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Limerick & Clare GOBA A4 600
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vigorous Xanab 1y 21 | - | - | 58 | - | 73 (2) | 57 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 18 | - | 66 | 37 | 3 | 6/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Mylane Peppyb 2y 33 | - | - | 63 | - | 46 (5) | 66 (4) | 67 (2) | 68 (4) | 66 (5) | 57 (5) | 83 (2) | 67 (5) | 66 (5) | 77 (1) | 23 | - | 17 | - | 64 | 25 | 1 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fergus Roiseb 2y 23 | - | - | 55 | - | 82 (1) | 53 (5) | 68 (4) | 54 (5) | 66 (3) | 63 (3) | 64 (3) | 63 (1) | 35 (4) | 55 (2) | - | 21 | 18 | - | 63 | 30 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Carrigmore Abbieb 1y 21 | - | - | 28 | - | 47 (6) | 65 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 55 | 10 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Corcass Major? ? 24 | - | - | 47 | - | 63 (3) | 52 (4) | 63 (1) | 52 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | - | 58 | 29 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballyelan Sally? ? 22 | - | - | 48 | - | 57 (5) | 63 (4) | 79 (1) | 55 (4) | 62 (3) | 65 (3) | 74 (1) | 64 (2) | 57 (2) | 59 (2) | 40 | 23 | 5 | - | 64 | 36 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigorous Xana | Both career starts were over 525m — no 600m form for anyone in this race. | — | Only 2 career runs | ||||
| 2 | Mylane Peppy | All 10 career runs at Clonmel over 525m — first run at Limerick and first run at 600m. | — | Fastest in field | ||||
| 3 | Knockbawn Lizzie | Extensive Limerick form but all over 525m — first try at 600m. | — | Won last time out | ||||
| 4 | Carrigmore Abbie | Only 2 career runs, well beaten last time out over 525m — no 600m form. | — | Slowest in field | ||||
| 5 | Corcass Major | Only 4 career runs, all over 525m at Limerick — no 600m form. | — | Lightly raced | ||||
| 6 | Ballyelan Sally | Ten Limerick runs building steadily through the grades, all over 525m — first try at 600m. | — | Model pick | ||||
Every single runner in this A4 race is stepping up to 600 metres for the first time in their career — Limerick barely races over this trip, with only a handful of meetings ever run at the distance, so nobody in the field has a proven course-and-distance form line to lean on. That makes this as much a test of stamina as speed. The limited historical data at 600 metres here points to trap 4 and trap 6 as the two best-performing boxes, with trap 6 in particular producing a huge placing record, suggesting the extra distance rewards dogs who settle and finish rather than those who simply fly and fade. With the whole field new to the trip, recent grade form and how a dog has been building at Limerick over shorter trips matter more than raw early speed today.
The most experienced and consistent dog in this field, with ten runs at Limerick showing a steady climb through the grades — two wins along the way and a peak effort not too long ago. She's settled at the track even if 600m is new territory for her too. Trap 6 stands out in the limited data available at this trip, hitting the frame in more than four out of five runs, which fits a proven, tenacious sort like her who might benefit from the extra half-lap to get into her stride. The safest, most rounded profile in a race where nobody has a proven answer to the trip.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and drops in class after racing regularly at A2 and A3 level at Clonmel, so there should be more than enough ability here on paper. The concern is she's never run at Limerick before and steps up to 600m simultaneously — two unknowns at once. Her most recent run was below her best, finishing fifth, but she placed second just two starts back. If she takes to the new track and trip, she has the raw speed to be involved.
Only two career starts to date, both at Limerick over 525m, finishing runner-up both times — promising on limited evidence but genuinely unproven. Stepping up to 600m for the first time makes this a big ask on so little experience, and with only two runs it's too early to call her average performance established. The inside draw is workable but the unknown trip is the bigger question mark.
Won last time out at Limerick, stepping up sensibly from A5 to A4 on the back of that victory, and has plenty of course experience even if all of it has come over 525m rather than today's 600m. Trainer Michael Shine's yard runs at a solid 22 percent strike rate. The step up in trip is the obvious concern given her pace has been built around the shorter distance, but she arrives with genuine form and momentum.
Only two career starts and comfortably the slowest in the field on the clock, beaten a long way in her only run at this grade. Drawn in the trap that has produced the best win rate at this trip in the small sample available, but that data comes from only eleven runs and doesn't outweigh how far off the pace she's looked so far. Hard to trust on what little evidence exists.
Lightly raced with just four starts, all over 525m at Limerick, including a win at a lower grade back in early June. Form has been middling rather than eye-catching since, and there isn't enough evidence to know how he'll handle the extra distance today. A workable draw but an unremarkable form line.
Key insight: No A4-specific data exists at 600m yet, so this is the general 600m picture across all grades (66 runs, only 11 per trap — thin). Trap 6 stands out for placing rather than winning, hitting the frame in over four out of five runs, while trap 3 hasn't produced a single winner in 11 attempts. Oddly the top-rated dog on the model has only won once from 11 tries at this trip — a reminder that nobody has proven form over 600 metres here, so the model's usual edge is diluted.
T1:18.2% T2:9.1% T3:0% T4:36.4% T5:18.2% T6:27.3%
66 condition runs
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (600m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigorous Xana | — | 0.558 |
| 2 | Mylane Peppy | — | 0.559 |
| 3 | Fergus Roise | — | 0.566 |
| 4 | Carrigmore Abbie | 0.550 | 0.571 |
| 5 | Corcass Major | — | 0.566 |
| 6 | Ballyelan Sally | — | 0.565 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.