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Suffolk Downs Maiden Stayers Duplicated
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Boswellionb 2y 35 | J J Gornall — 18% R72 W13 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 95 | 93 | 50 (2) | 51 (3) | 43 (3) | 61 (2) | 60 (3) | 57 (2) | 47 (5) | 61 (2) | 73 (1) | 45 (5) | 22 | - | - | - | 57 | 41 | 3 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Rubber Duckyb 2y 44 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 46 (5) | 61 (5) | 49 (6) | 80 (2) | 90 (1) | 85 (1) | 71 (2) | 78 (1) | 48 (5) | 40 (5) | 11 | - | - | - | 71 | 44 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Bombay Bossd 3y 23 | R M Emery — 10% R125 W12 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 50 (4) | 60 (3) | 74 (1) | 73 (1) | 55 (4) | 56 (3) | 53 (6) | 48 (5) | 48 (6) | 76 (4) | 6 | 20 | 3 | - | 65 | 41 | 5 | 33/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Goldcash Princed 2y 38 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 45 (3) | 45 (5) | 92 (1) | 72 (4) | 59 (5) | 57 (5) | 94 (1) | 47 (4) | 95 (1) | 47 (4) | 58 | 33 | 28 | - | 73 | 62 | 1 | 4/9F | |
| 6 | ▶ Twentyfoursevend 2y 47 | M P Brown — 21% R425 W89 P244 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 39 (1) | 21 (1) | 14 (5) | 70 (3) | 63 (4) | 86 (1) | 67 (4) | 69 (5) | 87 (2) | 52 (5) | 35 | 37 | 11 | 15 | 72 | 54 | 2 | 9/2 | |
Goldcash Prince represents the pick with elite composite 62 and exceptional avgPerformance 73, combined with speed rating 100 and bend 100—ideal metrics for pace-based racing. However, the fader pace profile (earliestPace 100, classSpeed 0) creates material concern: faders depend on controlled pace enabling finish, yet at 548m staying distance, pace collapse becomes less reliable—field runners often sustain velocity longer on extended journeys. Form sequence (93,72,60,58,94) displays volatility and recent peak (94), though trend (60,58→94) suggests recovery momentum. T4 trap suitability 58 is strong; T4 at 27.03% provides structural advantage. Trainer M P Brown (24% wr) offers solid competence. Pick is grounded in composite and speed dominance, but fader pattern on staying distance creates MEDIUM confidence rather than high confidence. 548m staying profile may expose fader vulnerabilities; front-runner establishing position early retains advantage. Pick is marginal but still baseline expectancy.
Rubber Ducky has respectable avgPerformance 71 but composite 44 (18pp below pick) is material deficit. Closer profile (earliestPace 50, classSpeed 72) suits staying distance theoretically if pace fades. Form at 462m staying (90,85,71,79) is excellent baseline; staying-distance familiarity is positive. Recent regression (48) is concern. T2 trap suitability 11 is extremely weak—ironically weak at individual dog level despite T2's balanced structural position. Trainer L Brown 22% is baseline. While staying-distance form history provides credibility, composite gap and T2 suitability weakness place Ducky as secondary threat. Danger tier at best.
Bombay Boss is outsider tier. T3 is extremely weak trap at 11.11%—structural liability at 548m. Composite 41 (21pp below pick) and avgPerformance 65 (8pp below pick). Fader profile (earliestPace 0, classSpeed 0, bend 0) is entirely unsuited to 548m staying where sustained pace matters. Form volatility (49,14,77,69,68) with trial baseline (14) is concern. T3 suitability 6 is catastrophic. Trainer R M Emery 16% is below-average. Multiple structural deficits (trap, pace profile, composite) place Bombay Boss well outside realistic contention.
Boswellion has composite 41 (21pp below pick) and avgPerformance 57 (16pp below pick). Front-runner profile (earliestPace 100, bend 93) is strong—excellent for establishing early position at 548m. Speed 95 provides decent pace capacity. Form (60,57,47,61,73 recent) shows mid-range baseline with recovery momentum (73 recent). T1 suitability 22 is weak despite T1's structural strength (26.19%). Trainer J J Gornall 18% is baseline. Danger or secondary tier: if early pace holds and collapse doesn't occur, Boswellion retains position. If pick's fader profile triggers acceleration, pick wins. Contrasting tactical narratives; dependent on race flow.
Twentyfourseven has composite 54 (8pp below pick) and avgPerformance 72 (1pp above Rubber Ducky), placing it mid-field quality. Closer profile (earliestPace 0, classSpeed 100) indicates pure acceleration—high-risk at 548m staying. Form (70,64,86,68,69) shows consistent baseline with peak 86; decent consistency. Speed 0 is alarming—no early-pace capacity limits positioning options. T6 suitability 35 is mid-range. Trainer M P Brown 24% is solid. Close closer profile creates high variance at staying distance; dependent on pace collapse. Danger or secondary tier: viable if pick falters or pace fades, but baseline expectancy (pick's elite metrics) favors alternative approach to pure closing.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 548m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Boswellion | 100 | 50 | Front Runner |
2Rubber Ducky | 50 | 72 | Closer |
3Bombay Boss | 0 | 0 | Fader |
4Goldcash Prince | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Twentyfourseven | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.