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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballybrazil Aced 2y 17 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 83 (1) | 39 (6) | 61 (3) | 44 (4) | 55 (5) | 55 (5) | 81 (1) | 68 (3) | 67 (4) | 64 (4) | 17 | 21 | 33 | 24 | 61 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dower Hollyb 2y 27 | L Cook — 22% R122 W27 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 61 | 67 | 61 (4) | 73 (2) | 78 (2) | 79 (1) | 64 (5) | 75 (2) | 58 (4) | 62 (4) | 76 (2) | 46 (6) | 12 | 39 | 22 | 35 | 69 | 53 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Alwaysoptimisticd 1y 5 | J Llewellin — 15% R372 W56 P209 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 42 | 70 (2) | 61 (3) | 66 (3) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 83 (1) | 76 (1) | 60 (2) | 54 0 | - | 28 | 37 | 26 | 34 | 67 | 53 | 4 | 15/8 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Micks Missiled 2y 25 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 57 | 59 (4) | 72 (2) | 56 (4) | 71 (2) | 45 (3) | 85 (1) | 52 (5) | 68 (2) | 27 (4) | 25 (3) | 34 | 33 | 14 | 32 | 63 | 44 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Broomfleet Flyerd 1y 15 | K Wilton — 25% R203 W51 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 46 | 61 (4) | 84 (1) | 49 (4) | 78 (1) | 53 (5) | 74 (1) | - | - | - | - | 42 | 43 | 20 | 40 | 67 | 50 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballybrazil Ace | 30.34 | 30.71 | 30.45 | 58 | +0.11 | Won last (same conditions) | |
| 2 | Dower Holly | 29.98 | 30.44 | 30.93 | 61 | +0.95 | Model pick | |
| 3 | Alwaysoptimistic | 30.44 | 30.72 | 30.55 | 55 | +0.11 | 2nd last (behind Ballybrazil) | |
| 5 | Micks Missile | 30.60 | 30.82 | 30.90 | 45 | +0.30 | Slowest of the pack | |
| 6 | Broomfleet Flyer | 30.40 | 30.89 | 30.94 | 46 | +0.54 | Top trainer figure |
Nottingham's 500m trip usually favours trap 1, but at A3 grade the data tells a different story - trap 3 has been the pick of the draw recently at nearly 21%, while trap 1 and trap 5 have lagged towards 16%. Dower Holly is both the fastest dog in the field on the clock and the best on recent average form, backed up by a trainer among the stronger operators in this data and a genuinely consistent racing pattern. Ballybrazil Ace won last time out in this exact grade and trip, beating Alwaysoptimistic into second on that occasion, and remains the clearest alternative on the clock. Broomfleet Flyer carries the strongest trainer figure of anyone in the field and the best-balanced suitability numbers, but her recorded speed is towards the back of this group. Micks Missile is the outsider on the figures.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and also boasts the best average recent form of anyone here. Races flexibly rather than depending on one running style and has been a genuinely consistent performer, rarely running a bad race. The trainer's figures at this grade are among the stronger in the field too. Trap 2 isn't the standout box at this level, but with this level of quality across speed and form, that's a secondary concern. The clear pick on the figures.
Won last time out in exactly this grade and trip, beating Alwaysoptimistic - also in this field - into second on that occasion, which is a relevant and recent form line. The second-fastest dog in the field on the clock too. The one query is consistency - she tends to be fast early but can lose ground late, and her pace pattern has been up and down. If she reproduces her last effort, she's fully capable of following up.
Runner-up last time out in this exact grade and trip, beaten by Ballybrazil Ace who also lines up here today. A genuinely consistent performer who finishes strongly from off the pace. Solid claims, but she has it to find with the form line in front of her.
The slowest of the more established form lines in this field on recorded times, and her recent finishes have been solid without threatening the principals. Tends to lead but can weaken late. Others have stronger claims on the figures today.
Carries the strongest trainer figure of anyone in this field at 30%, and her suitability figures for this course and distance are the best-balanced in the race. Finishes powerfully from off the pace. The recorded speed is towards the back of this group, which is the main concern.
Key insight: Trap 4 has edged clear as the best box at this grade (21.6%) while trap 1 has been the weakest at 15.8%, a reversal of the track's usual pattern.
T1:15.8% T2:18.4% T3:20.7% T4:21.6% T5:16.3% T6:17.6%
2,218 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballybrazil Ace | 55 | 20 | Fader |
2Dower Holly | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Alwaysoptimistic | 26 | 91 | Closer |
5Micks Missile | 61 | 0 | Fader |
6Broomfleet Flyer | 27 | 81 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 305m | 480m | 483m | 500m | 525m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballybrazil Ace | — | — | 0.624 | 0.611 | — |
| 2 | Dower Holly | — | — | — | 0.609 | 0.562 |
| 3 | Alwaysoptimistic | — | — | — | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Micks Missile | 0.615 | 0.619 | — | 0.616 | — |
| 6 | Broomfleet Flyer | — | — | — | 0.618 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.