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Suffolk Downs Maiden Standard Duplicated
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Coolemore Azzabib 2y 28 | B P Cooper — 38% R16 W6 P12 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 82 | 57 (3) | 44 (1) | 39 (1) | 62 (2) | 47 (5) | 34 (2) | 77 (1) | 40 (1) | 62 (3) | 64 (3) | 16 | - | - | - | 56 | 38 | 2 | 8/11F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Browns Beautyb 2y 23 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 43 | 50 | 22 (6) | 18 (5) | 28 (6) | 22 (3) | 38 (5) | 38 (2) | 23 (2) | 29 (6) | 41 (4) | - | 51 | 4 | - | 15 | 38 | 34 | 3 | 10/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Thymelea Swiftb 3y 32 | S Manthorpe — 24% R38 W9 P22 Trainer form — last 3 months | 30 | 0 | 62 (3) | 66 (4) | 66 (5) | 57 (3) | 68 (4) | 71 (3) | 87 (3) | 32 (1) | 76 (4) | - | 54 | 13 | 14 | 23 | 68 | 53 | 4 | 5/2 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Giveusapingb 2y 13 | P I Cross — 19% R147 W28 P85 Trainer form — last 3 months | 30 | 0 | 71 (1) | 59 (2) | 59 (4) | 52 (2) | 51 (4) | 35 (5) | 47 (5) | 40 (3) | 71 (5) | - | 23 | - | - | - | 50 | 38 | 5 | 20/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Browns Bruced 2y 36 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 66 | 62 | 8 (6) | 41 (5) | 47 (5) | 63 (3) | 72 (2) | 76 (1) | 52 (4) | 72 (1) | 54 (2) | 75 (1) | 57 | 59 | - | 59 | 57 | 57 | 1 | 9/2 | ||
Browns Bruce commands the pick based on hard trap data: T6 dominance at 31.25% win rate at Suffolk 388m is a structural advantage he alone enjoys in this field. His composite score of 57 and avgPerformance of 57 place him midfield, but the race-specific trap advantage is decisive. Speed rating of 66 with bend 62 and early pace 92 suit tight-track perfectly—early energy dissipates on Suffolk's configuration, making his explosive initial burst highly valuable. As a Fader, he prefers to set framing early and hold on, aligning with tight-track dynamics where catches rarely happen after first 100m. Form is competitive at OR level (recent: P63, P72, P76, P53, P72), showing consistent competence. Trainer M P Brown holds 24% strike rate, indicating methodical placement strategy. At extreme tight track where trap advantage paramount, Browns Bruce in T6 is the selection. The structural edge justifies confidence despite moderate absolute metrics.
Azzabi has technical quality (bend 82, field-second) but T1 position (13.64% win rate) creates 17.61 percentage-point trap disadvantage versus T6's 31.25%. Zero track suitability is red flag. Form erratic—P81 at A5 415m (easier grade), recent OR runs show inconsistency (P36, P26, P71, P51). Composite 38 well below pick. All-Rounder lacks explosive early pace (EP=50). Trainer B P Cooper (17%) offers no edge. While Azzabi genuine OR-class, T1 position makes him distant second choice at Suffolk.
Beauty unsuited to this race. As Front Runner from T2 at extreme tight circuit, faces triple disadvantage. First, front runners need races where catches happen; Suffolk denies. Second, ratings severely deficient: avgPerformance 38 is field-weakest, speed 43 is bottom-tier, early pace 61 moderate. Third, T2 win rate 14.29% below average. Form consistently mediocre (all D2 270m: 38, 38, 22, 29, 41), showing she lacks OR class. While T2 suitability 51 reasonable, no suitability overcomes speed and class deficiencies. Likely bottom-half finisher.
Swift represents closer's dilemma at tight track—excellent form colliding with track geometry punishing her style. AvgPerformance 68 is field's second-best; recent form strong (P88, P76, P71, P73 at A2 level); Trainer S Manthorpe 45% is field-best. However, speed 30 well below average, and critically, bend 0 means no first-bend ability. Early pace 0 confirms back-half dependent. She requires space and clear lanes; Suffolk provides neither. Catches never happen; late runners hopelessly blocked. T3 suitability 54 reasonable but irrelevant when profile demands open running. At tight Suffolk, she's trapped.
Giveusaping lacks standout dimension in any category. Composite 38 and avgPerformance 50 below pick and barely OR-competitive. Speed 30 well below average, early pace 0 and bend 0 disqualify from victory path. Form mixed and inconsistent (P35, P40, P71, P22, P23)—P71 outlier suggests occasional flash without foundation. Zero track and distance suitability indicate unfamiliarity—liability where precision matters. T4 suitability 23 weak; T4 itself 16.67% not strong. Trainer P I Cross 16% among lowest. Outside top-three threat.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 388m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Coolemore Azzabi | 50 | 13 | All-Rounder |
2Browns Beauty | 61 | 54 | Front Runner |
3Thymelea Swift | 0 | 60 | Closer |
4Giveusaping | 0 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Browns Bruce | 92 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.