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Tuesday 31st March 2026
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Belles Crownb 5y 37 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 25 (5) | 26 (3) | 22 (5) | 30 (2) | 31 (3) | 27 (5) | 28 (5) | 29 (4) | 23 (6) | 36 (1) | 34 | 26 | 22 | 30 | 27 | 29 | 3 | 9/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Insane Beard 5y 25 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 31 (2) | 20 (5) | 29 (4) | 35 (1) | 25 (6) | 28 (5) | 28 (5) | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | - | 39 | 40 | 32 | 41 | 30 | 34 | 1 | 7/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Ballyhimikin Skyb 3yN/R 45 | D P Brabon — 23% R361 W82 P213 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 36 (5) | 47 (4) | 46 (5) | 29 (2) | 23 (5) | 35 (1) | 32 (1) | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 44 (3) | 66 | 37 | 28 | 21 | 29 | 38 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Effortless Roseb 3y 15 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | - | 26 (5) | 36 (1) | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 44 (6) | 36 (6) | 51 (4) | 62 (3) | 46 (6) | 54 (4) | 21 | 35 | - | 26 | 44 | 36 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Fahoura Ladd 5y 15 | M Mavrias — 18% R345 W63 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 30 (4) | 36 (1) | 32 (1) | 23 (3) | 22 (4) | 19 (6) | 26 (4) | 32 (2) | 28 (4) | 23 (5) | 21 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 26 | 25 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Stophers Roseb 2y 18 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 25 (5) | 30 (2) | 28 (3) | 29 (3) | 21 (5) | 26 (4) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 30 (4) | 30 (5) | 35 | 34 | 37 | 38 | 29 | 32 | 2 | 11/8F | |
The prediction favours Ballyhimikin Sky primarily on the strength of her outstanding trap suitability score of 66 — the highest in the field by a significant margin and a genuinely strong individual signal in a race where the aggregate trap data offers nothing. Her form reads 2-5-2-3-1, showing consistency with places rather than wins, and a win last time out. Average performance of 29 is modest but perfectly competitive in this D3 field where nobody exceeds 44 on avgP. Speed rating of 48 is the weakest in the field, which is a concern at sprint distance, but trainer D P Brabon operates at a strong 30% win rate and has placed her deliberately in T3 where she has proven CD form. Track suitability of 37 and distance suitability of 21 are middling, suggesting this isn't her ideal venue on paper — but that trap suit of 66 tells a different story about her individual ability from this specific box.
DANGER: Best speed (54) and best all-round suitability in the field. Class dropper with three wins from recent form. But erratic form pattern (6-1-1-1-6) and the weakest trap position make him unreliable — genuine threat when right, but you can't trust the consistency.
Mid-pack regular with no win in recent form. Decent speed but no route to victory unless multiple runners underperform. Davidson's 14% trainer rate doesn't inspire confidence.
Weakest performance ratings and suitability scores in the field. Form has deteriorated with three 5th-place finishes from last five. Hard to make a case here.
Deceptive avgP of 44 masks a sharp form decline (1st-6th-6th). Fader profile is less damaging at sprint distance but trap suit of 21 and collapsing form suggest the best of this dog is behind her.
Class rise from D4 with no evidence he belongs at D3 level. Weakest avgP at 26, weakest trainer at 8%, and universally low suitability. Would need a lot to go right.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 wins just 19.17% vs R3 at 16.23% — only 2.94pp gap from 1,792 runs. Ratings offer minimal predictive value at D3 grade. Flat trap bias means no structural advantage anywhere — this is a form and suitability contest.
T1:17.79% T2:13.92% T3:17.18% T4:18.24% T5:16.25% T6:16.95%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.