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ARC Maiden 480m Trophy - Heat 1
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jackieruad 1y 22 | J Gray — 21% R203 W42 P128 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 0 | 93 (1) | 87 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 11 | 35 | - | - | 90 | 58 | 1 | 1/3F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Swingb 1y 12 | P H Harnden — 15% R354 W54 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | 100 | 55 (5) | 68 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 18 | 10 | - | - | 61 | 48 | 2 | 8/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Flyhigh Starb 2y 26 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 100 | 31 (1) | 24 (3) | 32 (6) | 35 (6) | 55 (6) | 43 (5) | 52 (4) | 64 (6) | 81 (1) | 68 (2) | 8 | 18 | - | 29 | 49 | 34 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Droopys Possibled 1y 1 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Vair Little Legsb 1y 34 | K A Lempard — 20% R41 W8 P25 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 29 | 0 | 22 (1) | 59 (4) | 57 (5) | 51 (5) | 69 (4) | 66 (2) | 22 (6) | 79 (1) | 56 (2) | - | 23 | 16 | - | - | 51 | 26 | 4 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackierua | 28.93 | 29.03 | 28.93 | 58 | 0.00 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Droopys Swing | 28.52 | 28.74 | 28.96 | 70 | +0.44 | Fastest, unproven fit | |
| 3 | Flyhigh Star | Last run was a 270m sprint - a major step up in trip today. | — | Huge trip step-up | ||||
| 4 | Droopys Possible | No recorded form in the system - complete unknown. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 6 | Vair Little Legs | 28.73 | 29.79 | 30.00 | 29 | +1.27 | Worst trap in sample | |
Nottingham's 480m trip usually punishes wide draws hardest at the tight run to the first bend, and the pattern in this specific OR3 sample backs that up in part - trap 1 and trap 3 have shared the honours at around 30% apiece, while trap 6 has blanked completely from 20 runs. What stands out most at this level is how reliable the top-rated dog has been: the leading fancy on the numbers has won an extraordinary 44% of races in this sample, far above the norm. Jackierua fits that profile perfectly - by some distance the best performer in this field on recent figures, drawn in one of the two best boxes, and unbeaten in her short career so far. Droopys Swing is the fastest of the group by a distance on the clock but her suitability figures for this course and grade are largely unproven. Flyhigh Star arrives from a completely different type of race at a much shorter trip, and Droopys Possible has no recorded form to assess at all. Vair Little Legs draws the one box that has blanked entirely in this sample.
By some distance the best performer in this field on recent figures - two starts, two big efforts, both well clear of what anyone else here has shown. Drawn in trap 1, tied for the best-performing box in this sample at over 30%. Races flexibly rather than relying on one running style, and has been metronomically consistent in her brief career so far. The sample is short, so there's an element of the unknown, but on what she's shown, she's clearly a cut above this field. At this level the top-rated dog has been unusually reliable, and the figures point emphatically her way.
The fastest dog in this field by a wide margin on the clock, with blistering early pace to match. The concern is that her suitability figures for this course, trip and grade are all close to zero, and she's only had two starts to work with. If she can translate that raw speed into a clean run, she's fully capable of testing the selection, but there's real uncertainty around how she fits these conditions.
Arrives from a completely different type of race - a sprint at less than 300m - and now steps up sharply to this galloping trip. That's an enormous jump in distance and the form doesn't translate directly. Fast into her stride but has plenty to prove at this level and trip.
No recorded form in the system to assess, so this is a complete unknown. The trainer has another runner in this race with modest recent figures, offering little extra guidance. Impossible to make a confident case either way - watch the market.
The slowest dog in the field on recorded times and draws the one box that has blanked completely in this sample of races. Finishes off races from behind but there's little in the profile to suggest she can trouble this level. Others have much stronger claims.
Key insight: The top-rated dog has been exceptionally reliable in this sample, winning 44% of races - one of the strongest composite signals seen anywhere at Nottingham - while trap 6 has blanked completely from 20 runs.
T1:30.3% T2:17.9% T3:30.0% T4:26.7% T5:13.8% T6:0.0%
181 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jackierua | 62 | 100 | All-Rounder |
2Droopys Swing | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Flyhigh Star | 0 | 0 | Fader |
4Droopys Possible | — | — | No data |
6Vair Little Legs | 38 | 100 | Closer |
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jackierua | — | — | — | 0.605 | — |
| 2 | Droopys Swing | — | 0.594 | — | 0.603 | — |
| 3 | Flyhigh Star | 0.612 | — | 0.612 | 0.611 | 0.623 |
| 4 | Droopys Possible | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Vair Little Legs | — | — | — | 0.620 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.