PGR on Sky Sports Red Button
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Swift Factorb 2y 8 | D P Brabon — 23% R359 W81 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 67 (2) | 86 (1) | 69 (2) | 78 (3) | 57 (5) | 77 (2) | 83 (2) | 88 (1) | 49 (5) | 66 (4) | 63 | 69 | 23 | 43 | 66 | 64 | 3 | 1/1F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ask The Wardenb 2y 18 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 42 (5) | 51 (5) | 60 (3) | 40 (4) | 68 (2) | 55 (3) | 42 (5) | 53 (5) | 68 (3) | 80 (1) | 40 | 57 | - | 57 | 72 | 61 | 1 | 13/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Dans Peachb 1y 5 | D P Brabon — 23% R359 W81 P212 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 50 | 64 (3) | 42 (6) | 65 (3) | 84 (1) | 46 (5) | 58 (5) | 52 (5) | 46 (4) | 83 (1) | 78 (1) | 44 | 52 | 18 | 42 | 63 | 55 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Silver Trumpetb 4y 15 | R Pattinson — 17% R123 W21 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 42 | 62 (3) | 61 (4) | 57 (4) | 78 (1) | 65 (3) | 53 (4) | 64 (4) | 100 (1) | 53 (4) | 67 (3) | 30 | 36 | - | 30 | 63 | 49 | 5 | 20/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Earls Rosieb 3y 15 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R282 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 66 | 58 (2) | 53 (4) | 65 (2) | 56 (4) | 52 (5) | 80 (1) | 75 (2) | 60 (3) | 33 (4) | 39 (2) | 37 | 28 | 20 | 34 | 58 | 47 | 4 | 6/1 | |
Ask The Warden emerges as the structural standout in a race with inverted prediction fundamentals, where the first-choice pick paradoxically underperforms venue composite (16.8% vs 19.9% for third choice). This dog transcends the model contradiction via form explosivity that cannot be ignored: four wins from the last five runs (form line 3,1,1,1,1) represents elite consistency at A2 grade where most runners show far more volatility. Performance rating of 74 is the field's highest, and speed rating of 57 leads the field decisively—12 points clear of Swift Factor's 46, indicating genuine pace superiority. The front-runner pace profile (bend 54, early pace 55, close speed 50) aligns with established profile: this dog dictates tempo early and relies on tactical superiority rather than closing burst. Suitability mean of 47 is respectable for A2, with track rating 68 and distance rating 68 indicating profound comfort at this venue and distance. The 67 pace consistency score shows reliable execution. Here's the structural insight: Ask The Warden's four-from-five form record suggests it has genuinely improved, elevating above its baseline suitability metrics. In a race where prediction models fail to differentiate (inverted composite), form explosivity and demonstrated class trajectory become decisive. This dog has proven it can beat A2 rivals repeatedly at this venue; the prediction ranking may underweight recent elevation.
Three wins last five show form explosivity; closer profile gains traction at 491m distance. Suitability weak; prediction appropriate.
T4 advantage offset by speed deficit and weak distance suitability. Stepping up from A3. Second prediction likely trap-biased.
Weak suitability and inconsistent form. Closer without distance legs. Unlikely to threaten top finishers.
Fader without close speed unsuited to 491m. Form inconsistent. Likely to fade if closers accelerate late.
At 491m A2, first bend still dominates but closers gain ground compared to shorter distances. The inverted composite order (R1 worse than R3) signals that raw prediction models fail to capture what works at this grade/distance—likely because A2 dogs are more evenly matched and form volatility matters more than baseline suitability. Ask The Warden's four-from-five form record is the structural standout in a race with inverted fundamentals.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Swift Factor | 47 | 61 | Closer |
3Ask The Warden | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Dans Peach | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Silver Trumpet | 43 | 100 | Closer |
6Earls Rosie | 66 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.