 42 | - | - | 48 | - | 78 (2) | 64 (4) | 77 (4) | 51 (3) | 55 (2) | 84 (3) | 52 (2) | 49 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 66 | 11 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Preferthesisterd 2y 46 | - | - | 41 | - | 88 (1) | 87 (1) | 71 (3) | 63 (4) | 44 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 74 | 5 | 4 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sonsofardcroneyd 1y 33 | John Byrne — 25% R20 W5 P10 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | - | 54 (6) | 97 (1) | 60 (5) | 91 (1) | 42 (6) | 77 (1) | 56 (2) | 49 (4) | - | - | 40 | 35 | - | - | 68 | 35 | 6 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Drombeg Flashd 2y 36 | Mr. Evan McAuliffe — 12% R25 W3 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 65 (5) | 66 (5) | 37 (5) | 97 (1) | 44 (6) | 88 (1) | 45 (5) | - | - | - | 25 | 50 | - | - | 63 | 37 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Clonbrien Piperd 1y 24 | - | - | 60 | - | 76 (3) | 86 (1) | 63 (3) | 54 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | - | 71 | 34 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mojoe Express? ? 33 | John Gerard Cronin — 22% R27 W6 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 58 (5) | 94 (1) | 74 (3) | 94 (1) | 89 (1) | 64 (3) | 89 (1) | 84 (1) | 76 (2) | 74 (2) | - | 36 | - | - | 79 | 45 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borna Lassie | Best form at 525-570m around Thurles Park — no 750m form. | — | Runner-up last time | ||||
| 2 | Preferthesister | Won her last two starts stepping up to 550m and 575m — no run at 750m yet but the trend is promising. | — | Won last two starts | ||||
| 3 | Sonsofardcroney | Best form at 525-570m — no 750m form. | — | Weak trap | ||||
| 4 | Drombeg Flash | Best form at 525-550m — no 750m form. | — | Weak trap | ||||
| 5 | Clonbrien Piper | Won over 600m two starts back and placed third over the same trip last time out — the clearest evidence of staying ability in the field, though 750m itself is new. | — | Model pick, best trap | ||||
| 6 | Mojoe Express | All career form over 525m at Limerick — first try at 750m, and drawn in the weakest trap at the trip. | — | Best recent form | ||||
A genuine marathon at 750 metres, testing stamina above all else, and the historical data at this trip backs that up — trap 5 has been comfortably the best box, winning over a third of the time, while traps 3, 4 and 6 have struggled to produce winners at all. This is a strong field for the grade with several runners arriving off good recent form, but the ones with any evidence of handling a longer trip stand out from those whose entire résumé is built at the standard 525m. Expect the finish to be shaped by whoever settles into a rhythm rather than whoever leads earliest — closers and stayers have the structural edge at this distance.
Drawn in the trap that's produced by far the most winners at this marathon trip, and comes into the race with the clearest evidence of staying ability in the field — a win at 600m two starts back followed by a solid third over the same trip last time out. The fastest recorded time of anyone in this line-up too. Stepping up again to 750m is still a leap, but everything about the profile — the trap, the emerging stamina, the pace on the clock — points the right way.
Won her last two starts, stepping up in trip each time from 525m to 550m and then 575m and winning both — a genuine trend of getting better the further she goes, which bodes well for a leap to 750m tonight. Peak recent form of 88 last time out is the strongest recent figure of anyone bar the top form dog in this field. Never raced this far before, but the trajectory is exactly what you want to see ahead of a marathon test.
The strongest recent form in the entire field on paper — two wins in his last five starts with peaks of 94 twice within the last six runs — and trainer John Gerard Cronin's yard is in decent touch at 24 percent. The concern is the draw: trap 6 has been the weakest box at this trip, managing just one winner from 14 runners, and every yard of his form has come over the standard 525m. The class is obvious; the trap and the unknown trip are the risks.
Runner-up in a top grade at Thurles Park last time out and has been racing at a decent level over 525-570m recently. Drawn in a workable trap that's held its own at this marathon trip. Nothing in her recent form suggests she's tried anything close to 750m before, which is the obvious question mark stepping up this far.
Won at 550m last month but form has been volatile — a big peak of 97 sandwiched between much weaker efforts, and finished sixth last time out. Trainer John Byrne's yard runs at a healthy 28 percent strike rate, which is a positive. Drawn in the weakest trap at this trip historically, which is a real drawback on top of the unproven distance.
Middling recent form with a fifth-place finish last time out and nothing especially convincing in the runs before that beyond a scattered win. Trainer Mr. Evan McAuliffe's yard has a low 10 percent strike rate. Drawn in a trap that's struggled at this trip, and there's no evidence yet of how he handles a genuine staying test.
Key insight: 82 runs at this marathon trip show trap 5 clearly the best box, winning more than a third of the time — a genuine structural edge rather than noise. No grade-specific data exists yet for this particular grade, so this is the general picture across all grades at 750m.
T1:23.1% T2:21.4% T3:7.1% T4:7.7% T5:35.7% T6:7.1%
82 condition runs
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (750m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borna Lassie | 0.555 | 0.549 | 0.555 | — | — |
| 2 | Preferthesister | 0.561 | 0.542 | — | 0.545 | — |
| 3 | Sonsofardcroney | 0.559 | 0.541 | 0.565 | — | — |
| 4 | Drombeg Flash | 0.551 | 0.550 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Clonbrien Piper | 0.554 | — | — | — | 0.552 |
| 6 | Mojoe Express | 0.556 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.