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Suffolk Downs Maiden Sprint
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Westfield Tigrisb 3y 35 | J L Smith — 26% R81 W21 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 52 | 35 (5) | 47 (4) | 44 (4) | 43 (5) | 65 (3) | 69 (2) | 65 (4) | 64 (1) | 47 (3) | 47 (2) | 55 | 38 | - | 28 | 52 | 49 | 2 | 14/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Browns Swiftiesb 2y 17 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 60 | 26 (4) | 25 (6) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 33 (1) | 27 (3) | 13 (5) | 80 (3) | 77 (2) | 63 (2) | 35 | 48 | 15 | - | 70 | 56 | 1 | 15/8 | |
| 3 | ▶ Mia Jezabelleb 3y 27 | P J Manley — 23% R61 W14 P43 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 29 | 20 (3) | 23 (1) | 10 (6) | 59 (5) | 79 (1) | 89 (2) | 87 (2) | 67 (2) | 83 (2) | 78 (1) | 50 | 61 | 20 | 40 | 78 | 66 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Moaning Sugarayd 2y 35 | D B Whitton — 26% R313 W82 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 28 | 41 (6) | 84 (5) | 86 (2) | 72 (3) | 54 (1) | 29 (3) | 53 (2) | 65 (2) | 27 (1) | - | 47 | 10 | 17 | 14 | 61 | 47 | 5 | 10/11F | |
| 6 | ▶ Westfield Bettyb 3y 16 | J L Smith — 26% R81 W21 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 23 (4) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 35 (1) | 81 (2) | 38 (4) | 55 (6) | 67 (4) | 23 (5) | 48 | 33 | 10 | 18 | 43 | 41 | 4 | 8/1 | |
Browns Swifties is picked from T2 (not dominant T3), which is concern at venue where trap dominance extreme (T3 36% vs T4 10.34%). However, her form is strong (real form P80, P77, P63, P79, P64 ignoring trial P13) and composite (56) with average performance (70) show genuine OR quality. Speed (49) is moderate, but bend (60) is solid for sprint navigation. Early pace (58) is moderate—not explosive but functional. As Fader, sets early and holds, which suits sprint dynamic. Trainer M P Brown (24% strike rate) shows quality placement. Distance suitability (0) is red flag, but this is 220m regular dog in 220m race. Concern is T2 position (approximately 16-20% win rate estimate, well below T3's 36%). However, pick justified by form strength and OR-class metrics despite trap disadvantage. Confidence: Tentative.
Tigris is All-Rounder (composite 49, avgPerformance 52) from T1 with moderate form (65, 64, 48, 48, 58). Speed 37 below average; bend 52 moderate. T1 position (estimated 18-20%) not dominant T3 (36%) but reasonable. Will run competitively but lacks form and metrics to threaten Swifties. Moderate profile makes him secondary consideration, likely fourth or fifth finish.
Mia Jezabelle from T3 (36% dominant position) has excellent form (real P59→P80→P89→P87→P68 showing upward trajectory). AvgPerformance 78 strong, composite 66 solid. Speed 53 moderate; bend 29 weak—concerning for dog closing from back. Closer (early pace 0) requires late running room which 220m provides marginally. However, T3 position massive advantage. Despite weak bend, T3 dominance (36%) may override. T3 position significant but not enough to overcome Swifties' form advantage. Legitimate danger.
Sugaray is Fader (early pace 26 below average) with moderate form (84, 86, 72, 54, 29) showing recent decline. T4 is dead (10.34%) at 220m—extreme disadvantage. Composite 47 and avgPerformance 61 below pick. Speed 52 moderate. Combination of T4 dead position and recent form decline (P29 latest) suggests outsider status. Unlikely to threaten top three.
Betty is Closer (bend 45, early pace 50) with moderate composite 41 and avgPerformance 43. T6 position (estimated 14-22%) not dominant. Form weak (23, 47, 67, 37, 27) showing inconsistency. Speed 43 below average. As Closer in 220m sprint with weak form and weak speed, lacks threat to pick. Likely bottom-half finisher.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 220m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.