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WATCH PGR ON GREYHOUNDS.ATTHERACES.COM
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mercia Uhtredd 3y 5 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 42 | 49 (5) | 71 (1) | 41 (6) | 56 (4) | 51 (4) | 48 (5) | 61 (2) | 45 (5) | 36 (1) | 47 (5) | 33 | 29 | 37 | 23 | 53 | 44 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Coalville Cloverb 2y 7 | S J Cull — 12% R109 W13 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 54 (3) | 66 (2) | 64 (2) | 34 (6) | 72 (1) | 51 (4) | 59 (2) | 63 (2) | 61 (3) | 60 (2) | 27 | 23 | 40 | 32 | 58 | 46 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Last Dance Hoffab 3y 7 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 57 | 60 (2) | 61 (2) | 40 (5) | 46 (5) | 45 (4) | 45 (6) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 45 (4) | 49 (5) | 32 | 28 | 48 | 34 | 53 | 50 | 1 | 9/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rockmount Juniord 4y 25 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 46 | 49 (4) | 52 (3) | 55 (3) | 61 (3) | 58 (3) | 56 (3) | 59 (4) | 71 (4) | 17 (3) | - | 26 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 54 | 42 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballinulty Casd 1yN/R 3 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 18 | 41 | 39 (3) | 21 (5) | 30 (4) | 41 (2) | 31 (5) | 24 (5) | 31 (1) | 32 (5) | 33 (5) | - | 18 | - | - | 9 | 35 | 23 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tea And Toastb 3y 17 | S A Aveline — 4% R68 W3 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 63 | 62 (2) | 58 (5) | 54 (4) | 57 (2) | 60 (2) | 55 (2) | 56 (4) | 53 (3) | 54 (5) | 67 (2) | 26 | 27 | 48 | 34 | 58 | 48 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercia Uhtred | 29.10 | 29.30 | — | 48 | — | ||
| 2 | Coalville Clover | 29.05 | 29.32 | — | 49 | — | ||
| 3 | Last Dance Hoffa | 29.10 | 29.40 | — | 53 | — | Model pick | |
| 4 | Rockmount Junior | 29.04 | 29.24 | — | 54 | — | ||
| 5 | Ballinulty Cas | 29.81 | 30.08 | — | 18 | — | Best trap | |
| 6 | Tea And Toast | 28.93 | 29.22 | — | 59 | — | Worst trap, fastest |
Dunstall Park's 480 metres has a short run into the first bend, and at A5 level the draw is relatively flat, though the stripes box has been the weakest performer at just over one in nine. The ratings here are a genuinely poor guide on their own — the top-rated dog wins under one in five — so this comes down to the clock. Tea And Toast is clearly the fastest in the field on recorded times and carries strong model backing, but she's drawn in the very trap that has performed worst at this grade and trip, which tempers the confidence in her considerably. Mercia Uhtred is the alternative with a fair draw and a strong finishing kick. Expect this one to stay competitive into the closing stages given how little separates the leading contenders on raw ability.
Finished 2nd last time out and has been reliably competitive, placing regularly through her recent starts. Comfortably the fastest in this field on the clock, both on her single best time and her overall speed rating, and a strong finisher who does her best work late. The catch is the draw — the stripes have been the weakest-performing box at this grade and trip, and her trainer's strike rate in these conditions is modest. On raw pace she's clearly the one to beat, but the poor trap is a genuine concern that caps how much conviction to have.
Finished 5th last time out, though her overall form has been fair through recent starts. A strong finisher who does her best work from off the pace, and her closing figures are among the best in this field. The red jacket is a fair, workable draw at this trip, a clear structural advantage over the pick. Several of the secondary rating models single her out as their preferred runner. If the pace leader is compromised by her poor draw, this is the type built to pick up the pieces.
Finished 3rd last time out at the grade below and steps up in company today. By far the slowest recorded speed of anyone in this field, a serious concern regardless of the draw. She does hold the best-performing trap at this trip, but that alone is unlikely to bridge such a wide gap on the clock. One of the rating models does single her out, which is worth a passing mention, but on the numbers presented she has the most to find of anyone here.
Placed last time out and form has been consistent through recent starts without a recent win. Fast early but tends to lose ground in the closing stages, and the model's own headline pick in this race. The white jacket is a fair, workable draw at this trip. A competitive type without the standout factor that the top two bring, but not one to dismiss lightly given the model support.
Finished 4th last time out and form has been steady without threatening to win recently. Holds the best average time of anyone in this field, a genuine point in her favour on the clock. A patient closer who does her best work late. The black jacket is a fair, workable draw. Competitive enough to feature at the finish, even without the outright speed of the pick.
Finished 3rd last time out and form has been mixed through recent starts, including a peak run in the mid-60s a couple of runs back. Fast early but tends to fade late. The blue jacket is a fair, workable draw at this trip. A fair each-way type without a standout factor to lean on.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins under one in five at this grade and trip, and today's clear speed leader is drawn in the weakest-performing trap — a genuine conflict between pace and structure that keeps confidence capped.
Trap 5 strongest at 18.8% in a fairly flat spread, trap 6 weakest at 11.3%
910 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mercia Uhtred | 52 | 77 | Closer |
2Coalville Clover | 60 | 23 | Fader |
3Last Dance Hoffa | 63 | 0 | Fader |
4Rockmount Junior | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Ballinulty Cas | 48 | 20 | All-Rounder |
6Tea And Toast | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | 500m | 645m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercia Uhtred | 0.604 | 0.610 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Coalville Clover | — | 0.611 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Last Dance Hoffa | — | 0.612 | — | — | — |
| 4 | Rockmount Junior | — | 0.609 | 0.614 | 0.644 | — |
| 6 | Tea And Toast | — | 0.609 | — | — | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.