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Suffolk Downs Maiden Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Gothic Abbessb 2y 27 | M P Brown — 21% R409 W87 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 55 | 98 | 100 (1) | 64 (4) | 81 (2) | 51 (5) | 62 (2) | 50 (5) | 82 (2) | 58 (5) | 78 (3) | 58 (3) | 83 | 57 | 37 | - | 70 | 71 | 1 | 1/5F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Moaning Haglerd 2yN/R 24 | D B Whitton — 26% R298 W77 P189 Trainer form — last 3 months | 100 | 50 | 63 (2) | 77 (1) | 30 (4) | 30 (4) | 39 (1) | 49 (1) | 31 (4) | 31 (4) | 57 (2) | - | 40 | 60 | - | - | 47 | 47 | - | - | ||
| 3 | ▶ Roseville Chicb 2y 34 | R M Emery — 10% R124 W13 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 68 (2) | 71 (2) | 51 (4) | 63 (2) | 48 (5) | 47 (5) | 74 (2) | 95 (1) | 49 (5) | 64 (4) | 29 | 45 | 6 | 47 | 72 | 56 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Yellow Submarined 2y 25 | M P Brown — 21% R409 W87 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 0 | 0 | 22 (6) | 24 (4) | 26 (5) | 25 (6) | 18 (4) | 22 (1) | 16 (4) | 58 (2) | 39 (6) | 44 (4) | 18 | 17 | - | - | 55 | 38 | 4 | 14/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Savana Maceyb 4y 44 | M P Brown — 21% R409 W87 P237 Trainer form — last 3 months | 85 | 85 | 43 (6) | 53 (4) | 38 (5) | 68 (1) | 44 (5) | 22 (1) | 62 (3) | 61 (4) | 56 (4) | 65 (2) | 41 | 34 | 17 | - | 65 | 53 | 2 | 12/1 | ||
Gothic Abbess combines exceptional bend rating (98—unmatched in field) with strong early pace (94) and good position (T1 26.19%, joint-strongest at 548m). Composite (71) is strong, average performance (70) is solid OR-class. At 548m, bend ability and pace management matter more than 388m pure early speed. Her elite bend (98) indicates exceptional tactical agility navigating 548m bends. Early pace (94) is strong, suggesting explosive capability. As Fader, she sets early and holds—aligned with T1 advantage where early position compounds advantage. Speed (55) is moderate, but at 548m, bend compensates for speed. Form shows OR1 480m competitive level (83 peak, 78 recent, 59 solid, ignoring P22 trial). Trainer M P Brown (24% strike rate) shows quality placement. She combines excellent structural position (T1), elite bend (98), strong early pace (94), and solid form. Pick is justified through combination of structural and individual factors.
Savana Macey has composite 53, avgPerformance 65. Speed 85 is strong, bend 85 is strong—both excellent metrics. All-Rounder (early pace 84) shows versatility. Form shows variance (62, 20 trial, 62, 56, 66). T6 position (approximately 25.58% estimated at 548m) is reasonable. However, she's secondary threat. Her metrics are strong (speed 85, bend 85, early pace 84) but rank below pick's bend (98) and early pace (94). Savana will threaten but unlikely to overcome pick's elite bend advantage.
Moaning Hagler has composite 47, avgPerformance 47. Speed 100 is elite, but bend 50 is moderate—inconsistent profile. Early pace 50 is moderate. All-Rounder without clear specialization. Form is erratic (49, 30, 31, 26, 57) with low baseline and no peak performances, mostly lower grades. T2 position 25.58% is reasonable. While speed 100 is elite metric, lack of bend ability (50) limits effectiveness at 548m where bend matters. Erratic form suggests inconsistency. Will run competitively but unlikely to threaten pick.
Roseville Chic has composite 56, avgPerformance 72. As Closer (bend 0, early pace 0), she is entirely back-half dependent and lacks ability to contest early. Speed 0 combined with zero bend and zero early pace creates complete lack of profile for 548m racing where early pace and bend navigate bends. T3 position 11.11% is dead—trap disadvantage compounds profile disadvantage. Form shows variance (74, 95 S3 548m, 49, 64, 83) with peak at 548m but current profile unsustainable. Closer profile disadvantaged at 548m where early pace dominates. Outside top-three.
Yellow Submarine has composite 38, avgPerformance 55. Speed 0, bend 0, early pace 0—complete lack of all key metrics. As Fader, no explosiveness to establish position. Form is weak (58, 39, 44, 19, 47). T4 position (27.03%, strongest) cannot compensate for complete metric absence. Discard.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 548m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Gothic Abbess | 94 | 0 | Fader |
2Moaning Hagler | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Roseville Chic | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Yellow Submarine | 0 | 0 | Fader |
6Savana Macey | 84 | 100 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.