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Betway Ladies
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Signet Morganb 3y 27 | H J Dimmock — 25% R195 W48 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 25 | 36 | 84 (1) | 36 (6) | 59 (6) | 72 (2) | 71 (2) | 91 (1) | 82 (2) | 69 (4) | 61 (5) | 92 (1) | 32 | 32 | 26 | 25 | 66 | 16 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Gothic Abbessb 2y 35 | M P Brown — 18% R397 W73 P211 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 44 | 69 (4) | 73 (4) | 100 (1) | 72 (5) | 100 (1) | 64 (4) | 81 (2) | 51 (5) | 62 (2) | 100 (1) | 2 | 34 | 45 | 20 | 78 | 38 | 4 | 16/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Poly Styreneb 2y 19 | C Weatherall — 17% R98 W17 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 64 | 76 (2) | 79 (2) | 76 (3) | 55 (4) | 66 (3) | 80 (2) | 67 (4) | 86 (1) | 87 (1) | 68 (3) | 35 | 28 | 31 | 27 | 74 | 56 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Headford Lilyb 2y 28 | M L Locke — 25% R309 W78 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 83 | 93 (1) | 92 (1) | 57 (5) | 46 (4) | 71 (3) | 91 (1) | 73 (3) | 78 (2) | 91 (1) | 73 (2) | 33 | 37 | 62 | 33 | 73 | 51 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Copney Queenb 2y 12 | P W Young — 17% R1247 W211 P672 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 68 | 44 | 47 (5) | 58 (2) | 80 (6) | 83 (2) | 95 (2) | 69 (1) | 67 (4) | 65 (2) | 73 (1) | - | 22 | 5 | 31 | 50 | 69 | 56 | 3 | 5/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Slick Skylarkb 3y 16 | P Janssens — 25% R53 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 53 | 65 (3) | 61 (4) | 79 (2) | 93 (1) | 58 (5) | 92 (1) | 72 (3) | 91 (1) | 65 (4) | 94 (1) | 47 | 46 | 60 | 38 | 74 | 53 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Copney Queen | 28.71 | 28.87 | 29.01 | 68 | +0.30 | Fastest, but wrong trip last time | |
| 3 | Poly Styrene | 28.83 | 29.25 | 29.13 | 57 | +0.30 | Runner-up LTO | |
| 4 | Headford Lily | 29.04 | 29.27 | 29.22 | 52 | +0.18 | Won LTO, best bend | |
| 6 | Slick Skylark | 28.95 | 29.35 | 29.50 | 48 | +0.55 | Solid all-round profile | |
| 2 | Gothic Abbess | 29.53 | 29.61 | 29.53 | 33 | 0.00 | Stepping down from 661m | |
| 1 | Signet Morgan | 29.21 | 29.65 | 30.54 | 25 | +1.33 | Big layoff, poor last run |
Another Open-grade heat over Towcester's 500 metres, where trap 2 and trap 4 have been the strongest boxes at this level, both above 22%, while traps 3 and 6 have struggled at around 12%. Headford Lily gets that favoured trap 4 draw and won readily last time out at almost identical conditions with the best first-bend rating in this field. Poly Styrene chased home a similar race last week and should be involved again. Signet Morgan is the one query mark, returning from what looks a lengthy break since her last outing, while Gothic Abbess and Copney Queen both arrive off runs at quite different distances, which muddies their form.
Won last time out at essentially identical conditions, over 491 metres rather than tonight's 500, and carries the best first-bend rating in the entire field by a wide margin. Gets trap 4, the second-best box in this Open grade, and her suitability figure for class is the strongest of anyone here. A fader with a sharp early pace who should be right in the mix from the first bend. Trainer M L Locke has a solid 24% strike rate. The best-supported case in the race.
Chased the winner home into second last time out at these exact Open-grade conditions and carries the second-fastest recorded time in the field. Her form has been consistently in the mid-70s to high-70s across her recent starts, a solid level. Trainer C Weatherall has a useful 22% strike rate. Trap 3 has been the weakest box in this grade, which is the significant knock, but her proven current form at these conditions makes her the leading alternative.
Returns from what looks a lengthy absence, with her last outing dating back to December, and that run was a well-beaten sixth. Her recorded speed is by far the slowest of anyone in this field, and while trainer H J Dimmock has the best strike rate on the card at 28%, there simply isn't enough recent evidence to build a case. Trap 1 has been a modest box in this grade too. Hard to fancy off the back of such a big gap.
Carries a useful average performance figure but her most recent run came over 661 metres, a much longer trip, so today's return to 500 metres is a change of gear that makes her recent form hard to read directly. A closer who does her best work late. Trap 2 has been the best-performing box in this grade, which is a point in her favour, but the distance switch adds real uncertainty.
Carries the fastest recorded time in the entire field, but that figure comes from a shorter 400 metre sub-grade race rather than tonight's 500 metre trip, so it needs some caution attached. Her most recent run at that shorter distance was modest. A closer who does her best work late. Trap 5 has been a fair box in this grade. The raw speed is eye-catching, but the context around it is mixed.
A solid, well-rounded runner with good suitability figures across trap, class and track, and was only beaten into third last time out at these exact conditions. Trainer P Janssens has a strong 26% strike rate. Trap 6 has been one of the weaker boxes in this grade, which is the main concern, but on all-round figures he's not far behind the leading pair.
Key insight: Trap 4 has been the second-best box in this Open grade at 22.1%, and Headford Lily gets that draw tonight off the back of a course-and-distance-type win last time out.
T1:18.2% T2:24.5% T3:12.1% T4:22.1% T5:17.6% T6:12.1%
1,149 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Signet Morgan | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Gothic Abbess | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Poly Styrene | 29 | 100 | Closer |
4Headford Lily | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Copney Queen | 5 | 100 | Closer |
6Slick Skylark | 71 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 480m | 491m | 500m | 515m | 548m | 575m | 661m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Signet Morgan | — | 0.594 | 0.594 | 0.591 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Gothic Abbess | — | — | — | 0.592 | 0.596 | 0.616 | 0.624 | 0.643 | 0.612 |
| 3 | Poly Styrene | — | — | — | 0.585 | 0.589 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Headford Lily | 0.616 | 0.597 | 0.592 | 0.584 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Copney Queen | 0.622 | 0.596 | — | 0.577 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 6 | Slick Skylark | — | — | 0.594 | 0.587 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.