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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Run On Kingd 5y 18 | M Mavrias — 19% R337 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | - | 36 (1) | 29 (4) | 28 (5) | 35 (2) | 29 (4) | 28 (4) | 36 (1) | 23 (5) | 21 (5) | 23 (4) | 30 | 32 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 26 | 6 | 20/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Dance Callieb 2y 26 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 43 (6) | 21 (6) | 39 (2) | 32 (3) | 41 (1) | 37 (1) | 34 (2) | 26 (5) | 29 (5) | 21 (6) | 44 | 42 | 23 | 42 | 28 | 35 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Kratosd 5y 35 | N F Carter — 17% R245 W41 P130 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 13 (6) | 24 (4) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 24 (5) | 33 (2) | 25 (4) | 27 (3) | 30 (2) | 23 (5) | 34 | 28 | 35 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Signet Cooperd 1y 16 | L E Morrison — 23% R189 W43 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 25 (6) | 36 (1) | 27 (4) | 24 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41 | 56 | - | 51 | 26 | 36 | 5 | 6/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Broadway Sugarb 5y 35 | M Mavrias — 19% R337 W63 P179 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 25 (4) | 20 (5) | 23 (5) | 27 (5) | 35 (2) | 37 (1) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 21 (5) | 25 (4) | 50 | 40 | 34 | 35 | 31 | 37 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Greatdown Ladd 4y 14 | G L Davidson — 13% R236 W30 P106 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 33 (2) | 29 (2) | 29 (4) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 25 (4) | 26 (4) | 31 (5) | - | - | 33 | 27 | - | 22 | 31 | 30 | 3 | 2/1 | |
Broadway Sugar takes the prediction with h3 44.3 and the best speed in the field at 55 — a genuine edge at sprint distance. Her form of 5-2-1-2-1 shows excellent recent consistency with two wins and two seconds from her last four starts. She's dropping in class from D2 to D3 which should be a significant advantage, and her suitability profile is the most complete in the field (track 40, distance 35, trap 50, class 34). Trainer M Mavrias at just 8% is a real negative — the weakest in the field and notably poor by any standard. T5 at 16.25% from 320 runs is structurally neutral in a race with no dominant trap. Trap suit of 50 is the joint-best in the field and confirms she handles this box. The class drop and speed advantage are the primary case for selection, but the weak trainer signal and LOW SEPARATION at D3 grade mean this is a marginal edge rather than a confident pick.
DANGER: Best balanced suitability in the field and a recent 2nd suggesting a return to form. But drawn in the weakest trap (13.92%) with four poor runs before the latest 2nd. The suitability says yes, the trap and recent form say not yet.
Consistent placer with five consecutive 3rd/4th finishes — reliable for each-way but rarely wins. Class suit of 0 confirms no D3 victories. Good speed but the form pattern says bridesmaid, not bride.
Solid D3 runner with two recent 2nds showing competitive ability. But nothing in the data — suitability, speed, or form trajectory — suggests he can beat a class-dropper with better speed. Mid-table finisher.
Best CD suitability in the field (track 56, distance 51) with the strongest trainer at 28% and the marginally best trap. But low speed (47) and declining form trajectory (two wins followed by two 4ths) suggest the peak has passed.
Weakest runner in the field by speed (39), performance (23), and trainer signal (8%). One win from recent form isn't enough to offset the comprehensive deficit. Hard to see a path to victory.
LOW SEPARATION: R1 vs R3 gap just 2.94pp from 1,792 runs. Flat trap bias means this is a pure form contest with no structural advantage anywhere. D3 grade is low quality — expect variance.
T1:17.79% T2:13.92% T3:17.18% T4:18.24% T5:16.25% T6:16.95%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.