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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Imokilly Lingerd 2y 16 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 35 (6) | 31 (2) | 34 (4) | 34 (3) | 26 (3) | 32 (4) | 31 (4) | 34 (4) | 31 (2) | - | 30 | 25 | 36 | 25 | 34 | 31 | 6 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Seals Beautyb 3y 26 | J J Luckhurst — 15% R283 W43 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 29 (2) | 25 (5) | 31 (5) | 28 (5) | 38 (2) | 26 (5) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 22 (4) | 35 (4) | 29 | 25 | 51 | 27 | 31 | 29 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ King Wilsond 2y 17 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 41 (2) | 34 (4) | 44 (1) | 47 (1) | 46 (1) | 46 (1) | 41 (2) | 34 (5) | 32 (3) | 29 (5) | 36 | 48 | - | 38 | 33 | 36 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 4 | ▶ Ferndale Freeb 3y 27 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 21 (6) | 41 (1) | 27 (4) | 41 (1) | 30 (3) | 28 (5) | 36 (1) | 31 (3) | 22 (6) | 24 (5) | 28 | 37 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 32 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Monbeg Princed 5y 14 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 30 (5) | 28 (5) | 27 (5) | 36 (1) | 25 (3) | 35 (2) | 23 (5) | 24 (6) | 31 (4) | 34 (2) | 49 | 35 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 35 | 5 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Greenhall Tokyod 5y 26 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 28 (5) | 29 (3) | 29 (4) | 34 (4) | 33 (2) | 27 (3) | 32 (6) | 35 (4) | 34 (2) | - | 44 | 35 | 27 | 32 | 33 | 36 | 2 | 11/4 | |
King Wilson emerges as the pick based on the most distinctive pace profile on the card: early pace rating of 100 is the field's only maximum EP score, combined with zero pace consistency (CS:0) and zero class suitability (0), creating an unmistakable all-out front-runner profile. At 277m on a tight Central Park circuit where 44% of races are all-the-way winners, an all-out EP:100 profile is powerful - he's designed to lead aggressively from trap 3 and hold on through the short sprint. Average performance of 33 is mid-field but not the concern; the pace profile is. Speed rating of 55 is adequate and paired with maximum EP:100 indicates genuine pace advantage. Recent form reads 3,5,3,1,1 across last five - two position 1 wins in the last three runs showing he can convert his front-runner tactics into victories. Trap 3 at 16.9% is neutral in a field with dominant traps at T1 and T6, but for a pure front-runner with maximum EP, trap position is less critical than pace profile. Track suitability of 48 indicates Central Park affinity for this specific pace profile. In a LOW SEPARATION race (R1:21.4% vs R3:17.1%), the rare EP:100 all-out pace profile becomes a primary signal that overrides raw rating advantages. Trainer Mavrias' 14% strike rate is respectable. The convergence of maximum early pace (EP:100) + recent winning form (1,1 in last 3) + Central Park track suit (48) in a race where front-runners win 44% makes King Wilson the pick.
Trap 1 dominance (20.8%) negated by confirmed fader profile (CS:0) and below-average track suit. Expected to lead and fade rather than hold on at sprint distance.
Dead trap (T2:13.7%) + below-average performance (31) + weak suitability across all metrics + poor form. Structural headwind too great to overcome.
Volatile form with reasonable trap position (T4 19.9%) but below-average speed (48) limits competitiveness. Mid-pack type without pace dominance.
Lowest performance (29) on card plus second-worst trap (15.7%) plus severe speed deficit (39). Structural disadvantage too great.
Trap 6 dominance (20.7%, 323 runs) supports this runner, and recent position 1 win is positive. However, volatile form (sixth immediately before win) and below-average trainer create uncertainty.
Two dominant traps (T1 20.8%, T6 20.7%) and one dead trap (T2 13.7%). LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins 21.4% vs R3 at 17.1% - just 4.3pp gap meaning trap bias is more reliable than ratings. Dogs in dominant traps with decent form should be favoured. Dogs in T2 need class superiority to overcome structural headwind.
T1:20.8% DOMINANT | T2:13.7% DEAD | T3:16.9% | T4:19.9% | T5:15.7% | T6:20.7% DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.