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Suffolk Downs Standard Duplicated
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Anna Bellab 2y 24 | J J Gornall — 18% R72 W13 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 49 | 37 (6) | 20 (3) | 64 (3) | 74 (1) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 44 (4) | 27 (3) | 29 (4) | 60 (5) | 48 | 44 | 23 | 44 | 59 | 53 | 4 | 15/8F | |
| 2 | ▶ Isthatmyfellad 3y 13 | J E Craske — 22% R89 W20 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 45 | 35 (3) | 33 (4) | 41 (1) | 35 (2) | 32 (4) | 77 (3) | 33 (3) | 76 (2) | 69 (5) | 96 (1) | 54 | 45 | 27 | 58 | 78 | 66 | 1 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Champagne Zombieb 3y 33 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 53 | 25 (5) | 22 (6) | 27 (4) | 34 (4) | 33 (5) | 35 (4) | 41 (1) | 24 (1) | 13 (6) | 64 (4) | 32 | 37 | 23 | 49 | 74 | 57 | 3 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Westfield Raheemd 2y 17 | J L Smith — 26% R81 W21 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 51 | 63 (6) | 84 (2) | 82 (2) | 79 (1) | 47 (1) | 100 (1) | 65 (1) | 38 (1) | 41 (4) | 57 (2) | 42 | 61 | 40 | 34 | 65 | 56 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Capel Razorb 3y 34 | R M Emery — 10% R125 W12 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 25 | 42 (6) | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 62 (4) | 48 (5) | 57 (4) | 72 (3) | 78 (4) | 78 (5) | 95 (1) | 28 | 31 | 6 | 37 | 78 | 57 | 5 | 25/1 | |
Isthatmyfella emerges as the pick from T2 (neutral trap for 388m OR) with composite 66 and the standout avgPerformance 78 in the field. The closer profile (earliestPace 51, classSpeed 60) indicates tactical patience before a decisive acceleration in the straight, well-suited to Suffolk's tight layout where late run-in intensity matters. Trap suitability 54 is serviceable but not dominant; the real edge derives from composite quality and form consistency. Recent form (68,25,96,73,79, excluding the trial-sourced 25) displays competitive performance levels, though the 25 trial baseline and 96 peak suggest variable progression. Trainer J E Craske's exceptional 40% win rate provides premium competence indicator. The pick is built on class advantage (avgPerformance +15pp vs danger) and trainer capability rather than trap positioning, making it a medium-confidence selection in a field where T6 dominance creates alternative narrative. This dog has proven competitive form at OR level.
Danger rated on form peaks (100,83,79) and all-rounder flexibility, but composite 56 (10pp below pick) and avgPerformance 65 (13pp below) mark clear quality deficit. Form volatility (47-dip recovery to 100-66) suggests inconsistency or distance-related factors. T5 trap suitability 42 is mid-range; while not as favorable as T6, the composite deficit is material. Trainer J L Smith 32% is solid but behind pick's Craske 40%. Danger MEDIUM reflects form peaks offset by composite deficit and trainer standard gap. The 83-79 recent form provides danger potential, but quality gap versus pick is significant.
Champagne Zombie sits between pick and danger but below both in expectancy. Composite 57 is 9pp below pick, and avgPerformance 74 is 4pp below. Form trend (85,87→58) suggests recent decline or distance-related struggle at 388m. T4 trap suitability 32 is weak; T4 is historical underperformer in 388m OR. Trainer J M Ray 18% is below field standard. All-rounder profile provides flexibility but insufficient offset to composite and trap deficits. Unlikely to threaten top contenders.
Anna Bella is third-tier quality minimum. Composite 53 is 13pp below pick, and avgPerformance 59 is 19pp below. Fader profile (earliestPace 29, classSpeed 0) requires early position establishment, yet speed 39 suggests minimal engine. Form trend (75→62→44 recent) is concerning decline. T1 trap suitability 48 is mid-range. Trainer J J Gornall 18% is baseline. Clear outsider; unlikely to threaten tier positions.
Capel Razor paradox: T6 dominant trap (31.25%) combined with avgPerformance 78 suggests winning potential, yet pure-closer pattern (earliestPace 0, classSpeed 100, speed 0) requires specific race unfolding. Form data all at 548m staying distance; transition to 388m OR shorter trip creates uncertainty. Closer designation is high-risk on tight circuit where early pace often controls. Speed 0 is concerning—no capacity for early positioning. Trainer R M Emery 16% is below average. While T6 trap advantage is significant, the distance transition uncertainty and pure-closer profile combining create high-variance scenario. Potential if pace fades, but risky profile. Outsider tier despite trap dominance.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Anna Bella | 29 | 0 | Fader |
2Isthatmyfella | 51 | 60 | Closer |
4Champagne Zombie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Westfield Raheem | 50 | 22 | All-Rounder |
6Capel Razor | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.