| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Put Things Rightd 2y 110 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 62 (5) | 62 (1) | 58 (1) | 61 (2) | 61 (1) | 46 (1) | 53 (3) | 44 (2) | 40 (4) | - | 50 | 47 | 25 | 45 | 52 | 50 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Redbrick Icemand 2yN/R 7 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 19 | 38 | 60 (1) | 33 (5) | 39 (4) | 35 (5) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 59 (1) | 43 (3) | 59 (1) | 50 (2) | 42 | 51 | - | 48 | 44 | 45 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killduff Sashab 4y 34 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 40 | 41 (5) | 47 (3) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 85 (6) | 69 (2) | 50 (3) | 72 (4) | 87 (2) | - | 62 | 52 | 23 | 45 | 58 | 56 | 3 | 12/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Daleroad Dasherd 2y 9 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 64 (3) | 62 (1) | 43 (4) | 38 (5) | 47 (3) | 43 (4) | 40 (5) | 40 (4) | 62 (1) | 48 (3) | 46 | 44 | 33 | 35 | 48 | 46 | 4 | 13/8 | |
| 5 | ▶ Rolo Twixd 2yN/R 12 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 61 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 6 | 61 | - | 61 | 61 | 55 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Reenaderry Roadd 2y 112 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 54 | 57 (1) | 54 (2) | 91 (1) | 60 (1) | 92 (1) | 72 (3) | 71 (2) | 62 (1) | 48 (2) | 46 (3) | 75 | 63 | 45 | 60 | 53 | 58 | 1 | 5/6F | |
The projected winner with the strongest convergence of structural and form factors on the entire Doncaster card. Reenaderry Road sits in the DOMINANT T6 position which wins an extraordinary 31.43% from 140 runs at Doncaster 450m B1 — nearly double the expected rate and the highest single-trap win percentage across all of today's races. Her suitability profile is the field best — trap 75 is exceptional, track 63 is field-leading, and distance 60 confirms extensive CD form. She is a Fader (EP 61, CS 0) with the best early pace in the field (61) and a strong bend rating (54) that will see her first or second through the first bend. Form reads 62-48-46-53-50 — the 62 included a B2 win, and the 53 and 50 show she can perform at B2 level, which is one grade above this race. Watson at 32% and 30.77% from 13 B1 runs is the elite trainer. The only concern is the Fader profile at 450m — but T6 at 31.43% suggests that Faders from T6 at B1 specifically can hold on, likely because the outside draw gives clear running through the first bend and the lead is established before the fade kicks in. This is genuine convergence: DOMINANT trap + field-best suitability + elite trainer + front-running pace profile = the best pick of the card.
DANGER: Watson-trained Fader with two 61 performances from the second-best trap (T1, 28.1%). The margin to the pick is thin — this is a two-horse race between T1 and T6. Watson intent at B1 commands respect.
DEAD T2 (12.87%) and class suit 0 — a B4-grade dog thrown into a B1 race. The structural and class barriers are insurmountable. Non-competitive.
Highest average perf (58) and a B1 winner, but the 20-24 form collapse in her last two runs is a dealbreaker. Something appears wrong — whether fitness, injury, or confidence. Cannot be backed until the form stabilises.
Third-best Fader in a race where two better Faders have stronger structural positions. The 40-43 form plateau and DEAD T4 (16.31%) make him non-competitive against the top two.
One stunning 61 perf at B2 but three trials before that mean his true B1 ability is unproven. T5 structural weakness (16.86%) and trap suit 6 create real barriers. Fascinating talent but too many unknowns to trust.
NORMAL separation: R1 24.38% vs R3 12.73% — 11.65pp gap. T6 DOMINANT at 31.43% from 140 runs — by far the strongest trap. T1 also strong at 28.1%. T2 DEAD at 12.87%. Watson at 30.77% from 13 runs, Verner at 33.33% from 3 runs (small sample).
T1:28.1% T2:12.87% T3:22.68% T4:16.31% T5:16.86% T6:31.43%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Put Things Right | 56 | 27 | Fader |
2Redbrick Iceman | 44 | 73 | Closer |
3Killduff Sasha | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Daleroad Dasher | 61 | 0 | Fader |
5Rolo Twix | 27 | 100 | Closer |
6Reenaderry Road | 61 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.