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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Vixons Bugattid 1y 5 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 73 | 47 | 35 (5) | 65 (3) | 55 (2) | 50 (4) | 60 (1) | 50 (3) | 45 (2) | 42 (2) | 63 (6) | - | 72 | 65 | 51 | 65 | 53 | 58 | 1 | 8/15F | |
| 3 | ▶ Avongate Queenb 3y 15 | K Everitt — 20% R81 W16 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 58 | 38 (2) | 31 (4) | 36 (2) | 47 (2) | 48 (2) | 47 (3) | 44 (3) | - | - | - | 48 | 43 | 14 | 27 | 44 | 42 | 3 | 2/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Amazing Emperord 3y 3 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 37 (3) | 42 (3) | 33 (5) | 40 (4) | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 50 (2) | 12 (4) | 40 (4) | 35 (4) | 21 | 23 | 28 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 4 | 20/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Glitter Cookyb 4y 35 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 42 | 28 (5) | 46 (2) | 40 (2) | 39 (4) | 41 (4) | 31 (5) | 43 (4) | 36 (3) | 34 (5) | 38 (4) | 21 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 38 | 33 | 5 | 14/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Smasherb 1y 3 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 52 | 37 (4) | 60 (1) | 41 (4) | 52 (2) | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 42 (4) | 56 (1) | 31 (4) | 32 (4) | 26 | 23 | - | 23 | 38 | 33 | 2 | 5/1 | |
The class act of this field and the deserved pick. Vixons Bugatti leads the field on average perf (50) and composite (52) with a 4-point perf gap over the second-best (Avongate Queen at 46) — in a B5 race where composite rank 1 wins 26.93%, this edge is meaningful. She is a pure Closer (EP 0, CS 100) who will be last or second-last into the first bend, but her closing speed ratio of 100 means she finishes stronger than any other dog. Doncaster 450m is a fair track that allows Closers to thrive, especially when a Fader sets honest pace ahead. Suitability is the best in the field — trap 69 is exceptional, and track 49 confirms strong CD form. Speed 59 is joint-best. T1 at 19.59% from 97 runs is slightly above expected. Trainer Lapidge at 28.57% from 7 B5 runs is respectable. The form reads 45-42-18-15-24 which looks concerning on the surface, but the 18 and 15 are from trial races that massively depress the recent line — her competitive form of 45-42 at B5 is adequate, and her average of 50 includes older form that shows higher peaks. The structural case is strong: best composite, best suitability, Closer style on a fair track.
DANGER: DOMINANT T3 (29.66%) with field-best pace (EP 66, bend 63). Fader profile creates risk at 450m but the structural advantage and early speed could be enough. Trial form (14, 22, 18) is misleading — competitive B5 form of 44-47 is genuine.
Outclassed at 33 perf in a field where the pick runs 50. DEAD T4 (16.91%) and lowest suitability across the board. Non-competitive at B5 level.
Consistent mid-pack Closer who places but cannot win against the field best. 12-point perf gap to the pick. Place possibility if the pace collapses but not a winning contender.
Two-grade class jump from B7 to B5 with competitive form of 31-32. Class suit 0 confirms no B5 pedigree. The B7 win flattered by grade. Hard to see him competing here.
NORMAL separation: R1 26.93% vs R3 15.7% — 11.2pp gap, meaning composite rank 1 has genuine predictive power here. T3 DOMINANT at 29.66% from 118 runs. Watson at 33.33% from 12 runs is the top trainer.
T1:19.59% T2:23.01% T3:29.66% T4:16.91% T5:19.43% T6:21.88%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Vixons Bugatti | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Avongate Queen | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Amazing Emperor | 51 | 41 | All-Rounder |
5Glitter Cooky | 45 | 100 | Closer |
6Grouchos Smasher | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.