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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Netherton Ladd 2y 24 | M P Brown — 21% R404 W84 P233 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 28 | 21 (5) | 28 (3) | 25 (5) | 25 (6) | 18 (2) | 14 (6) | 19 (6) | 19 (4) | 23 (5) | - | 19 | - | 9 | - | 25 | 22 | 3 | 4/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Westfield Ramfisd 2y 25 | J L Smith — 26% R78 W20 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | - | 17 (5) | 8 (5) | 14 (6) | 22 (3) | 21 (4) | 13 (5) | 19 (4) | - | - | - | 12 | 17 | - | 17 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 16/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Magical Sophiab 5y 49 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 56 | 48 (3) | 50 (2) | 45 (2) | 25 (2) | 40 (2) | 43 (4) | 43 (3) | 34 (5) | 40 (4) | 53 (2) | 28 | 46 | 18 | 61 | 43 | 42 | 1 | 2/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Westfield Aidab 2y 110 | J L Smith — 26% R78 W20 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 50 | 28 (1) | 22 (3) | 24 (2) | 26 (2) | 28 (4) | 19 (3) | 32 (4) | 17 (4) | 19 (3) | - | 17 | 32 | 11 | 34 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 8/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Savana Popeyed 3y 24 | J M Ray — 16% R249 W39 P146 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 21 (2) | 14 (5) | 19 (4) | 18 (4) | 17 (5) | 18 (5) | 27 (4) | 24 (5) | 30 (2) | 33 (5) | 21 | 26 | 9 | 26 | 19 | 21 | 4 | 11/2 | ||
Magical Sophia emerges as the pick from T4 with composite 42—highest in the 5-runner D4 field (field average approximately 26). All-rounder profile (earliestPace 57, classSpeed 79, bend 56) suggests balanced running capacity with class-speed edge. Trap suitability 28 is weak for T4 in 220m D4, where trap dominance structure is inverted (T2 32.14%, T5 29.41%). However, composite advantage proves decisive at low-separation grades where differentiation is minimal. Form sequence (48,50,45,25,40, recent from A8 level) displays mid-range consistency without peaks, though the 25-run represents earlier form regression. Trainer J M Ray (18% wr) offers baseline competence. Pick is grounded in relative composite advantage (42 vs field ~26) rather than trap positioning or form brilliance. Confidence is TENTATIVE given low composite separation (1.51pp R1-R3), suggesting any runner could win on form variance alone. All-rounder pace pattern suits tight-circuit flexibility.
Westfield Aida benefits from T5 structural strength (29.41%) but composite 24 (18pp below pick) and avgPerformance 24 place it below Magical Sophia clearly. T5 trap suitability 17 is ironically weak despite trap's statistical strength. Form (26,28,19,32,17) shows sub-30 baseline with recent regression (17). Trainer J L Smith 32% is exceptional—field-strongest yard marker—but insufficient offset to composite deficit and form regression. Danger tier at best; secondary option to pick. T5 trap advantage insufficient offset to quality gap.
Netherton Lad is outsider tier. Composite 22 (20pp below pick) and avgPerformance 25 place it well below Magical Sophia. Fader profile (earliestPace 0, classSpeed 31) is inefficient at 220m. Form trend (21,28,25→10→9 recent) shows severe decline; recent dual 9s are concerning. T1 suitability 19 is weak, contradicting T1 positioning. Trainer M P Brown 24% is solid. Outside realistic contention; form regression is primary concern.
Savana Popeye is clear outsider. T6 is catastrophically weak trap at 6.25%—documented structural liability. Composite 21 (21pp below pick) is lowest in field, and avgPerformance 19 is lowest. Form (21,14,19,14,13) shows consistent sub-20 baseline with recent regression (13). T6 suitability 21 aligns with structural weakness. Trainer J M Ray 18% is baseline. T6 positioning combined with lowest composite and form regression creates insurmountable headwind. Outside contention.
Westfield Ramfis is absolute outsider tier. Composite 16 (26pp below pick) is lowest in field, and avgPerformance 18 is second-lowest. Incomplete pace profile suggests data gaps. Form (14,22,21,13,19) shows sub-22 baseline consistency without peaks or momentum. T3 suitability 12 is extremely weak. Trainer J L Smith 32% (field-strongest) provides competence marker but insufficient offset to historic composite deficit. Clear outsider; unlikely to place.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 220m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.