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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westfield Tigrisb 3y 6 | J L Smith — 19% R90 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 59 (2) | 64 (1) | 58 (2) | 35 (5) | 48 (4) | 44 (4) | 43 (5) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 67 (3) | 43 | 24 | 34 | 32 | 55 | 49 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Glengiblin Jennyb 1y 17 | R Mccarthy — 20% R179 W35 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 27 | 63 (1) | 28 (5) | 48 (2) | 46 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 30 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 47 | 35 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Glengiblin Daved 1y 5 | R Mccarthy — 20% R179 W35 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 59 (3) | 50 (2) | 47 (3) | 63 (1) | 53 (3) | 42 (4) | 62 (1) | 43 (3) | 31 (5) | 48 (2) | 22 | 37 | 31 | 31 | 52 | 45 | 2 | 11/10F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Westfield Siouxd 3y 24 | J L Smith — 19% R90 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 15 | 100 | 29 (3) | 26 (4) | 23 (4) | 56 (3) | 50 (4) | 45 (4) | 70 (1) | 68 (1) | 63 (1) | 57 (2) | 14 | - | 48 | - | 57 | 17 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fionntra Bestd 2y 4 | R Mccarthy — 20% R179 W35 P114 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 33 | 47 (4) | 48 (5) | 40 (5) | 40 (5) | 56 (2) | 65 (1) | - | - | - | - | 23 | 28 | 16 | 17 | 48 | 38 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfield Tigris | 26.71 | 27.00 | 26.90 | 54 | +0.19 | Model pick | |
| 5 | Fionntra Best | 26.73 | 27.05 | 27.06 | 50 | +0.33 | Late runner | |
| 3 | Glengiblin Dave | 26.80 | 27.12 | 26.91 | 50 | +0.11 | Consistent | |
| 2 | Glengiblin Jenny | 26.92 | 27.38 | 26.92 | 43 | 0.00 | Won last week | |
| 4 | Westfield Sioux | No 435m form — recent runs are 245m sprints, older form at 388m. Times not directly comparable. | — | Sprint form only | ||||
Star Pelaw's 435 metres is the ultimate front-runner's trip — nearly half of all winners here lead from the first bend to the line, the highest rate in the country, and the inside boxes are favoured. At A7 grade trap 1 wins a healthy 22.7% and traps 4 and 5 slightly more, while trap 3 is the quiet box at 17.2% — and the fastest dog on the ratings converts an excellent 30.7% at these conditions. That all points one way: Westfield Tigris has the top speed rating in the field, breaks sharply and loves to bowl along in front from the rail draw. Glengiblin Jenny and Fionntra Best are both held up for late runs — they need the leaders to falter, which rarely happens here. Glengiblin Dave is the versatile one who can sit handy and pounce if Tigris blinks.
The fastest dog in the field on speed ratings — and the quickest dog wins nearly one in three at this grade and trip here. She breaks well, races on the rail and likes to lead, exactly the style that dominates a track where almost half the winners go all the way. Won at this grade three weeks ago and has finished second twice since, including against better A6 company last week. Nine runs at this course and distance with a win and four places — she knows her way round. The clear one to beat.
The most reliable dog in the race — top-three in five of his last six, including a win at this grade in mid-June, and two wins from ten course-and-distance starts. Versatile enough to sit handy off the leader and pounce late. The catch is the draw: trap 3 is the weakest box at this grade, winning just 17.2%. If he gets a clean first bend he is the biggest threat to the selection.
Won this grade last week with easily her best recent run, so she arrives on a high. The problem is her style — the slowest into stride in the field, she gives them all a start and relies on a big late surge. At a track where nearly half the winners lead throughout, that leaves her needing trouble in front. Place claims if the early pace collapses, but the selection's style is exactly the kind she struggles to peg back.
Quickest to the first bend on ratings, but everything else is against her — her three recent runs are modest 245-metre sprints, she has never raced this course and distance, and her older longer-trip times from Suffolk Downs don't measure up here. Blisteringly fast early but weakens badly late. Could show in front briefly before the pack swallows her up.
Held up for a late run and honest with it — she stays on, but the form has been lukewarm: four straight finishes outside the top three before fourth last week. Won at this grade in early June so she isn't out of her depth, but she needs a strong early pace to fall apart in front of her, and that is not how races usually unfold at this track.
Key insight: The fastest-rated dog wins 30.7% at A7 over 435m (140 runs) — the strongest single signal at these conditions. Trap 3 is the weak box at 17.2% from 87 runs.
T1:22.7% T2:21.1% T3:17.2% T4:23.2% T5:23.2% T6:14.7%
528 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 435m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Westfield Tigris | 57 | 46 | Front Runner |
2Glengiblin Jenny | 11 | 97 | Closer |
3Glengiblin Dave | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Westfield Sioux | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Fionntra Best | 37 | 78 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 435m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (435m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 220m | 245m | 388m | 435m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Westfield Tigris | 0.650 | — | — | 0.621 |
| 2 | Glengiblin Jenny | — | — | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Glengiblin Dave | — | — | — | 0.623 |
| 4 | Westfield Sioux | — | 0.621 | 0.637 | — |
| 5 | Fionntra Best | — | — | — | 0.622 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.