| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nowsnotthetimed 2y 26 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 37 | 30 (5) | 61 (1) | 61 (1) | 42 (4) | 59 (1) | 46 (4) | 52 (2) | 40 (2) | 50 (3) | 54 (2) | 47 | 47 | 46 | 45 | 47 | 47 | 5 | 10/11F | |
| 2 | ▶ Comer Pennyb 3y 5 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 50 | 40 (5) | 46 (3) | 34 (5) | 29 (5) | 32 (5) | 42 (4) | 41 (4) | 31 (5) | 46 (3) | 32 (5) | 25 | 31 | 40 | 31 | 42 | 37 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Nothing In Yab 2y 15 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 58 | 31 (5) | 37 (1) | 32 (2) | 37 (1) | 33 (2) | 28 (5) | 34 (2) | 51 (2) | 12 (6) | 53 (2) | 48 | 36 | 31 | 46 | 46 | 45 | 3 | 13/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Redbrick Coold 2y 18 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 46 | 38 (1) | 30 (2) | 33 (3) | 37 (1) | 41 (3) | 47 (2) | 49 (2) | 39 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (5) | 40 | 41 | - | 41 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Millhouse Charmb 3y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 48 (3) | 42 (3) | 49 (2) | 45 (3) | 44 (4) | 45 (3) | 41 (2) | 41 (4) | 40 (4) | 58 (1) | 47 | 42 | 39 | 42 | 48 | 46 | 1 | 10/1 | |
The projected winner, though the margins in this race are wafer-thin and confidence is tentative. Redbrick Cool brings composite 45 (tied with Millhouse Charm), average perf 46, and an All-Rounder profile (EP 51, CS 50) that gives tactical flexibility. His form of 40-38-43-40-38 is remarkably consistent — he runs to almost exactly the same level every time, which at B3 is just about competitive without being spectacular. Suitability is solid across the board (trap 47, track 43, distance 43) — not leading the field but in the mix. T5 at 23.01% from 239 runs is one of the three strongest structural positions in B3. Trainer Gaskin at 26.83% from 41 B3 runs is a strong signal. The case for Redbrick Cool is consistency plus structural position — he is the dog most likely to run to his rating from a favourable draw. The risk is that 40-43 efforts may not be enough if Nowsnotthetime or Millhouse Charm fires above average.
DANGER: Mirror image of the pick on ratings and profile, with marginal structural advantage from T6 (23.39%). The B4 win (58 perf) shows ability but the 37-41 recent line and weaker trainer are the differentiators. Could easily win this.
Highest raw perf (49) and Watson trainer but a serial placer who has not won at B3 in recent memory. The Closer style and inside rail give a place chance every time but the EP 41 means too much ground to make up.
Lowest speed (39) and inconsistent form (32 to 57). Calvert trainer edge is a positive but cannot overcome the fundamental speed limitation. Needs chaos to feature.
Best bend rating (60) will see her lead early but the Fader profile (CS 0) and weakest trap (T3, 18.58%) mean she is the pace-setter rather than the winner. Look for her to weaken from bend 3.
Very even trap distribution at B3 with T1/T5/T6 all around 23%. No clear structural edge — this comes down to form and pace profile. Watson 21.21% and Calvert 27.45% are the trainer signals.
T1:23.21% T2:21.27% T3:18.58% T4:20.83% T5:23.01% T6:23.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Nowsnotthetime | 41 | 100 | Closer |
2Comer Penny | 50 | 49 | All-Rounder |
3Nothing In Ya | 56 | 0 | Fader |
5Redbrick Cool | 48 | 70 | Closer |
6Millhouse Charm | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.