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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Blazeaway Bruvasb 3y 7 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 35 (1) | 32 (1) | 21 (5) | 33 (2) | 31 (2) | 26 (4) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 25 (5) | 28 (3) | 37 | 34 | 24 | 40 | 30 | 33 | 3 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Miss Tibbsb 3y 45 | P Meek — 19% R83 W16 P38 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 49 (5) | 55 (4) | 60 (3) | 53 (5) | 70 (4) | 68 (2) | 77 (4) | 57 (5) | 68 (4) | 46 (5) | 33 | 26 | 10 | 14 | 59 | 12 | 5 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Veind 1y 5 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 36 (1) | 26 (4) | 34 (1) | 25 (4) | 13 (6) | 29 (2) | 20 (6) | - | - | - | 22 | 31 | 31 | 36 | 28 | 28 | 1 | 6/5F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Sonnyd 3y 5 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 25 (4) | 19 (6) | 30 (2) | 23 (5) | 24 (6) | 26 (5) | 36 (1) | 20 (5) | 36 (1) | 18 (6) | 34 | 30 | 25 | 21 | 25 | 27 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Crokers Taylord 1y 5 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 29 (3) | 35 (1) | 26 (4) | 31 (3) | 31 (4) | 29 (5) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 20 (6) | - | 18 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Headford Wizardd 3y 6 | S J Cull — 12% R109 W13 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 31 (1) | 18 (6) | 21 (4) | 23 (4) | 24 (2) | 26 (3) | 26 (2) | 23 (6) | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 27 | 16 | 7 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 6 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blazeaway Bruvas | 16.37 | 16.50 | 16.30 | 52 | -0.07 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Miss Tibbs | No 270m form — all previous runs over 480m. Times not comparable. | — | No 270m form | ||||
| 3 | Swift Vein | 16.35 | 16.71 | 16.36 | 50 | +0.01 | ||
| 4 | Magical Sonny | 16.29 | 16.60 | — | 48 | — | Worst trap | |
| 5 | Crokers Taylor | 16.47 | 16.57 | — | 48 | — | ||
| 6 | Headford Wizard | 16.44 | 16.71 | — | 47 | — | ||
Dunstall Park's 270 metres sprint rewards early pace and a clean run into the first bend, and at D3 level the blue jacket has been the standout box, winning almost a quarter of the time against barely one in six from the black jacket. Blazeaway Bruvas won last time out and carries the fastest recorded speed of anyone with proven sprint form here, and the model ratings are unanimous behind him. Miss Tibbs arrives from a completely different type of race — a much longer trip in tougher company — and there's no sprint form to judge her on at all. Expect the fast-starters to fight for the first bend, with whoever gets there cleanest holding a big advantage over this minimum trip.
Won last time out and the form has been trending the right way, a clear improvement over his previous starts. Holds the fastest speed rating and the best average time of anyone in this field with proven sprint form, which at this trip is exactly the profile you want. The red jacket is a fair draw here — not the standout box, but close enough to give him first run into the bend. Every major rating model in this dataset lines up behind him, a rare level of agreement in a competitive sprint.
Also won last time out, just over two weeks ago, and backs that up with the single fastest recorded time of anyone in this field. Consistent form through her recent starts without a bad run in the mix. The white jacket is a fair draw at this trip. With a similar profile to the selection — recent winning form and a share of the fastest times recorded — she's the obvious danger if the top selection doesn't have things his own way into the first bend.
Dropping sharply in class and distance today — her recent form has all come at 480 metres in much stronger company, and there is no sprint form whatsoever to judge her on over this minimum trip. Her average performance figure is the highest of anyone in this field, but that was built running against far tougher opposition over almost double the distance, so it tells us little about how she'll handle a flat-out sprint. The blue jacket has actually been the best-performing draw at this trip, which offers some encouragement. Either the class drop and inherent ability carry her through, or the unfamiliar minimum trip catches her out — the market is the best guide.
Finished 4th last time out and form has been steady if unremarkable in recent starts. Actually holds a share of the fastest recorded time in this field, which is a point in her favour. The black jacket has been the weakest-performing draw at this trip by some margin, which works against her getting the clean run she'd need. A fair each-way type but the draw is a real obstacle.
Finished 3rd last time out and her form has been consistent without threatening to win recently. A patient closer who does her best work from off the pace, which could suit if the pace up front is genuinely fast and the leaders weaken. The orange jacket is a reasonable draw at this trip. Not among the pace standouts but a solid, honest type who'll be there at the finish if things fall right.
Won last time out, though that was a grade below this level, and today represents a step up. The slowest speed rating of anyone with proven sprint form in this field. The stripes are a fair draw at this trip. The recent win is a point in her favour, but the step up in company against quicker-rated rivals looks a stiff enough ask.
Key insight: A large sample shows the blue jacket clearly outperforms the rest of the field at this trip and grade, while speed rank one narrowly edges the top-rated dog as the more reliable guide.
Trap 2 strongest at 23.0%, trap 4 weakest at 15.6%
1,422 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 275m | 450m | 476m | 480m | 483m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Blazeaway Bruvas | 0.611 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2 | Miss Tibbs | — | 0.629 | 0.629 | 0.619 | 0.604 | 0.625 |
| 3 | Swift Vein | 0.619 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Magical Sonny | 0.615 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Crokers Taylor | 0.614 | — | — | — | 0.627 | — |
| 6 | Headford Wizard | 0.619 | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.