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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Senahel Katieb 2y 14 | - | - | 51 | - | 98 (1) | 71 (4) | 73 (5) | 92 (1) | 67 (4) | 76 (2) | 67 (5) | 33 (2) | 48 (6) | - | 19 | 33 | 20 | 33 | 78 | 54 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Tag Warriord 1y 14 | Graham Holland — 26% R77 W20 P51 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 99 (1) | 74 (3) | 69 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | 27 | 82 | 56 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dromboy Fantasyb 1y 13 | - | - | 44 | - | 78 (3) | 85 (3) | 63 (4) | 56 (6) | 85 (3) | 89 (1) | 76 (3) | 74 (3) | 56 (5) | 84 (1) | - | 20 | - | 14 | 75 | 48 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ropewalk Rangerd 1y 22 | - | - | - | - | 92 (1) | 46 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 24 | 10 | - | 27 | 71 | 43 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Mister Mylesd 4y 22 | - | - | 53 | - | 65 (4) | 79 (4) | 91 (1) | 94 (1) | 54 (6) | 71 (3) | 69 (3) | 68 (4) | 64 (5) | 70 (4) | 23 | 40 | 10 | 14 | 74 | 53 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Knockaloughd 1y 23 | Kieran Lynch — 29% R24 W7 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | - | 77 (3) | 92 (1) | 91 (1) | 63 (2) | 97 (1) | 88 (1) | 34 (5) | 52 (3) | - | - | 64 | 65 | - | 43 | 78 | 50 | 5 | 2/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senahel Katie | 29.09 | 29.13 | 29.18 | 51 | +0.09 | Best trap by far, won LTO | |
| 2 | Tag Warrior | 28.97 | 28.97 | 28.97 | 60 | 0.00 | Top rated, thin sample | |
| 3 | Dromboy Fantasy | 29.01 | 29.28 | 29.53 | 44 | +0.52 | Best trap-3 track record | |
| 4 | Ropewalk Ranger | No recorded field speed data available. | — | No speed data, worst trap | ||||
| 5 | Mister Myles | 29.00 | 29.25 | 29.00 | 53 | 0.00 | Worst trap here | |
| 6 | Knockalough | 29.48 | 29.48 | 29.48 | 34 | 0.00 | Slowest in field | |
Trap 1 is a genuine powerhouse at this A0 grade over 525m — it has won close to four in every ten races here (39.0% from 41 runs), by far the strongest single-trap bias on the whole card. The rating model, by contrast, is only a moderate guide at this level (18.2% for the top pick), which means the draw should carry more weight in the reasoning than the raw numbers tonight. Senahel Katie has the rail box that dominates this grade and arrives full of running after winning her last start at this exact course, distance and grade. Tag Warrior rates highest of anyone in the race on the model and was equally impressive last time out, but he's drawn in a trap that has managed only 14.6% here and has raced just three times — thrilling on the clock, but the sample is thin.
Won last time out at this exact course, distance and grade, and gets the trap that has been overwhelmingly the best at this level — trap 1 has won 39% of A0 races here, nearly triple the rate of the weakest boxes. Form of 98, 71, 73, 92, 67, 76 shows she's capable of hitting the very top of the scale and is racing consistently well. Seven course and distance runs have produced one win and two places, and with the standout draw on her side she rates the strongest structural case in the field.
Rates top of the model tonight and is the fastest in the field, having won last time out with a big 99-rated performance. The catch is that he's raced only three times in total — a small sample that makes it hard to call this genuinely established form rather than an early flash of ability. Trap 2 has also managed only 14.6% of winners at this grade, well down on the rail box. Talented enough to beat this field on his day, but there's more unknown here than the raw numbers suggest.
Consistent if unspectacular form of 78, 85, 63, 56, 85, 89 with a couple of strong runs mixed through. Ten course and distance runs have produced two wins and two places, a reasonable if unremarkable record. Trap 3 has been the second-best box at this grade (21.9%), giving him a fair platform even without the rail draw.
Won impressively last time out with a 92-rated performance, though he's only raced twice in total, so there's very little to judge him on beyond that one big effort. No recorded speed data is available for this run, adding to the uncertainty. Trap 4 has been one of the weakest boxes at this grade (7.5%), a serious structural obstacle on top of the thin form line.
Form of 65, 79, 91, 94, 54, 71 shows real ability with a couple of big peaks in the last few months, but three course and distance runs have yet to produce a win or a place. Trap 5 has been the weakest box at this grade (7.3%), mirroring trap 4's struggles. The ability is there but the draw is working hard against him.
Solid recent form of 77, 92, 91, 63, 97, 88 with several big numbers showing genuine quality, and a decent course and distance record of two wins and three places from six runs. The problem tonight is pace — he's clearly the slowest in the field on the clock, over half a second off the leaders. Trap 6 is a fair draw (9.8%) but the raw speed gap is hard to overlook.
Key insight: Trap 1 is an outlier at this grade, winning 39.0% from 41 runs — nearly triple trap 4 and trap 5 (both under 8%). The composite model is only moderate here (18.2% for the top pick), so the draw should be weighted more heavily than usual at this specific grade.
T1:39.0% T2:14.6% T3:21.9% T4:7.5% T5:7.3% T6:9.8%
245 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 525m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 525m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (525m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 330m | 525m | 550m | 575m | 750m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senahel Katie | — | 0.552 | — | 0.546 | 0.566 |
| 2 | Tag Warrior | — | 0.547 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Dromboy Fantasy | — | 0.553 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Ropewalk Ranger | — | 0.552 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Mister Myles | — | 0.555 | 0.553 | — | — |
| 6 | Knockalough | 0.542 | 0.555 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.