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ARC Maiden 480m Trophy - Heat 2
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Salacres Showoffb 1y 25 | P H Harnden — 15% R354 W54 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 59 | 31 (6) | 54 (6) | 26 (2) | 24 (2) | 13 (6) | 23 (4) | 16 (5) | - | - | - | 11 | - | - | - | 42 | 40 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Slick Senatord 1y 1 | P Janssens — 25% R53 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 4/6F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ereborb 1y 1 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 9 | - | - | - | - | 26 | 4 | 11/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Longacres Smokeb 2y 33 | J L Smith — 19% R90 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 0 | 77 (3) | 54 (4) | 54 (6) | 61 (6) | 75 (4) | 55 (3) | 81 (3) | 73 (3) | 86 (1) | 76 (4) | 13 | - | - | 13 | 67 | 29 | 2 | 9/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Jacktavern Ringod 1y 22 | A W Sear — 25% R4 W1 P2 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 50 | 73 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | - | - | 73 | 43 | 1 | 13/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Showoff | 28.77 | 28.77 | 28.77 | 66 | 0.00 | Different circuit, poor form | |
| 2 | Slick Senator | No recorded form in the system - complete unknown. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 3 | Erebor | No recorded form in the system - complete unknown. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 4 | Longacres Smoke | 29.10 | 29.10 | 29.10 | 50 | 0.00 | Proven open-race form | |
| 6 | Jacktavern Ringo | 29.24 | 29.24 | 29.24 | 43 | 0.00 | Model pick, worst trap | |
Nottingham's 480m trip usually rewards the inside two or three boxes through the tight run to the first bend, and in this specific OR3 sample trap 1 and trap 3 have shared the best figures at around 30% while trap 6 has blanked completely from 20 runs. This is an unusually hard race to read - two of the six runners have no recorded form in the system at all, and none of the others arrive with a clean, directly comparable profile. Jacktavern Ringo showed the best individual form figure of anyone here on his single outing, but draws the one box that has blanked completely in this sample - a genuine conflict between quality and structure. Longacres Smoke has previously proven himself at a proper open-race level, even if over a much longer trip, and gets one of the better boxes. Salacres Showoff has the pick of the draw on paper but his recent form and suitability figures are poor, and he arrives from what looks like a different level of racing altogether. Slick Senator and Erebor are complete unknowns with nothing recorded to go on.
Showed the best individual form figure of anyone in this field on his only outing to date, rating clear of every rival with recorded form. The concern is the draw - trap 6 has blanked completely in this sample of races, which is a serious structural knock and the obvious reason to treat this as a speculative selection rather than a confident one. If he breaks well and gets a clear look at it, the raw ability on show is the best in the race.
One of only a handful of runners here with a genuine open-race form line, having finished third in a proper OR-grade contest last time out, albeit over a considerably longer marathon trip. Draws one of the two best-performing boxes in this sample of races and finishes his races off strongly from off the pace. The step down in trip is a small unknown, but he's a proven performer at this level in a field where evidence is in short supply. The likeliest runner-up if the selection doesn't have his measure.
Gets the pick of the boxes on the numbers, but his recent form has been on a downward trend and his suitability figures for this course, class and distance are all essentially zero. Appears to be stepping up from a different level of racing altogether. Hard to have confidence given the poor recent evidence.
No recorded form in the system to assess, making this a genuine unknown. The trainer has a fair overall record but that offers little specific guidance here. Watch the market for a steer rather than backing blind.
Like his kennel-mate in this race, there's no recorded form to go on, so this is impossible to assess with any real confidence. The trainer has a fair overall record but there's nothing specific here to lean on. One for the market to sort out.
Key insight: This is an unusually thin race for form data - two runners have nothing recorded at all - but the trap pattern from this OR3 sample still applies: trap 6 has blanked from 20 runs while traps 1 and 3 have shared the best figures.
T1:30.3% T2:17.9% T3:30.0% T4:26.7% T5:13.8% T6:0.0%
181 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Salacres Showoff | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Slick Senator | — | — | No data |
3Erebor | — | — | No data |
4Longacres Smoke | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Jacktavern Ringo | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 245m | 270m | 435m | 460m | 480m | 500m | 590m | 630m | 661m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salacres Showoff | — | 0.625 | — | 0.619 | — | 0.599 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Slick Senator | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Erebor | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Longacres Smoke | 0.622 | — | 0.616 | — | 0.606 | — | 0.638 | 0.619 | 0.646 |
| 6 | Jacktavern Ringo | — | — | — | — | 0.609 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.