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The Elite Canine Transport Ltd 525
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Clonavanny Blued 1yN/R 13 | Tony Winters — 17% R12 W2 P3 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 70 (4) | 94 (1) | 72 (6) | 75 (2) | 89 (2) | 57 (1) | 62 (6) | 67 (4) | 71 (3) | - | 77 | 33 | - | 42 | 75 | 55 | - | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Waughs Singapored 1y 13 | - | - | 39 | - | 66 (3) | 85 (1) | 35 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | - | 23 | 64 | 42 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Millridge Cindyb 2y 25 | - | - | 59 | - | 70 (6) | 66 (3) | 86 (2) | 82 (3) | 88 (2) | 90 (2) | 68 (4) | 84 (3) | 89 (1) | 50 (3) | 42 | 35 | 19 | 30 | 77 | 56 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Butterbridge Guvd 2y 25 | Kieran Lynch — 29% R24 W7 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 56 (6) | 51 (6) | 58 (4) | 90 (1) | 69 (4) | 75 (2) | 66 (4) | 70 (4) | 71 (2) | 53 (3) | - | 35 | - | 18 | 64 | 45 | 4 | 1/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Carefree Captaind 2y 14 | Bernadette Connolly — 15% R52 W8 P26 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 56 (5) | 79 (2) | 65 (3) | 66 (4) | 88 (1) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 17 | - | 25 | 67 | 49 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Mersey Devild 2y 13 | - | - | 0 | - | 45 (5) | 68 (1) | 42 (5) | 37 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 49 | 18 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clonavanny Blue | 28.89 | 29.18 | 29.08 | 55 | +0.19 | Best trap + strong C&D | |
| 2 | Waughs Singapore | 29.38 | 29.38 | 29.38 | 39 | 0.00 | ||
| 3 | Millridge Cindy | 28.93 | 29.04 | 28.93 | 59 | 0.00 | Top speed + top form, weak trap | |
| 4 | Butterbridge Guv | 28.92 | 29.20 | 29.39 | 49 | +0.47 | Worst trap here | |
| 5 | Carefree Captain | 29.00 | 29.22 | 29.16 | 51 | +0.16 | ||
| 6 | Mersey Devil | 30.29 | 30.35 | 30.29 | 0 | 0.00 | Slowest by some way |
The 525m trip at Curraheen Park favours the inside — trap 1 has won over a quarter of races at this A1 grade (26.5%), while trap 4 has been the weakest box (10.1%). The rating model works reasonably well at this level here, with the top pick winning close to a quarter of the time (24.3%). Millridge Cindy rates highest on raw numbers tonight — fastest recent time and the best average performance in the field — but she's drawn in trap 3, one of the weaker boxes (11.6%). Clonavanny Blue sits almost level with her on the model, has the rail draw that this track rewards, and boasts the strongest course and distance record in the race. When the numbers are this close, the draw becomes the deciding factor, and it points to Clonavanny Blue.
Sits right at the top of the model, level with the field's fastest dog, and gets the trap that matters most at this course — the rail box that has won over a quarter of races at this grade. His course and distance record backs it up: two wins and five places from ten runs (50% place rate), the strongest in the field. Form of 70, 94, 72, 75, 89, 57 shows a peak well above this level and enough consistency to trust. With the best draw at the track and the strongest proven record here, he edges it over a marginally faster dog drawn in a weaker box.
The fastest dog in the field on the clock and the highest average performance rating, with form of 70, 66, 86, 82, 88, 90 showing she's been racing at a strong level consistently. Three places from five course and distance runs adds further weight. The one knock is the draw — trap 3 has managed only 11.6% of winners at this grade, well down on the rail box. On raw ability she's the biggest threat to the selection, and if she gets any kind of run through, she can win.
Only three runs of recent form to judge him on — 66, 85, 35 — showing he's capable of a big number but also prone to a flat one. One win from three course and distance starts is a fair early record. Trap 2 has been a moderate box at this grade (17.4%), giving him a workable if unspectacular platform.
Steps up from A0 grade last time out with form of 56, 51, 58, 90, 69, 75 — a big peak at 90 shows genuine ability but the recent line has cooled. One win and three places from ten course and distance runs is a moderate record. Trap 4 is the weakest box at this grade (10.1%), which is a real obstacle on top of the softer recent figures.
Solid if unspectacular form of 56, 79, 65, 66, 88, 46 with a strong 88-rated run a few starts back showing he has more to offer than his last effort suggested. One win and two places from five course and distance runs is a reasonable record. Trap 5 has been a below-average box at this grade (14.9%), which tempers his claims somewhat.
Clearly the outsider on the numbers — the slowest recent time in the field by well over a second and the lowest average performance rating. Form of 45, 68, 42, 37 is modest with only one placing from one course and distance run. Trap 6 has been a reasonable box here (19.1%) but the pace figures are simply too far behind this field to make a case.
Key insight: Trap 1 is comfortably the best-performing box at this grade (26.5% from 68 runs), and the model's top pick works reasonably well here (24.3%). Trap 3, where the model's marginal top rater is drawn tonight, has managed only 11.6%.
T1:26.5% T2:17.4% T3:11.6% T4:10.1% T5:14.9% T6:19.1%
410 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 525m | 550m | 570m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clonavanny Blue | 0.553 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Waughs Singapore | 0.558 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Millridge Cindy | 0.551 | 0.555 | 0.545 | 0.575 |
| 4 | Butterbridge Guv | 0.555 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Carefree Captain | 0.557 | — | — | — |
| 6 | Mersey Devil | 0.571 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.