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Betway Stayers
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Frankton Ivyb 3y 16 | C Weatherall — 17% R98 W17 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 18 | 74 (5) | 92 (2) | 57 (4) | 100 (1) | 79 (5) | 88 (4) | 83 (2) | 85 (3) | 87 (3) | 53 (3) | 38 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 80 | 44 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Hekab 3y 16 | P Janssens — 25% R53 W13 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 71 | 52 | 87 (3) | 99 (2) | 100 (1) | 73 (5) | 83 (3) | 90 (2) | 92 (3) | 69 (4) | 82 (2) | 64 (2) | 56 | 49 | 37 | 31 | 87 | 54 | 2 | 11/10 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Tooreen Roseb 2y 26 | K R Hutton — 26% R117 W31 P65 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 72 | 84 | 76 (5) | 100 (1) | 60 (4) | 72 (4) | 100 (1) | 71 (5) | 100 (1) | 92 (2) | 53 (6) | 60 (5) | 34 | 51 | 38 | 51 | 79 | 54 | 1 | 1/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fabulous Rakiyab 2y 17 | L G Tuffin — 21% R261 W55 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 70 | 83 (4) | 87 (2) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 68 (5) | 75 (3) | 88 (2) | 67 (3) | 55 (5) | 80 (1) | 75 | 36 | 26 | 39 | 84 | 59 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Glencoe Queenb 3y 23 | H J Dimmock — 25% R195 W48 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 48 | 66 (4) | 98 (1) | 63 (5) | 97 (1) | 53 (3) | 79 (1) | 74 (1) | 48 (4) | 55 (4) | 76 (2) | - | 22 | 24 | 48 | 76 | 43 | 5 | 50/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Givemethemoneyd 3y 28 | H J Dimmock — 25% R195 W48 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 26 | 17 | 99 (1) | 75 (4) | 77 (4) | 39 (6) | 63 (5) | 100 (1) | 59 (3) | 58 (4) | 77 (1) | 49 (6) | 29 | - | 12 | - | 67 | 36 | 6 | 50/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Tooreen Rose | 42.71 | 43.28 | 43.47 | 72 | +0.76 | Won LTO, best trap+speed | |
| 2 | Fabulous Heka | 42.72 | 43.30 | 43.48 | 71 | +0.76 | Close second LTO | |
| 4 | Fabulous Rakiya | 43.22 | 43.54 | 43.85 | 53 | +0.63 | Best trap suitability | |
| 1 | Frankton Ivy | 43.33 | 43.73 | 43.91 | 47 | +0.58 | Steady but not top pace | |
| 5 | Glencoe Queen | 43.94 | 44.11 | 43.94 | 30 | 0.00 | Stepping up from S2 | |
| 6 | Givemethemoney | 43.99 | 44.09 | 44.18 | 26 | +0.19 | Weakest trap on record |
Towcester's marathon 712 metre trip turns this into a stamina test where every dog in the field is either a fader or a confirmed closer - nobody here is built to lead from box to line. Trap 3 has been a standout in this discipline, winning 32.6% of races from 46 runs, more than double the rate of trap 1 or trap 2, while trap 6 has been almost unwinnable at just 2.3%. Tooreen Rose gets that favoured trap 3 draw, is the fastest recorded time in the field, and won readily last time out at these exact conditions - about as strong a case as this analysis sees all day. Fabulous Heka chased her home into second and looks the obvious danger if anything goes wrong. Givemethemoney and Glencoe Queen, from trap 6 and trap 5 respectively, face the toughest draws on the card.
Won last time out over this exact course, distance and grade, and everything about her profile stacks up tonight. She carries the fastest recorded time in the field, her suitability figures for both track and distance are the strongest of anyone here, and she's drawn in trap 3, which has been a genuine outlier over this marathon trip, winning nearly a third of all races from 46 runs. A closer who saves her best for the finish, which suits a stamina test like this perfectly. Trainer K R Hutton is in good touch at 20%. About as complete a case as this race offers.
Chased the selection home into second last time out at these same conditions, a rating of 99 that's right at the top of her game, and carries the second-fastest recorded time in the field. A strong, consistent closer with solid suitability figures for trap and track. Trainer P Janssens has the best strike rate of anyone in this race at 26%. Trap 2 hasn't been quite as strong as trap 3 over this distance, but there's very little between these two on raw ability.
Carries a useful average performance figure and has the strongest trap suitability rating of anyone in this field, suggesting she's comfortable from this box specifically. Unlike most of this field she shows as a fader with strong early pace rather than a pure closer, which is an unusual profile for this stamina test and could see her prominent for longer than most before fading. Trap 4 has been a modest box over this trip. An interesting swing runner rather than a top-two threat.
A fair, workmanlike performer who has been running to a reasonably high standard without ever quite hitting the same peaks as the two market principals. A confirmed closer, as most of this field are, and trainer C Weatherall has a respectable 22% strike rate. Trap 1 has been a middling box over this distance. Nothing wrong with him, but he lacks the standout figure that separates the leading pair.
Won last time out but at a different, lower sub-grade over this same trip, so tonight's step into open company is untested. Her suitability figures for the trap itself are essentially blank and her recorded speed is well down on the pace of the principals. Trainer H J Dimmock, who also has Givemethemoney in this field, has the best strike rate of any handler at 28%, which offers some hope, but the draw in trap 5 has also been poor over this distance.
Carries the slowest recorded time in the race and drawn in trap 6, which has produced just a single winner from 43 runs over this marathon trip - about as clear a structural disadvantage as this analysis sees anywhere on the card. His suitability figures for track and distance are both blank. Trainer H J Dimmock has a strong overall record, but the combination of modest pace and the worst draw on offer make this a very hard case to back.
Key insight: Trap 3 is a genuine outlier at this marathon trip, winning 32.6% from 46 runs - by far the best box on the card, while trap 6 has produced just one winner from 43 attempts. The draw matters enormously over this distance.
T1:19.2% T2:14.9% T3:32.6% T4:16.3% T5:8.8% T6:2.3%
260 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 712m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Frankton Ivy | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Fabulous Heka | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Tooreen Rose | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Fabulous Rakiya | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Glencoe Queen | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Givemethemoney | 100 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 712m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (712m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 515m | 525m | 630m | 660m | 661m | 664m | 680m | 684m | 695m | 712m | 942m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Frankton Ivy | 0.605 | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | — | 0.626 | — | — | 0.614 | 0.623 |
| 2 | Fabulous Heka | — | — | — | — | 0.606 | — | 0.608 | — | — | 0.608 | 0.608 | — |
| 3 | Tooreen Rose | — | 0.600 | 0.554 | 0.605 | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | 0.609 | 0.608 | — |
| 4 | Fabulous Rakiya | 0.590 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.612 | — |
| 5 | Glencoe Queen | 0.597 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0.620 | — |
| 6 | Givemethemoney | 0.598 | — | — | — | 0.607 | 0.641 | — | — | — | — | 0.617 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.