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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Policiab 4y 45 | P B Philpott — 18% R129 W23 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 55 | 77 (5) | 22 (5) | 45 (4) | 30 (3) | 27 (3) | 32 (1) | 55 (2) | 49 (3) | 67 (1) | 53 (3) | 38 | 21 | 54 | 27 | 53 | 37 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Elmejord 4y 14 | P H Harnden — 15% R349 W52 P199 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 48 | 43 (6) | 52 (5) | 46 (2) | 51 (5) | 60 (4) | 64 (2) | 49 (2) | 44 (3) | 54 (3) | - | 34 | 38 | 17 | 18 | 51 | 45 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Salacres Mayb 4y 24 | P H Harnden — 15% R349 W52 P199 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 45 | 60 (1) | 50 (2) | 43 (3) | 35 (4) | 42 (4) | 51 (3) | 52 (4) | 40 (5) | 50 (3) | 56 (3) | 34 | 19 | 9 | 25 | 48 | 40 | 6 | 16/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Lunab 2y 15 | A Ioannou — 13% R93 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 52 | 63 (2) | 41 (5) | 23 (5) | 42 (5) | 22 (6) | 43 (2) | 52 (5) | 59 (4) | 60 (2) | - | 34 | 24 | 24 | 23 | 48 | 41 | 1 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dakota Goldb 2y 16 | A Ioannou — 13% R93 W12 P45 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 60 | 47 (3) | 38 (5) | 43 (5) | 47 (5) | 51 (4) | 43 (5) | 45 (4) | 68 (1) | 61 (1) | 42 (5) | 1 | 21 | 23 | 16 | 47 | 35 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Essex Abzb 1y 3 | J J Gornall — 13% R68 W9 P29 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 11 | 38 | 67 (1) | 23 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 23 | 11 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dakota Gold | 29.94 | 30.31 | 30.74 | 45 | +0.80 | Consistent fader, weak trap fit | |
| 1 | Policia | 29.96 | 30.12 | 30.38 | 54 | +0.42 | Best perf and speed, up from a sprint | |
| 4 | Vinegarhill Luna | 29.97 | 30.19 | 30.35 | 53 | +0.38 | Best trap, consistent | |
| 2 | Salacres Elmejor | 29.82 | 30.23 | 30.31 | 54 | +0.49 | Tied fastest, proven at conditions | |
| 3 | Salacres May | 30.00 | 30.41 | 30.45 | 46 | +0.45 | Won at lower grade LTO | |
| 6 | Essex Abz | 31.04 | 31.04 | 31.04 | 11 | 0.00 | Well held LTO, one run |
A6 grade is notoriously one of the trickiest to call - dogs here are often in transition between levels, and the raw ratings can be misleading. That plays out in the numbers: the top-rated dog on the day only wins about 22% of the time in this grade at Towcester, while the fastest dog in the field actually wins more often, at nearly 28%, so pace deserves the final say tonight. Policia and Salacres Elmejor share the fastest recorded time in this race. Policia arrives having recently dropped down to a much shorter sprint before returning to this conventional trip tonight, while Salacres Elmejor was only fifth last time out but at these exact conditions. Essex Abz, with just one run to her name and well beaten in it, is the outsider of the six.
Carries the best average performance figure in the field and shares the fastest recorded time with one rival. Her last run came at a much shorter sprint distance and a lower grade, so tonight marks a return to more conventional conditions, which adds a small element of uncertainty even though her underlying figures are the strongest on offer. An all-rounder who races evenly rather than relying on one gear. Trainer P B Philpott has the best strike rate of any handler in this race at 26%.
Shares the fastest recorded time in the field and, crucially, her last run came at these exact conditions, even though she could only manage fifth. An all-rounder with a consistent pace pattern. Trainer P H Harnden's overall record is modest. With proven current-conditions form to fall back on and a share of the fastest time on the card, she's a real player if the selection has an off night.
Won last time out, but at the grade below tonight's assignment, so there's a question over how that translates stepping back up. A closer who does her best work late. Trap 3 has been the weakest box in this grade. Trainer P H Harnden also saddles Salacres Elmejor in this field. The recent win is encouraging, but the step up and the poor draw temper the case.
Gets trap 4, the statistically best box in this grade, and her last run came at these exact conditions, albeit finishing only fifth. An all-rounder with a very consistent pace pattern. Trainer A Ioannou also saddles Dakota Gold in this field. Solid without a standout figure, but the favourable trap keeps her in the mix.
A fader with a very consistent pace pattern who goes fast early but tends to lose ground late. Her own suitability figure for this trap specifically is very poor, which is a concern given she's drawn there again tonight. Trainer A Ioannou also has Vinegarhill Luna in this field. Consistent but unremarkable figures make her hard to fancy strongly.
Has only one recorded run, a well-beaten sixth at the grade above, and her recorded time is far off the pace of the rest of this field. Suitability figures are entirely blank across the board. Trainer J J Gornall's overall record is modest. With so little to go on and a poor solitary effort on the board, she looks the obvious outsider.
Key insight: A6 is a genuinely tricky grade to predict - the top-rated dog only wins 22% here, but the fastest dog in the field wins nearly 28%, a meaningfully bigger edge, so recorded pace is the more reliable guide tonight.
T1:21.0% T2:20.1% T3:16.5% T4:21.5% T5:17.5% T6:18.3%
1,462 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Policia | 51 | 54 | All-Rounder |
2Salacres Elmejor | 51 | 47 | All-Rounder |
3Salacres May | 44 | 56 | Closer |
4Vinegarhill Luna | 49 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5Dakota Gold | 60 | 7 | Fader |
6Essex Abz | 41 | 17 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 500m | 590m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Policia | 0.612 | 0.602 | 0.630 |
| 2 | Salacres Elmejor | — | 0.606 | — |
| 3 | Salacres May | — | 0.608 | — |
| 4 | Vinegarhill Luna | 0.615 | 0.603 | — |
| 5 | Dakota Gold | — | 0.607 | — |
| 6 | Essex Abz | — | 0.610 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.