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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Classy Goreyd 5y 27 | S A Aveline — 4% R68 W3 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 62 | 28 (5) | 44 (2) | 37 (5) | 53 (2) | 46 (3) | 55 (2) | 50 (3) | 38 (3) | 53 (2) | 39 (4) | 31 | 32 | 27 | 26 | 43 | 47 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Taffy Gwenllianb 2y 15 | M T Field — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 49 | 31 (6) | 28 (6) | 44 (5) | 48 (4) | 60 (1) | 45 (5) | 62 (4) | 50 (1) | 34 (2) | - | 13 | 27 | 32 | 23 | 42 | 43 | 2 | 18/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Darbyshill Divab 3y 7 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 41 (4) | 45 (3) | 37 (5) | 38 (3) | 32 (4) | 43 (2) | 31 (6) | 34 (6) | 32 (5) | 37 (6) | 12 | 23 | 20 | 11 | 38 | 39 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Rathsilla Vaderd 5y 16 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 32 | 40 (3) | 31 (5) | 37 (3) | 34 (4) | 33 (5) | 25 (6) | 32 (6) | 34 (4) | 41 (2) | 39 (3) | 13 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 30 | 6 | 50/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ballinulty Casd 1y 5 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 49 | 39 (3) | 21 (5) | 30 (4) | 41 (2) | 31 (5) | 24 (5) | 31 (1) | 32 (5) | 33 (5) | - | 18 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 38 | 5 | 11/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Swift Elmd 4y 14 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 51 | 39 (2) | 40 (3) | 56 (1) | 37 (4) | 44 (4) | 48 (2) | 39 (2) | 41 (4) | 55 (1) | 33 (5) | 37 | 35 | 43 | 37 | 43 | 47 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Classy Gorey | 29.17 | 29.71 | — | 60 | — | Best trap, model pick | |
| 2 | Taffy Gwenllian | 29.28 | 29.75 | — | 56 | — | ||
| 3 | Darbyshill Diva | 29.66 | 29.98 | — | 52 | — | Worst trap | |
| 4 | Rathsilla Vader | 30.00 | 30.21 | — | 38 | — | ||
| 5 | Ballinulty Cas | 29.81 | 30.08 | — | 47 | — | ||
| 6 | Swift Elm | 29.60 | 29.82 | — | 53 | — |
Dunstall Park's 480 metres has a short run to the first bend, and at A8 level the red jacket has been the standout box, winning a fifth of the time against just one in nine from the white jacket. Classy Gorey pulls together everything a punter wants to see here — she holds that best trap, is clear on speed rating over the rest of the field, and carries the single highest model probability of any pick across the whole card today. Taffy Gwenllian is next best on the clock from a workable draw. Expect Classy Gorey's sharp early pace to set the shape of this race from the inside.
Finished 5th last time out and the recent form has been modest, but that shouldn't obscure the strength of her case today — comfortably the fastest speed rating in this field, well clear of the rest. Fast early but tends to lose ground late, so she'll want to press on and make the most of her pace advantage before the finishers get organised. Drawn in the red jacket, the best-performing box at this course, trip and grade by a wide margin. Carries the single highest model probability of any selection across the entire card today, a genuinely rare level of confidence.
Finished last last time out and recent form has been modest, but she's the second-fastest in this field on the clock, not far behind the pick. A strong finisher who does her best work from off the pace. The blue jacket is a fair, workable draw at this trip. If the pick's early pace doesn't hold up all the way to the line, she's the type built to close down the gap late.
Finished 2nd last time out and holds the best average time of anyone in this field, a genuine point in her favour. A patient finisher who does her best work late. The stripes are a fair, workable draw at this trip. Competitive enough to feature at the finish, even without the outright speed of the top two.
Finished 4th last time out and form has been steady without threatening to win recently. A balanced runner who can race prominently or come from off the pace. The white jacket has been the weakest-performing draw at this course, trip and grade by some margin, a real structural knock against her. Competitive enough on the clock but the poor trap is working hard against her.
Finished 3rd last time out and form has been fair through recent starts. A balanced runner who races evenly through the contest. Her recorded times sit some way off the two pace leaders in this field. The orange jacket is a fair, workable draw. Competitive without the standout factor of the leading pair.
Finished 3rd last time out and form has been steady without threatening to win recently. The slowest speed rating of anyone in this field by some margin, a real concern against these quicker rivals. A patient closer by style. The black jacket is a fair, workable draw. On today's figures she has the most to find of anyone in this line-up.
Key insight: Speed rank one is the strongest single guide at this grade and trip, winning about one in four, and today's clock leader also holds the best-performing trap and the highest model confidence of the entire card.
Trap 1 strongest at 22.0%, trap 3 weakest at 11.1%
599 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Classy Gorey | 62 | 0 | Fader |
2Taffy Gwenllian | 50 | 65 | Closer |
3Darbyshill Diva | 52 | 35 | All-Rounder |
4Rathsilla Vader | 28 | 100 | Closer |
5Ballinulty Cas | 49 | 39 | All-Rounder |
6Swift Elm | 50 | 61 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Classy Gorey | — | 0.619 |
| 2 | Taffy Gwenllian | — | 0.620 |
| 3 | Darbyshill Diva | — | 0.625 |
| 4 | Rathsilla Vader | — | 0.629 |
| 5 | Ballinulty Cas | 0.620 | 0.627 |
| 6 | Swift Elm | — | 0.621 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.