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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Easy Kiteb 2y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 21 (5) | 28 (3) | 27 (2) | 25 (4) | 24 (4) | 23 (5) | 29 (6) | 34 (4) | 37 (2) | - | 70 | 55 | 18 | 55 | 31 | 41 | 1 | 10/3 | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Gemb 5y 24 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 87 (3) | 75 (3) | 36 (2) | 33 (2) | 41 (1) | 29 (4) | 37 (5) | 66 (1) | 48 (3) | 53 (3) | 37 | 37 | - | 34 | 42 | 40 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Da Presidentd 3y 17 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 23 (4) | 26 (5) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 37 (1) | 20 (5) | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 21 (5) | 57 (4) | 64 | 41 | - | 61 | 29 | 38 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Crystal Baleb 2y 19 | K Everitt — 20% R81 W16 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 37 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (2) | 33 (3) | 22 (3) | 41 (2) | 37 (1) | 32 (1) | 31 (1) | - | 61 | 64 | 30 | 62 | 32 | 43 | 2 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Rising Apollod 3y 36 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 41 (2) | 57 (1) | 39 (4) | 32 (3) | 50 (2) | 37 (3) | 16 (3) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 61 (5) | 33 | 29 | - | 41 | 35 | 35 | 5 | 15/8 | |
The projected winner, and while the margins are razor-thin, the structural position provides the edge. Easy Kite sits in the DOMINANT T1 position which wins 26.27% from 217 runs at Doncaster 275m D2 — the strongest structural advantage in this race. Her suitability profile is the best in the field across trap (61), track (51), and distance (55), confirming proven individual form at these exact conditions. The raw performance numbers are modest — 31 average with form of 36-26-31-35-35 — but at D2 sprint level, nobody in this field is setting the world alight. She won at D3 last time from T1 (position 1) and placed 2nd in D3 the time before, showing she can compete from the inside rail. The lack of pace profile data means we cannot assess her early speed, which is a risk at sprint distance. But T1 at 275m on a fair track gives the inside rail advantage through the first bend, and her CD suitability scores suggest she knows how to use it. Trainer Calvert at 17.14% from 70 D2 runs is moderate.
DANGER: Explosive early pace (EP 100, bend 75) is the most important factor at 275m. Fader profile matters less at sprint distance. T4 is structurally weak (17.25%) and form is declining (18 last time), but the raw speed through the first bend could be enough.
Inflated 47 average from trials — competitive D2 form shows a 29 perf. Williams at 3.45% from 29 D2 runs is a dealbreaker. T2 is structurally weak. Cannot recommend.
Pure Closer at sprint distance is a structural mismatch that trap position cannot overcome. Two D3 wins show ability but D2 pace will be faster and he will not have time to close. Trap suit 81 and T3 at 23.6% are wasted on a dog who starts too slowly.
Two 5th-place finishes in recent D2 outings tell the story. The 60 perf is from a lower context. Not fast enough to compete at this grade despite a decent T6 draw.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 24.84% vs R3 20.27% — just 4.6pp gap. R4 at 27.87% actually wins MORE than R1 — highly unpredictable grade. T1 DOMINANT at 26.27% from 217 runs. Watson at 26.09% from 69 runs and Lapidge at 27.59% from 29 runs are top trainers.
T1:26.27% T2:18.64% T3:23.6% T4:17.25% T5:25.12% T6:21.24%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.