| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Renaes Girlb 3y 16 | N F Carter — 17% R255 W44 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 22 (3) | 19 (4) | 19 (3) | 24 (3) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 19 (4) | 22 (3) | 26 (2) | 43 (5) | 14 | 20 | 14 | 20 | 39 | 29 | 5 | 11/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Hollyoak Ronaldd 2y 7 | R W Butler — 17% R224 W38 P111 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | - | 20 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (6) | 29 (1) | 18 (3) | 20 (4) | 17 (5) | 15 (5) | 16 (5) | 17 (5) | 25 | 19 | - | 11 | 14 | 17 | 2 | 33/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Difficult Choiced 1y 6 | G L Davidson — 14% R227 W31 P101 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 16 (5) | 18 (5) | 26 (2) | 21 (5) | 20 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | 83 | 79 | 30 | 79 | 29 | 52 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Super Trickb 1y 26 | S Mavrias — 17% R239 W40 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | - | 47 (5) | 23 (5) | 32 (1) | 29 (1) | 54 (2) | 37 (4) | - | - | - | - | 38 | 28 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 29 | 4 | 8/11F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Derryveen Run Onb 7y 15 | M Mavrias — 17% R317 W53 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 17 (5) | 15 (5) | 14 (6) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 21 (3) | 13 (6) | 23 (2) | 20 (3) | 25 (2) | 28 | 38 | 37 | 32 | 19 | 25 | 6 | 20/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Eire Tomd 4y 24 | M Mavrias — 17% R317 W53 P159 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 29 (1) | 20 (5) | 24 (3) | 27 (1) | 21 (2) | 21 (4) | 24 (2) | 16 (6) | 40 | 36 | 29 | 32 | 22 | 29 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
Eire Tom emerges as the pick despite modest absolute figures (average 22, speed 50 at field midpoint), primarily because of pronounced structural positioning advantage. The critical factor is trap 6 dominance at Central Park 277m D5: 27.7% win rate from 101 runs represents a 10.7pp advantage over expected 16.7% baseline, a massive overperformance reflecting Central Park's specific layout. Speed rating 50 is adequate pace to contest early without being a pace-setter. Form reads 3,1,2,4,2: position 1 placing demonstrates he can win from this trap, and position 2 in most recent run shows current form. Track suitability of 37 indicates Central Park affinity. Distance suitability of 33 shows 277m holds no challenge. Last performance of 24 is solid mid-range. The combination of trap 6 dominance (backed by 101 runs), Central Park experience (track suit 37), and recent winning form from trap 6 creates a convergence supporting the pick.
Exceptional recent form (4 from 5) but data gaps and class suitability concerns create genuine risk. Potential danger if form is reliable.
Moderate ability masked by recent form collapse and poor pace profile for this sprint distance. Unlikely to contend.
Honest but slow. Critical speed deficit at sprint distance makes this a poor match for 277m demands.
Raw speed potential contradicted by actual 0-from-2 record. Data gaps and class concerns warrant avoidance despite speed rating.
Mid-range grinder with limited affinity for this combination. Outpaced by faster dogs early. Unlikely to feature.
Trap 6 dominance is pronounced. At 277m sprint distance on a tight circuit, gate speed and first-bend execution are paramount.
T1:17.6% T2:16.7% T3:19.4% T4:16.1% T5:19.4% T6:27.7% DOMINANT
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 277m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (277m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Renaes Girl | 0.626 | 0.629 | — |
| 2 | Hollyoak Ronald | 0.631 | — | — |
| 3 | Difficult Choice | 0.630 | — | — |
| 4 | Super Trick | 0.613 | 0.617 | 0.574 |
| 5 | Derryveen Run On | 0.636 | — | — |
| 6 | Eire Tom | 0.630 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.