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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Canya Yesicanb 2y 15 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 40 | 76 (1) | 31 (6) | 54 (6) | 38 (1) | 36 (1) | 28 (3) | 27 (3) | 32 (2) | 28 (2) | 29 (3) | 38 | 34 | 21 | 33 | 55 | 41 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lynnia St Davidd 3y 14 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 47 (6) | 34 (2) | 77 (1) | 52 (5) | 39 (6) | 54 (5) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 53 (4) | 58 (4) | 30 | 40 | 43 | 31 | 58 | 46 | 1 | 15/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Zip Awayb 3y 5 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 41 | 54 (2) | 52 (4) | 61 (3) | 51 (5) | 51 (5) | 77 (1) | 61 (3) | 59 (4) | 68 (3) | 77 (1) | 34 | 36 | 50 | 29 | 58 | 49 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Darbys Harlieb 3y 7 | S A Aveline — 4% R68 W3 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 65 (3) | 42 (4) | 46 (6) | 45 (6) | 61 (4) | 57 (2) | 67 (2) | 46 (5) | 41 (6) | 73 (3) | 33 | 30 | - | 17 | 54 | 46 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Final Furlongd 1y 18 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 72 (1) | 65 (1) | 60 (1) | 72 (3) | 57 (4) | 56 (5) | 73 (5) | 67 (2) | 28 (3) | - | 36 | 48 | - | 70 | 66 | 53 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Noduff Golfd 2y 5 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 35 | 57 (4) | 61 (2) | 71 (1) | 67 (1) | 37 (6) | 37 (6) | 37 (5) | 39 (6) | 57 (3) | 44 (5) | 36 | 46 | 26 | 37 | 54 | 49 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canya Yesican | 29.06 | 29.90 | — | 39 | — | ||
| 2 | Lynnia St David | 28.85 | 29.21 | — | 53 | — | Model pick | |
| 3 | Zip Away | 28.82 | 29.06 | — | 54 | — | Best trap, fastest | |
| 4 | Darbys Harlie | 28.87 | 29.35 | — | 52 | — | ||
| 5 | Final Furlong | 29.02 | 29.35 | — | 51 | — | ||
| 6 | Noduff Golf | 29.05 | 29.34 | — | 48 | — | Worst trap |
Dunstall Park's 480 metres has a short run to the first bend, and at A4 level the white jacket has been the stand-out draw, winning almost a quarter of races against under one in seven from the stripes. Zip Away brings that trap advantage together with the fastest speed rating and the best class suitability figures in the field. Final Furlong won last time out and boasts a huge distance suitability figure, giving her claims of her own if she can find restraint she doesn't always show. Lynnia St David is the rare front runner in this field and carries the widest individual model support. Expect the fast starters to duel for the lead early, with the finishers looking to pick up the pieces.
Placed 2nd last time out and form has been consistent through her recent starts. Holds the fastest speed rating and the outright quickest individual time of anyone in this field. A patient closer with the best class suitability figures in this race too. Drawn in the white jacket, comfortably the best-performing box at this course, trip and grade over a large sample. Best trap, fastest on the clock, and strongest suitability — a complete stacking case in a field where the ratings alone are a weak guide.
Won last time out, albeit at the grade below, and carries the highest average performance figure of anyone in this field. Her distance suitability figure is exceptional, among the best recorded in this dataset, showing real affinity for this trip. Extremely fast away but has a tendency to fade hard in the closing stages, and her closing figures confirm that pattern clearly. The orange jacket is a fair, workable draw. If she can find restraint and not burn out too early, that class edge makes her the biggest threat to the selection.
Finished last last time out at the grade above, so there's a class drop working in her favour today. Genuinely rare in this field as a front runner who likes to lead from the gate, which could set the shape of the race. Carries the widest individual model support of anyone here. The blue jacket has been one of the weaker draws at this trip, though, tempering the enthusiasm somewhat. If she gets an uncontested lead, she's dangerous, but the draw works against her holding it.
Finished 3rd last time out and form has been steady through her recent starts. Fast early but tends to lose ground late, and her closing figures confirm that pattern. Her trainer's strike rate in these conditions is modest, one mark against her. The black jacket is a fair, workable draw. Competitive enough to feature but without the standout edge of the leading pair.
Finished 4th last time out and form has been mixed through recent starts, including a peak run in the low 70s a couple of runs back. A patient closer who does her best work from off the pace. The stripes have been the weakest-performing draw at this course, trip and grade, a real structural knock. Capable on her day, but the poor draw is working hard against her.
Won last time out and form has been reasonable through recent starts. The slowest speed rating of anyone in this field, though, a real concern regardless of the recent win. A patient closer by style. The red jacket is a fair, workable draw. The recent win offers some encouragement, but the pace figures leave plenty to find against this calibre of opposition.
Key insight: The top-rated dog wins only around one in six at this grade and trip, so when a runner combines the best trap with the fastest recorded speed, that stacking is the strongest signal on offer.
Trap 3 strongest at 22.7%, trap 6 weakest at 14.4%
1,002 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Canya Yesican | 43 | 55 | Closer |
2Lynnia St David | 57 | 45 | Front Runner |
3Zip Away | 16 | 100 | Closer |
4Darbys Harlie | 63 | 0 | Fader |
5Final Furlong | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Noduff Golf | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 275m | 305m | 450m | 480m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canya Yesican | 0.607 | — | 0.613 | — | 0.623 | — |
| 2 | Lynnia St David | 0.599 | — | — | — | 0.609 | — |
| 3 | Zip Away | — | — | — | — | 0.605 | 0.620 |
| 4 | Darbys Harlie | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | — |
| 5 | Final Furlong | 0.607 | 0.653 | — | 0.628 | 0.612 | — |
| 6 | Noduff Golf | — | — | — | — | 0.611 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.