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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vinegarhill Kurnd 2y 17 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 54 | 38 (4) | 30 (4) | 69 (2) | 43 (5) | 60 (1) | 61 (1) | 59 (1) | 58 (1) | 44 (4) | 58 (1) | 55 | 48 | 68 | 45 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 9/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Abigails Marinab 2y 9 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 55 | 60 (1) | 47 (2) | 48 (3) | 42 (3) | 49 (6) | 59 (1) | 46 (3) | 57 (2) | 47 (4) | 58 (1) | 40 | 41 | 29 | 41 | 47 | 45 | 2 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Moss Solod 4y 14 | K Everitt — 17% R82 W14 P48 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 44 | 43 (4) | 46 (4) | 46 (3) | 45 (3) | 41 (4) | 62 (1) | 28 (5) | 50 (3) | 58 (1) | 49 (3) | 24 | 40 | 19 | 37 | 48 | 43 | 5 | 10/3 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Jessicas Girlb 3y 7 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 52 | 42 (4) | 40 (4) | 46 (3) | 39 (5) | 51 (2) | 37 (5) | 40 (5) | 36 (4) | 37 (5) | 56 (1) | 42 | 42 | 30 | 30 | 42 | 41 | 3 | 14/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Redbrick Lunab 3y 16 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 45 | 22 (5) | 31 (2) | 33 (2) | 26 (4) | 36 (5) | 53 (2) | 34 (4) | 48 (2) | 52 (2) | 52 (2) | 67 | 53 | 40 | 48 | 45 | 49 | 4 | 4/5F | ||
The strongest case for a pick across the entire Doncaster card today. Vinegarhill Kurn leads the field on average perf (53), composite (51), and crucially has a class suitability score of 71 — far above anything else in the field. This tells you he has been competing at higher grades and has the proven ability to dominate at B3. Form reads 59-58-44-58-46 — three of his last five are 58-59 level performances, with the 44 and 46 looking like quiet runs rather than a decline. He is an All-Rounder (EP 50, CS 50) from T1 which wins 23.21% at B3, and his suitability is the field best across every dimension (trap 54, track 48, distance 44, class 71). Watson at 32% is the elite trainer, and Watson placing this dog on the inside rail against a field featuring one Fader is a deliberate tactical choice — sit on the rail, let the Fader set the pace, and pick her off. Two recent B3 wins confirm he is the real deal at this grade.
DANGER: Field-best pace (EP 57, bend 55) with a 58 peak at B3. Fader profile creates risk but the early speed advantage from T2 could build a decisive lead. The 6-point perf gap to the pick is significant but not insurmountable if she gets clear.
Erratic Closer with field-best speed (50) but the lowest trap suit (17) and 18-to-58 form range. Too unreliable to trust despite a B3 win on his best day.
11-point perf gap to the pick (42 vs 53) makes this non-competitive despite a decent T5 position. The 56 B3 win was the exception rather than the rule. Outclassed.
Strong suitability (trap 68, track 53) and T6 structural advantage (23.39%), but form swings from 34 to 53 make her unreliable. The best structural position in the race but 7 points behind the pick on perf and deeply inconsistent.
NORMAL separation at B3. Even trap distribution. Watson at 21.21% from 33 B3 runs. Vinegarhill Kurn sits on T1 (23.21%) which is strong for an All-Rounder tracking the pace.
T1:23.21% T2:21.27% T3:18.58% T4:20.83% T5:23.01% T6:23.39%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vinegarhill Kurn | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
2Abigails Marina | 57 | 0 | Fader |
4Moss Solo | 44 | 100 | Closer |
5Jessicas Girl | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Redbrick Luna | 50 | 80 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.