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nottingham-greyhounds.co.uk Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Bonnet Lilyb 3y 24 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 43 | 53 (5) | 54 (6) | 65 (3) | 46 (4) | 92 (5) | 85 (1) | 72 (2) | 60 (1) | - | - | 45 | - | - | - | 63 | 42 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Talkb 1y 17 | M T Munslow — 22% R131 W29 P81 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 48 | 82 (1) | 51 (4) | 63 (3) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 8 | - | 21 | 64 | 46 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Aghaburren Lucasd 2y 18 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 54 | 72 (2) | 82 (1) | 66 (6) | 69 (3) | 54 (3) | 63 (5) | - | - | - | - | 12 | 17 | 18 | 26 | 69 | 48 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Skyfall Ornab 2y 35 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 43 | 52 (5) | 74 (4) | 75 (2) | 87 (3) | 67 (1) | 78 (3) | 49 (2) | 46 (6) | 62 (6) | - | 39 | 38 | 38 | 32 | 67 | 34 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Barntick Tigerd 2y 13 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 58 | 70 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 10 | - | - | 70 | 51 | 1 | 6/5F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonnet Lily | 30.57 | 30.67 | 30.67 | 48 | +0.10 | Low suitability | |
| 2 | Swift Talk | 30.58 | 30.75 | 30.58 | 48 | 0.00 | Won last, top trainer | |
| 3 | Aghaburren Lucas | 30.54 | 30.74 | 30.58 | 48 | +0.04 | 2nd last time | |
| 4 | Skyfall Orna | 29.98 | 30.48 | 30.81 | 58 | +0.83 | Fastest, off 2 months | |
| 5 | Barntick Tiger | 30.46 | 30.46 | 30.46 | 57 | 0.00 | Only 1 career run |
Nottingham's 500m trip is traditionally a trap 1 track where the tight opening bend punishes wide draws, but the A2 grade tells a different story - trap 2 has actually been the pick of the boxes recently at 21.7%, with trap 1 slipping to under one in six. Swift Talk gets that favoured trap 2 draw and arrives on the back of a facile win last time out, stepping up in grade for a trainer who's the standout figure in this conditions data at 32%. Skyfall Orna is the fastest of this bunch on the clock and carries the best all-round suitability figures, though she's had almost two months off and her last effort was below her best. Barntick Tiger has only had the one run in the system - a promising fourth at a tougher grade than this - but there simply isn't enough evidence yet to trust her fully. Aghaburren Lucas was runner-up last time out and remains open to more improvement.
Won impressively last time out at the grade below and steps up here full of confidence, trained by the standout figure in this conditions data at 32% - comfortably the best trainer percentage in the field. Draws trap 2, which has been the pick of the boxes at this grade recently. Form has been on an upward curve across her last four starts, finishing strongest when it mattered most. Not the fastest on the raw clock, but the trajectory, the trainer form and the draw all point the same way.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and carries the best all-round suitability figures for this course, trip and grade of anyone here. The concern is recency - she's been off for almost two months and her only run back was below her usual standard. On her figures from earlier in the year she'd be right there, but she needs to prove that form is still there.
Showed useful form a few runs back but her last two efforts have been below that level, and her suitability figures for this course, trip and grade are all worryingly low. Tends to lead but loses ground late. Others have stronger claims on current evidence.
Runner-up last time out and has been racing consistently well, with a trainer among the more reliable operators in this data. Races flexibly and isn't reliant on the pace collapsing to get involved. A solid each-way alternative to the market leaders.
Only the one run in the system, but it was a promising effort - fourth in a tougher grade than this at the track. There simply isn't enough evidence yet to know how good she really is, and the suitability figures for these specific conditions are largely unproven. Watch the market for a steer.
Key insight: Trainer M T Munslow stands out at 32% from 25 runs at this grade, well clear of the rest of the field, and trap 2 has edged clear as the pick of the boxes at 21.7% while trap 4 has lagged at 14.3%.
T1:16.5% T2:21.7% T3:20.1% T4:14.3% T5:20.2% T6:15.0%
1,494 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Bonnet Lily | 0 | 10 | Fader |
2Swift Talk | 39 | 62 | Closer |
3Aghaburren Lucas | 57 | 69 | All-Rounder |
4Skyfall Orna | 50 | 40 | All-Rounder |
5Barntick Tiger | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 500m | 525m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bonnet Lily | — | 0.607 | 0.561 | — |
| 2 | Swift Talk | — | 0.615 | — | — |
| 3 | Aghaburren Lucas | — | 0.615 | — | — |
| 4 | Skyfall Orna | 0.609 | 0.610 | — | — |
| 5 | Barntick Tiger | — | 0.609 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.