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ARC Sprint Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Born Racerd 3y 23 | C Weatherall — 17% R98 W17 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | - | 100 (1) | 82 (3) | 55 (4) | 98 (1) | 100 (1) | 71 (1) | 81 (4) | 82 (3) | 67 (5) | 78 (4) | 51 | 44 | 62 | 30 | 83 | 49 | 1 | 5/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Yahoo Meganb 4y 36 | P Janssens — 25% R53 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | - | 100 (1) | 98 (2) | 100 (1) | 73 (4) | 83 (2) | 79 (3) | 54 (2) | 100 (1) | 75 (4) | 88 (2) | 71 | 30 | 70 | - | 88 | 49 | 2 | 10/11F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Nunos Nuggetd 3y 6 | L Cook — 22% R122 W27 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 77 (3) | 43 (1) | 76 (3) | 31 (6) | 75 (4) | 34 (4) | 39 (2) | 34 (4) | 76 (3) | 74 (4) | 62 | 35 | 12 | 28 | 76 | 63 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Belmullet Boozerd 3y 34 | J L Smith — 19% R90 W17 P50 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 100 | 40 (4) | 77 (3) | 45 (3) | 42 (4) | 36 (2) | 58 (4) | 38 (3) | 93 (1) | 70 (5) | 40 (3) | 2 | - | 14 | - | 58 | 31 | 4 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Ayup Sausageb 1yN/R 5 | B Denby — 23% R256 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 4 | 0 | 23 (2) | 31 (2) | 38 (2) | 42 (1) | 32 (5) | 40 (4) | 43 (4) | 43 0 | 62 (5) | - | 40 | 28 | - | 48 | 37 | 36 | - | - | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Born Racer | 17.98 | 17.98 | 17.98 | 60 | 0.00 | Won last (same conditions) | |
| 2 | Yahoo Megan | No 305m form - all recent races at 270m. Adjusted speed rating used for comparison. | — | Steps up from 270m | ||||
| 3 | Nunos Nugget | 18.11 | 18.24 | 18.26 | 49 | +0.15 | 3rd last time (same race) | |
| 4 | Belmullet Boozer | No proven form at this course, distance or grade - steps down from a 460m B1 contest. | — | New grade and trip | ||||
| 6 | Ayup Sausage | 18.98 | 19.16 | 19.14 | 4 | +0.16 | Clearly slowest | |
Nottingham's 305m sprint plays flatter than the standard trip - the gap between best and worst trap is much smaller than at 500m - but in this specific OR-grade sample trap 4 has stood out at nearly 29% and trap 1 has lagged at just 11%. Yahoo Megan arrives as the fastest and highest-rated dog in the race by a distance, having won her last two starts in flying style, though she steps up in trip having raced almost exclusively at 270m rather than this 305m journey. Born Racer won his last start in these exact conditions and carries strong suitability figures across the board, but does so from trap 1, which has been the weakest box in this sample. Nunos Nugget was third in the same race last time out and holds a favoured trap. Belmullet Boozer draws the standout box on the numbers but arrives from a very different grade and trip, with almost no proven form at this level. Ayup Sausage is a clear step below the rest on the figures.
The fastest and highest-rated dog in this field by a distance, with three peak-level performances in her last four starts including back-to-back wins. At a sprint trip like this, raw pace matters more than anything else, and she has it in abundance. The one thing to note is she steps up in trip, with her recent form all at 270m rather than this 305m journey, but it's a modest step and her class should see her through it. A clear leading fancy on the figures.
Won his last start in exactly these conditions - same track, same trip, same grade - and carries the most well-rounded suitability figures of anyone in the race. The second-fastest recorded time in the field too. The one knock is the draw: trap 1 has been the weakest box in this sample, winning barely one in nine. If he breaks well regardless, he's fully capable of following up.
Third in this exact race last time out and draws one of the better boxes in the conditions data. Consistent enough to be competitive without standing out as a standout threat. A fair each-way alternative to the market principals.
Draws the trap that's actually performed best in this sample of races, but arrives from a very different type of contest at a much longer trip, and has almost no proven form at this course, distance or grade. Fast into his stride on the figures shown. Impossible to assess with real confidence from what's on offer.
Clearly the weakest on the figures in this field, with the lowest rated recent form and the slowest recorded time by some distance. Finishes off races from behind but there's little evidence she can live with this level. Others have much stronger claims.
Key insight: Trap 4 has been the standout box in this OR-grade sample at nearly 29%, while trap 1 has lagged well behind at just 11.4% - a smaller sample than the standard trip but a clear pattern.
T1:11.4% T2:15.2% T3:23.8% T4:29.0% T5:15.8% T6:17.9%
214 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 305m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 305m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (305m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 277m | 280m | 305m | 450m | 460m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Born Racer | 0.594 | — | 0.573 | 0.590 | — | — |
| 2 | Yahoo Megan | 0.592 | 0.586 | 0.583 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Nunos Nugget | — | — | — | 0.597 | — | — |
| 4 | Belmullet Boozer | 0.597 | — | — | — | 0.593 | 0.592 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.