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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tommys Tibetd 1y 6 | B D O'sullivan — 17% R523 W90 P288 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 50 | 59 (3) | 44 (5) | 55 (4) | 40 (5) | 47 (5) | 63 (3) | - | - | - | - | 27 | 27 | - | 27 | 55 | 42 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Droopys Promiseb 4y 24 | G Andreas — 18% R274 W49 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 57 | 31 (3) | 27 (4) | 31 (4) | 65 (2) | 77 (1) | 68 (2) | 75 (1) | 43 (5) | 42 (6) | 56 (5) | 46 | 30 | 27 | 36 | 63 | 52 | 1 | 3/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rydons Rangerd 4y 35 | D Puddy — 16% R91 W15 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 49 | 66 (2) | 38 (6) | 67 (2) | 50 (5) | 76 (1) | 62 (3) | 74 (1) | 53 (4) | 65 (2) | 45 (5) | 7 | 41 | 9 | 30 | 60 | 43 | 6 | 10/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Pretty Epicb 3y 17 | G Andreas — 18% R274 W49 P142 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 55 | 68 (2) | 60 (4) | 62 (3) | 64 (2) | 55 (3) | 47 (6) | 41 (6) | 50 (5) | 47 (5) | 45 (6) | 34 | 26 | 27 | 26 | 54 | 43 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Vegan Warriord 1y 16 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 45 | 60 (5) | 58 (5) | 67 (2) | 86 (1) | 84 (1) | 56 (5) | 77 (1) | 32 (2) | 30 (2) | 29 (3) | 59 | 64 | - | 50 | 45 | 51 | 2 | 15/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Dreamin Landod 3y 7 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 49 | 50 (5) | 69 (2) | 52 (5) | 65 (2) | 65 (2) | 55 (3) | 45 (5) | 66 (3) | 63 (3) | 60 (4) | 31 | 40 | 28 | 26 | 61 | 48 | 3 | 4/1 | |
Droopys Promise takes the prediction with h3 79.1 and the best h3 score by a narrow margin over Vegan Warrior (79.8 h3 but predictedPosition 2). He's a Fader (EP 59, PC 73) which suits Central Park's tight 491m where front-runners hold. His form of 1-2-1-5-6 starts with two wins and a 2nd, though the 5th and 6th at the end of the line were from a higher grade before stepping up to A3. Last race perf of 77 was his best, showing real improvement. AvgP of 63 is the best in the field. Trainer Andreas at 22% is moderate. T2 at 17.12% from 146 runs is neutral — no structural edge but no headwind either. Trap suit of 46 is adequate. The class rise to A3 is the main question — he's moving up, and the inverted composite data (R2 beats R1) at A3 suggests the model's top picks are unreliable here. Speed of 54 is competitive but not dominant. Bend rating of 57 is joint-best.
DANGER: Best speed (59), best track suit (64), Morrison at 28%, and 3 wins from 5 — the most compelling form case. INVERTED composite data at A3 actually FAVOURS the R2 pick over R1. Closer profile at tight Central Park is the risk, but the convergence of speed + form + trainer is strong.
Best structural position from T6 (22.16%) with Morrison at 28% and solid avgP (61). But Closer profile at a front-runner track and no win in last 5 starts suggest he'll place rather than win. Reliable mid-pack performer.
Fader with good early pace but severe recent form collapse (two consecutive 6ths). Extreme fade (CSR 14) at 491m means she'll weaken significantly. The pace-setting will benefit the Closers behind her but she's unlikely to hold on herself.
Improving form (5-3-3-1-2) with All-Rounder flexibility and O'Sullivan at 26%. But weakest speed (44), universally low suitability, and no A3 wins (class suit 0) suggest this grade is a step too far.
All-Rounder with good pace consistency and Puddy at 28%, but worst speed in the field (38) and trap suit of just 7 from T3 are severe negatives. Despite solid avgP of 60, the individual factors from this specific draw are too poor to support.
LOW SEPARATION with INVERTED composite ranks — R2 beats R1 (21.71% vs 17.51%). The model's top pick underperforms at A3. T6 at 22.16% is the only structurally dominant trap. Speed rank 1 wins 21.39% confirming speed matters. Upsets are common.
T1:16.95% T2:17.12% T3:16.56% T4:17.04% T5:16.56% T6:22.16%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tommys Tibet | 51 | 51 | All-Rounder |
2Droopys Promise | 59 | 0 | Fader |
3Rydons Ranger | 47 | 49 | All-Rounder |
4Pretty Epic | 55 | 14 | Fader |
5Vegan Warrior | 49 | 69 | Closer |
6Dreamin Lando | 49 | 65 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.