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The Shelley Fennelly Memorial Open Bitch Stake Final
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Croiab 2y 15 | John A. Linehan — 31% R16 W5 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 100 (1) | 85 (3) | 78 (2) | 100 (1) | 39 (5) | 68 (1) | 40 (6) | 48 (3) | 54 (3) | 67 (1) | 54 | 51 | 43 | 51 | 75 | 54 | 4 | 1/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Rural Anab 2yN/R 24 | Graham Holland — 26% R77 W20 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 81 (3) | 100 (1) | 56 (2) | 51 (5) | 66 (1) | 47 (3) | 66 (1) | 98 (1) | 82 (2) | 75 (3) | 23 | 46 | 27 | 43 | 73 | 50 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Good Katieb 2y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 100 (1) | 73 (4) | 48 (5) | 39 (5) | 55 (3) | 67 (1) | 50 (3) | 67 (1) | 68 (1) | - | - | 25 | 10 | 27 | 66 | 46 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Cosmic Viewb 2y 23 | - | - | 51 | - | 66 (3) | 88 (3) | 72 (2) | 94 (1) | 41 (5) | 48 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 24 | 71 | 40 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Knocknadoguestarb 1y 23 | - | - | 49 | - | 88 (2) | 65 (4) | 37 (5) | 54 (2) | 93 (1) | 92 (1) | 90 (1) | 91 (1) | 68 (3) | 66 (3) | 26 | 15 | 6 | 62 | 73 | 49 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Carrigeen Whitb 2y 15 | Thomas Buggy — 32% R19 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 86 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 42 (5) | 45 (4) | 100 (1) | 70 (5) | 100 (1) | 91 (2) | 100 (1) | - | 61 | 52 | 65 | 83 | 65 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Croia | 29.08 | 29.11 | 29.14 | 46 | +0.06 | Strong C&D record | |
| 2 | Rural Ana | No recorded field speed data available. | — | No time data | ||||
| 3 | Good Katie | 29.06 | 29.06 | 29.06 | 49 | 0.00 | ||
| 4 | Cosmic View | 28.89 | 28.98 | 29.17 | 51 | +0.28 | No C&D wins | |
| 5 | Knocknadoguestar | 28.94 | 29.23 | 28.94 | 49 | 0.00 | ||
| 6 | Carrigeen Whit | 28.88 | 28.97 | 29.08 | 53 | +0.20 | Top rated, best C&D record | |
This is the Bitch Stake Final, the top grade on the card, and the sample of races at this exact AA0 level is small enough (71 runs) that the trap figures should be treated as a lean rather than a hard rule — trap 2 currently reads best at 25% and trap 6 weakest at 9.1%, but with only around a dozen runs per box those numbers can shift quickly. What isn't in doubt is the class gap: Carrigeen Whit rates well clear of this field on the model and has been racing at a different level to the rest, backed up by an outstanding course and distance record. Droopys Croia is the closest thing to a match on figures and has her own strong course record, making her the most obvious danger if the big price doesn't deliver.
Rates clear of this field on the model, with a composite score well ahead of anything else in the race, and her recent form backs it up — two maximum-rated performances in her last six runs and the highest average performance rating in the field by a wide margin. Her course and distance record is outstanding: two wins from three runs and a placing every single time at this exact track and trip. Trap 6 has been the weakest box in this small sample, but the sheer class gap between her and the rest of this field is the dominant factor tonight.
Rates second in the field on the model with a strong course and distance record — two wins and three places from four runs at this exact track and trip (75% place rate). Form of 100, 85, 78, 100, 39, 68 shows two maximum-rated performances mixed with one poor run, but the peaks show she's capable of winning this outright. Trap 1 is a fair, middling draw at this top grade. The clearest danger to the selection if the class gap doesn't tell.
Sits in the best-performing trap in this small sample and has a reasonable course and distance record with one win from two runs. Form of 81, 100, 56, 51, 66, 47 shows one huge peak but otherwise modest figures. No recorded speed data is available to compare her raw pace against this field, which is a gap in the evidence.
One win from two course and distance runs, with recent form of 100, 73, 48, 39, 55, 67 showing a maximum-rated performance not too long ago but plenty of inconsistency either side of it. A fair, unremarkable trap for this grade. The peak shows she can mix it at this level on her day, but the underlying consistency isn't there yet.
The fastest recent time in the field and a big peak of 94 in recent form (66, 88, 72, 94, 41, 48), but two course and distance runs haven't yet produced a win or a place. Zero suitability rating at this track hints the model hasn't seen enough of her here to be confident. The raw pace is there but the course record is a blank so far.
Form of 88, 65, 37, 54, 93, 92 is volatile but includes two near-maximum performances, showing real quality when she's on song. One place from two course and distance runs is a modest early record. A fair, middling trap at this grade. The talent is evident but the inconsistency makes her hard to trust as more than an each-way interest.
Key insight: A small sample at this top grade (71 runs) means the trap and composite patterns are noisy — no single factor stands out strongly, which puts more weight on individual class and course and distance form than usual.
T1:16.7% T2:25.0% T3:16.7% T4:16.7% T5:16.7% T6:9.1%
71 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 350m | 525m | 550m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Droopys Croia | — | 0.545 | — | — |
| 2 | Rural Ana | — | 0.544 | 0.540 | 0.544 |
| 3 | Good Katie | 0.554 | 0.544 | — | — |
| 4 | Cosmic View | — | 0.549 | — | — |
| 5 | Knocknadoguestar | — | 0.550 | — | — |
| 6 | Carrigeen Whit | — | 0.547 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.