| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Queen Katherineb 1y 26 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 91 (1) | 80 (2) | 76 (3) | 36 (4) | 74 (3) | 86 (2) | 37 (4) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 28 (4) | 47 | 57 | 34 | 69 | 38 | 45 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Eddies Giftb 2y 27 | D Puddy — 16% R91 W15 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 55 (5) | 63 (4) | 70 (3) | 83 (3) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 30 (5) | 35 (5) | 70 (2) | 44 (6) | 67 | 50 | 31 | 51 | 53 | 56 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tracton Starbarb 1y 17 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 79 (4) | 77 (3) | 46 (1) | - | - | - | - | 39 | 66 | 30 | 51 | 69 | 60 | 3 | 10/3 | |
| 4 | ▶ Without Justiced 4y 26 | B D O'sullivan — 18% R544 W99 P302 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 33 (3) | 33 (5) | 31 (5) | 46 (1) | 34 (5) | 42 (2) | 40 (2) | 47 (1) | 42 (2) | 37 (3) | 48 | 52 | 47 | 51 | 45 | 47 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Krabd 2y 16 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 59 | 34 (5) | 45 (6) | 100 0 | 48 (1) | 47 (1) | 70 (1) | 45 (5) | 100 (4) | - | - | 53 | 55 | 40 | 51 | 67 | 61 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Sirlb 1yN/R 32 | R Pattinson — 17% R125 W21 P74 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 41 (6) | 88 (1) | 47 (1) | 47 (1) | 39 (3) | 42 (1) | 28 (4) | - | - | - | 13 | 66 | 47 | 64 | 42 | 41 | - | - | |
Swift Krab is the clear class act in this field with h3 89.7 — a massive 7.3 points clear of the nearest rival — and average performance of 67, which is 18 points above the field average of approximately 49. This is the kind of class gap that overrides pace profile concerns. She's a Closer (EP 25, CSR 100) which at 277m sprints is normally a disqualification, but when the class edge is 18 points, the dog can afford to lose lengths early and still close because the raw ability is so superior. Her form of 2-1-2-1-6 shows two wins and two places — the 6th last time is concerning, but prior to that she was in superb form. Suitability is strong across all dimensions (track 55, distance 51, trap 53, class 40) — the most complete suitability profile in the race. Trainer Brabon at 30% is the joint-strongest signal. Speed of 52 is competitive. T5 at 15.31% from 320 runs is below average structurally, which is a negative. But her class advantage is so large that even from a weak trap, she should be closing on rivals who can't match her ability level.
DANGER: Dead T2 draw (10.05%) but personally thrives there (trap suit 67, highest in field). EP 78 is field-best for a sprint where early pace matters. Three wins from five with Puddy at 28%. The individual data fights the structural data — and at 277m, the individual may win.
Four consecutive wins and the dominant T6 draw (23.62%) look attractive, but trap suit of just 13 from T6 and avgP 25 points below the pick is a double concern. Best CD suitability (track 66, distance 64) but the class gap at D1 may be too large.
Three consecutive wins and avgP 69 make him look dangerous, but the model's h3 of 60.6 (vs Swift Krab's 89.7) reflects a compositional weakness. Strong CD suitability from T3 but Mavrias at 8% and no pace data leave uncertainty.
Structurally well-drawn in T4 (21.98%) with balanced suitability and consistent form. But the class gap to the top two runners is too large — avgP 45 vs 67 and 53. Solid D1 performer who will be competitive but unlikely to win against this quality.
Strong CD suitability (distance 69, track 57) and Brabon at 30%, but weakest avgP in the field (38) from the structurally weak T1. Three wins suggest ability at a lower level but the class gap to the top of this D1 field is severe.
Strong outside-middle trap bias identical to R2. But this field is much higher quality with avgP 67 at the top. Speed rank 1 wins 23.95% — speed is the strongest individual predictor at D1 277m.
T1:14.34% T2:10.05% T3:21.18% T4:21.98% T5:15.31% T6:23.62%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.