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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Tesseractb 4yN/R 14 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 35 | 66 (4) | 83 (1) | 65 (3) | 49 (6) | 56 (5) | 67 (3) | 58 (4) | 74 (4) | 68 (2) | - | 37 | 32 | - | 39 | 65 | 52 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Doug Squirrelb 3y 26 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 38 | 57 (4) | 45 (6) | 70 (3) | 70 (3) | 48 (5) | 71 (4) | 87 (1) | 71 (2) | 68 (4) | 82 (3) | 37 | 43 | 23 | 43 | 71 | 57 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Laughil Dand 2y 16 | S Mavrias — 17% R242 W42 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 56 | 38 (3) | 37 (4) | 47 (1) | 64 (6) | 82 (1) | 48 (4) | 56 (3) | 43 (5) | 48 (5) | 47 (1) | 29 | 45 | - | 23 | 52 | 43 | 5 | 15/8 | |
| 4 | ▶ Clongeel Sminkyb 2y 7 | N F Carter — 17% R250 W42 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 57 | 75 (4) | 65 (3) | 66 (3) | 57 (4) | 90 (5) | 61 (1) | 91 (5) | 71 (1) | - | - | 51 | 48 | 22 | 44 | 73 | 62 | 1 | 7/4F | |
| 5 | ▶ Insane Bassd 3y 16 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 55 | 68 (2) | 70 (2) | 64 (4) | 65 (2) | 66 (3) | 89 (1) | 87 (1) | 50 (6) | 84 (1) | 73 (1) | 40 | 34 | - | 38 | 70 | 56 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Kitmins Jessicab 2y 16 | G Andreas — 18% R284 W50 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 71 (3) | 49 (6) | 53 (4) | 61 (5) | 56 (5) | 59 (3) | 73 (2) | 53 (5) | 72 (1) | 66 (4) | 42 | 41 | 20 | 38 | 66 | 55 | 3 | 5/1 | |
Clongeel Sminky combines the DOMINANT T4 draw (25.97% from 154 runs) with EP 100 (maximum early pace) as a Fader — exactly the profile that wins at Central Park 491m where 44% of winners lead all the way. His h3 of 87.1 leads the field, average performance of 73 is the best in the race, and trap suit of 51 from the dominant T4 gives individual confirmation of structural advantage. His form of 1-6-3-5-4 is genuinely inconsistent — the win shows what he can do but the 6th, 5th, and 4th show he can miss the break and has no recovery mechanism as a Fader. When he leads, he wins. When he doesn't, he fades badly. Trainer Carter at 16% is moderate. Speed of 50 is mid-pack which seems low given his EP 100, suggesting he gets to the front through early pace rather than sustained speed. Bend rating of 57 is the second-best. The structural convergence is strong but the form inconsistency is too severe for Strong confidence.
DANGER: Four wins from five with speed 62 (field best) and last perf of 88. Stepping up in class but the raw ability is undeniable. Closer profile at tight Central Park is the structural problem — needs the EP 100 Faders to come back to him. Genuine threat if they do.
Fader with EP 67 but extreme fade (CSR 6) — will weaken through later bends. Solid avgP of 66 but form shows no wins. Below-average T6 draw. Likely caught between front-runners and closers.
Strong avgP (71) but Closer from the weakest trap with worst bend rating in the field. Pace/venue mismatch is fundamental.
EP 100 Fader from structurally positive T3 but severe class deficit. Will push the pace early but likely weakens against these rivals. Pace-maker not winner.
Most consistent form but Closer profile wastes T1's advantage. Against two EP 100 Faders at a tight track, she needs a pace collapse that's unlikely.
T4 at 25.97% is the dominant trap. Normal composite separation (7.62pp). Speed rank 1 wins 22.88%. A1 grade at Central Park 491m is a genuine quality test. Two EP 100 Faders should set a strong pace.
T1:20.66% T2:15.3% T3:19.68% T4:25.97% T5:17.93% T6:16.27%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Tesseract | 33 | 94 | Closer |
2Doug Squirrel | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Laughil Dan | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Clongeel Sminky | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Insane Bass | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Kitmins Jessica | 67 | 6 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.