The Cross Border Six Syndicate 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ugod 3y 26 | - | - | 58 | - | 56 (5) | 73 (3) | 37 (6) | 70 (2) | 55 (6) | 75 (2) | 50 (5) | 89 (2) | 72 (3) | 68 (3) | 50 | 33 | - | 22 | 62 | 35 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Boherash Silinb 2y 27 | - | - | 56 | - | 60 (4) | 49 (6) | 74 (2) | 53 (6) | 71 (2) | 72 (2) | 71 (4) | 69 (4) | 58 (5) | 78 (3) | 10 | 11 | 33 | 19 | 63 | 46 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Waughs Mand 3y 34 | - | - | 52 | - | 48 (6) | 50 (4) | 49 (6) | 79 (2) | 59 (5) | 66 (4) | 91 (1) | 93 (1) | 80 (6) | - | 20 | 49 | - | 31 | 63 | 40 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rosstemple Ashb 3y 34 | - | - | 44 | - | 52 (4) | 60 (2) | 48 (5) | 52 (5) | 51 (4) | 73 (2) | 63 (4) | 64 (2) | 63 (4) | 52 (4) | 19 | 25 | 14 | 16 | 56 | 22 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Small Orderb 3y 25 | - | - | 42 | - | 55 (4) | 59 (2) | 69 (2) | 52 (3) | 49 (5) | 77 (1) | 58 (2) | 70 (2) | 55 (2) | 66 (2) | 18 | 27 | 20 | 36 | 60 | 29 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Sudoky Disaronnob 1y 3 | - | - | 50 | - | 51 (5) | 67 (2) | 58 (4) | 61 (2) | 45 (2) | 52 (3) | 55 (2) | - | - | - | 17 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 56 | 44 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ugo | 28.94 | 29.35 | 29.33 | 58 | +0.39 | Best trap + top speed | |
| 2 | Boherash Silin | 29.05 | 29.36 | 29.31 | 56 | +0.26 | Model pick, weak trap | |
| 3 | Waughs Man | 28.90 | 29.48 | 29.61 | 52 | +0.71 | Dropping from A2 | |
| 4 | Rosstemple Ash | 29.15 | 29.54 | 29.82 | 44 | +0.67 | Slowest in field | |
| 5 | Small Order | 29.29 | 29.60 | 29.76 | 42 | +0.47 | ||
| 6 | Sudoky Disaronno | 29.23 | 29.42 | 29.54 | 50 | +0.31 | Worst trap |
Curraheen Park's 525 metres carries a real inside bias — trap 1 has won just over a quarter of races at this grade (25.6% from 529 runs), while the widest box, trap 6, has managed barely one in eleven (9.1%). The rating model's top pick has only landed 22% of the time at this specific grade here, so it's not a track where you can rubber-stamp the highest-rated dog without checking the draw first. Ugo gets the run of things tonight from the favoured trap 1 and arrives as the fastest recent time in the field, a combination that carries real weight at a course where the rail matters. Boherash Silin rates highest on the model but is drawn in trap 2, one of the weaker boxes here (15.6%), which takes some of the shine off that number. Waughs Man, dropping in from tougher A2 company, has the strongest recent course form of anyone in the race and looms as the biggest threat if the pace up front doesn't hold.
Recent form of 56, 73, 37, 70, 55, 75 shows a dog with a peak well clear of this grade, and he's the fastest in the field on the clock right now with a best time of 28.94. He's also drawn in trap 1, comfortably the best-performing box at this grade and distance — over a quarter of winners here come from the rail. His course and distance record shows four places from seven starts against tougher A1-A3 opposition, so he's proven around this circuit even without a recent win. Dropping into A4 tonight with the top speed figure and the favoured draw is a strong combination.
Rates as the model's top pick tonight with a solid recent line of 60, 49, 74, 53, 71, 72, and he was runner-up to the strongest recent time in the field last time out. The catch is the draw — trap 2 has managed only 15.6% of winners at this grade here, well below the rail box, and he has no wins from six course and distance starts. Talented enough to figure regardless, but the trap works against him.
Drops down from A2 company tonight, where his recent grades of A2, A3, A3, A2, A2, A2 show he's been racing well above this level. His course and distance record is the strongest in the field — two wins and five places from nine runs, including a couple of quick times at 28.90 and 29.10 in the last A2 double. Trap 3 hasn't been kind here (13.3%), but the proven course form and the drop in grade make him a live threat to upset the top two.
The slowest recent time in the field at 29.15 and the lowest average performance rating of the six. Form of 52, 60, 48, 52, 51, 73 shows one big peak run but otherwise fairly modest figures against this level. Trap 4 has been a reasonable box historically (20.7%) but he lacks the pace edge to really trouble the front two tonight.
Form of 55, 59, 69, 52, 49, 77 is volatile but shows a genuine peak at 77, so there's ability in there even if it hasn't shown up lately. Ten course and distance runs have produced just one win, and trap 5 is a middling draw at this grade (15.9%). Capable of running into the frame if the peak resurfaces but hard to fancy on recent evidence.
Steps up from A5 grade with a last-time run of 51 at that easier level. Recent form of 51, 67, 58, 61, 45, 52 is solid without being spectacular, and he rates second on the model. The problem is the draw — trap 6 has been close to a dead box at this grade and distance, managing only 9.1% of winners from 88 runs, the worst by some distance of any trap here.
Key insight: Trap 1 is comfortably the best-performing box at this grade and distance (25.6% from 86 runs), while trap 6 is close to a structural dead draw (9.1%). The top-rated dog here only wins 21.9% of the time — a touch below the wider average for this grade — so the draw carries genuine extra weight.
T1:25.6% T2:15.6% T3:13.3% T4:20.7% T5:15.9% T6:9.1%
529 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ugo | — | 0.558 | — | 0.563 |
| 2 | Boherash Silin | — | 0.559 | 0.564 | — |
| 3 | Waughs Man | — | 0.562 | — | — |
| 4 | Rosstemple Ash | — | 0.563 | 0.559 | 0.558 |
| 5 | Small Order | — | 0.564 | — | — |
| 6 | Sudoky Disaronno | — | 0.563 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.