Loading...
Limerick & Clare GOBA A1 575
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lurriga Lolab 2y 45 | Lucy Roche — 0% R6 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 87 (1) | 56 (5) | 62 (3) | 61 (4) | 49 (5) | 66 (4) | 66 (5) | 76 (1) | 51 (2) | 35 (5) | 25 | 2 | - | - | 64 | 19 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kevinsfort Trumpd 1y 33 | Paraic Campion — 17% R64 W11 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 62 (6) | 75 (4) | 63 (5) | 70 (4) | 92 (1) | 92 (1) | 91 (1) | 88 (1) | 66 (4) | 67 (1) | - | 68 | - | - | 75 | 58 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Carrigmore Hazelb 1y 33 | - | - | 50 | - | 100 (1) | 55 (5) | 55 (4) | 87 (1) | 71 (3) | 70 (3) | - | - | - | - | 25 | 49 | - | - | 74 | 47 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Montore Magicd 2y 23 | Padraig O'Lone — 20% R5 W1 P5 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 80 (2) | 74 (2) | 56 (5) | 59 (5) | 71 (1) | 45 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 29 | - | - | 67 | 44 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Tromora Faithb 2y 33 | - | - | 46 | - | 75 (3) | 64 (5) | 68 (5) | 67 (5) | 20 (5) | 42 (1) | 57 (6) | 46 (6) | 52 (2) | 46 (5) | - | 10 | - | - | 63 | 28 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballyelan Brandy? ? 24 | - | - | 63 | - | 83 (2) | 81 (2) | 95 (1) | 69 (3) | 55 (6) | 63 (4) | 79 (2) | 84 (1) | 66 (2) | 72 (2) | 45 | 38 | 24 | - | 77 | 59 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lurriga Lola | Best recent form over 525m — no runs at this exact 575m trip. | — | Below top grade recently | ||||
| 2 | Kevinsfort Trump | Best recent form over 525m — no runs at this exact 575m trip. | — | Best trap, high track suit | ||||
| 3 | Carrigmore Hazel | Best recent form over 525m — no runs at this exact 575m trip. | — | Huge last-time-out figure | ||||
| 4 | Montore Magic | Best recent form over 525m — no runs at this exact 575m trip. | — | Dead trap historically | ||||
| 5 | Tromora Faith | 32.11 | 32.36 | 32.11 | 46 | 0.00 | Modest form | |
| 6 | Ballyelan Brandy | Best recent form over 525m — no runs at this exact 575m trip. | — | Model pick, fastest & sharpest form | ||||
The top grade on tonight's card over 575 metres, and this is a genuinely well-matched field with several runners in good recent form. The limited data at this trip favours the inside two traps, with trap 2 the best performer and trap 1 close behind, while the outside boxes have struggled to produce winners. Quality and recent peak form matter most in a grade this competitive, and one runner stands out on both speed and current form even without the benefit of the strongest draw.
The best average performance figure and fastest recorded time of anyone in this field, backed up by three strong efforts in a row — 83, 81 and a peak of 95 across her last three starts. That's the kind of sustained quality that stands out even in a strong A1 field. The trap hasn't been a big winner at this trip in the small sample, but the raw ability and current form here are clearly the best on offer.
Drawn in the trap that's been the outright best performer at this trip, and carries by far the highest track suitability figure of any runner in the field, suggesting a real affinity for Limerick specifically. Recent form has cooled slightly with a sixth-place finish last time out, but he showed peaks of 92 twice not long ago, proving the ability is there. A genuine threat to the pick.
Won at a lower grade back in May but has struggled to find that level again since, with modest efforts through her last five starts. Trainer Lucy Roche's yard has a 0 percent strike rate in the recorded sample. Drawn in a trap that's actually performed well at this trip, but the form doesn't back it up against a field this strong.
Produced a huge performance figure of 100 winning last time out at a notably tough grade, the standout single effort of anyone in this field. Form before that had been more modest, so there's some question over whether that was a genuine step forward or a one-off peak. Drawn in a trap that hasn't produced much at this trip, which tempers the enthusiasm slightly.
Runner-up last time out with reasonably consistent form through his recent starts, and trainer Padraig O'Lone's yard runs at a healthy 25 percent strike rate. The trap is the concern — trap 4 hasn't produced a single winner at this trip in the sample so far. Solid without being spectacular.
The one runner with any prior experience at this exact 575m trip, having run sixth here back in December — dated evidence but at least she's tried it before. Recent form has been moderate, third last time out but with a poor run further back. Not enough to trouble the leading contenders in a field this strong.
Key insight: 56 runs at this trip show the two inside traps clearly the strongest, with trap 4 yet to produce a winner. Oddly the model's top-rated dog has actually lost every time in this small sample — a reminder that at the top grade here, raw quality and current form matter more than the model's rankings.
T1:33.3% T2:40% T3:11.1% T4:0% T5:20% T6:11.1%
56 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 575m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (575m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lurriga Lola | 0.564 | — | 0.555 | — | — |
| 2 | Kevinsfort Trump | 0.550 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Carrigmore Hazel | 0.556 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Montore Magic | 0.557 | — | 0.565 | — | — |
| 5 | Tromora Faith | 0.559 | 0.551 | — | 0.563 | 0.576 |
| 6 | Ballyelan Brandy | 0.555 | — | 0.558 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.