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The Boylesports Derby Trial Stake 550
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Senior Cruised 2y 15 | - | - | 69 | - | 80 (1) | 82 (1) | 49 (5) | 72 (2) | 59 (5) | 77 (2) | 52 (6) | 66 (3) | 78 (1) | 66 (2) | - | 17 | - | - | 69 | 55 | 2 | 10/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Kelseys Roseb 2y 33 | - | - | 34 | - | 93 (1) | 42 (5) | 81 (1) | 77 (1) | 63 (3) | 67 (3) | 51 (5) | 80 (1) | 41 (4) | 48 (2) | 49 | - | - | - | 68 | 38 | 5 | 10/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sure Exiled 2y 13 | - | - | - | - | 63 (5) | 96 (1) | 76 (4) | 51 (4) | 50 (3) | 41 (5) | 49 (2) | 44 (6) | 95 (1) | 74 (2) | 45 | 50 | 40 | 77 | 66 | 54 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ivod 3y 23 | - | - | 35 | - | 77 (3) | 66 (3) | 71 (3) | 57 (4) | 58 (5) | 54 (5) | 66 (3) | 72 (2) | 87 (1) | 74 (2) | 41 | 16 | - | - | 68 | 40 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Clonavanny Bobbyd 2y 33 | Tony Winters — 17% R12 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 46 (6) | 77 (4) | 62 (6) | 57 (5) | 71 (3) | 36 (6) | 38 (4) | 42 (5) | 65 (3) | 95 (1) | 4 | 34 | - | 15 | 58 | 36 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Slippery Briand 2y 23 | Graham Holland — 26% R77 W20 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | - | 56 (5) | 61 (6) | 64 (6) | 96 (5) | 97 (1) | 97 (1) | 52 (1) | 99 (5) | 71 (1) | - | - | 15 | 16 | 17 | 74 | 51 | 3 | 4/6 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senior Cruise | 30.42 | 30.82 | 30.42 | 69 | 0.00 | Fastest by half a second | |
| 2 | Kelseys Rose | 30.71 | 31.28 | 31.78 | 34 | +1.07 | Slowest last time | |
| 3 | Sure Exile | No recorded field speed data available. | — | No time data | ||||
| 4 | Ivo | 31.25 | 31.25 | 31.25 | 35 | 0.00 | Best trap historically | |
| 5 | Clonavanny Bobby | No recorded field speed data available. | — | No time data | ||||
| 6 | Slippery Brian | 30.49 | 30.81 | 31.12 | 57 | +0.63 | Second fastest, worst trap | |
A feature stakes race over the 550m staying trip, and the sample of races at this exact grade and distance combination is small enough (42 runs) that the trap and composite patterns should be treated with real caution rather than gospel. What isn't in doubt is the pace picture: Senior Cruise is comfortably the fastest dog in this field on the clock, over half a second quicker than anything else here, and tops the model as well. He does arrive on the back of a win in easier A5 company and hasn't raced this course and distance before, so there's a genuine step up in class to negotiate. Slippery Brian carries the second-fastest figure and the highest average performance rating in the field, making him the clear alternative if the step up catches out the pace-setter.
Comes into this off a facile win at the easier A5 grade over 525m, and the step up to A1 over the longer 550m trip tonight is the obvious question mark. What stands out is the pace — he's fastest in this field by a clear half-second on the clock, and his form of 80, 82, 49, 72, 59, 77 shows he's touched a level well above A5 before. No course and distance form to fall back on at this exact trip, but the raw speed advantage is the biggest single number in the race.
Carries the highest average performance rating in the field on the back of form 56, 61, 64, 96, 97, 97 — three huge performances in recent months show genuine top-end ability even if the last effort was more modest. Second-fastest in the field on the clock behind the selection. Trap 6 has been the weakest box in this small sample, but the sheer quality of his recent peaks makes him the clearest threat if Senior Cruise finds the step up too much.
Also arrives off a recent win at an easier level, but her clock times have been the slowest in this field, drifting out to 31.78 last time. Form of 93, 42, 81, 77, 63, 66 is volatile with one big number but little consistency since. No course and distance runs at this trip to lean on, and the pace concerns are the main issue tonight.
Rates second on the model despite no recorded time data to compare against this field, which makes him hard to fully assess on pace. Form of 63, 96, 76, 51, 50, 41 includes one huge peak at 96 but is otherwise inconsistent. High suitability numbers across the board suggest the model likes his profile here, but the lack of hard time data is a genuine gap in the evidence.
Sits in the trap that has produced the most winners in this small sample, but his own figures don't support the draw doing the work for him — he's towards the back of the field on the clock and form of 77, 66, 71, 57, 58, 54 is modest. One course and distance run without troubling the frame. The trap bias here is based on very few races, so it shouldn't be trusted over his own moderate form.
The lowest average performance rating in the field on form of 46, 77, 62, 57, 71, 36 — inconsistent with a low floor. One course and distance run produced a placing, but there's no time data recorded to gauge his raw pace against this field. Hard to make a strong case for him stepping up against these rivals.
Key insight: Only 42 runs recorded at this exact trip and grade, and the trap and composite patterns look genuinely unusual as a result — trap 4 winning over 40% and the composite model showing almost no edge for the top-rated dog. Treat this as a small, noisy sample rather than a reliable structural signal, and lean on individual pace figures instead.
T1:14.3% T2:14.3% T3:14.3% T4:42.9% T5:14.3% T6:0%
42 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 550m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 550m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (550m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 600m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senior Cruise | — | 0.559 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Kelseys Rose | — | 0.566 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Sure Exile | — | 0.550 | 0.542 | 0.551 | 0.551 |
| 4 | Ivo | — | 0.556 | 0.568 | 0.557 | — |
| 5 | Clonavanny Bobby | — | 0.560 | 0.551 | 0.554 | — |
| 6 | Slippery Brian | 0.576 | 0.553 | 0.555 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.