| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Strictly Roseyb 3y 16 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 19 (6) | 41 (6) | 46 (5) | 56 (4) | 38 (6) | 60 (4) | 50 (6) | 81 (1) | 48 (4) | 63 (4) | 10 | 19 | - | - | 19 | 10 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Flyhigh Sophieb 4y 15 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 32 (1) | 16 (5) | 27 (3) | 60 (1) | 43 (4) | 49 (4) | 38 (6) | 57 (2) | 56 (2) | 48 (4) | 40 | 21 | 13 | 27 | 25 | 22 | 1 | 3/1JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Huntb 3y 5 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 24 (4) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 31 (2) | 27 (4) | 36 (1) | 24 (5) | - | 39 | 28 | 13 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Shortwood Modelb 2y 6 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 32 (2) | 26 (4) | 22 (5) | 35 (1) | 33 (1) | 30 (1) | 27 (2) | 28 (4) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 54 | 46 | 31 | 46 | 29 | 35 | 2 | 3/1JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Easy Magico b 4y 43 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 61 (2) | 58 (4) | 72 (1) | 65 (2) | 48 (4) | 65 (4) | 64 (2) | 55 (2) | 49 (3) | - | 21 | 34 | 30 | 15 | 61 | 14 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Kerrylane Kingd 2y 27 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 26 (3) | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 20 (5) | 27 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (5) | 21 (6) | 23 (5) | 29 (2) | 19 | 19 | 24 | 10 | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10/3 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strictly Rosey | 16.75 | 16.75 | — | 41 | — | ||
| 2 | Flyhigh Sophie | 16.38 | 16.64 | 16.32 | 54 | -0.06 | Best trap, model pick | |
| 3 | Swift Hunt | 16.41 | 16.59 | — | 50 | — | ||
| 4 | Shortwood Model | 16.45 | 16.60 | — | 52 | — | Worst trap | |
| 5 | Easy Magico | No 270m form — all previous runs over 480m. Times not comparable. | — | No 270m form | ||||
| 6 | Kerrylane King | 16.54 | 16.64 | — | 49 | — | ||
Dunstall Park's 270 metres rewards early pace and a clean run to the first bend, and at D3 level the blue jacket has been the standout box, winning almost a quarter of the time against under one in six from the black jacket. Flyhigh Sophie brings the blue jacket and the fastest speed rating in this field together, and the model's top selection agrees with her too. Shortwood Model counters with the strongest all-round suitability figures in the race, if from the weaker draw. Easy Magico arrives off a much longer trip in tougher company with no sprint form recorded, a genuine unknown at the minimum distance. Expect a flat-out dash into the first bend that settles much of this race early.
Won last time out at the grade below and steps up in company today, but does so with the fastest speed rating in this field and the outright quickest individual time recorded. A balanced runner who races evenly, which suits the minimum trip well. Drawn in the blue jacket, comfortably the best-performing box at this course, trip and grade over a large sample of races. The model's own top selection agrees with her too. Best trap, fastest on the clock, and a recent win — a clean stacking case.
Placed last time out and carries the highest average performance figure of anyone in this field, built on a strong and consistent recent record. Her suitability figures for this course, trip and class are also the best in the race by some distance. Close behind the pick on the clock too. The concern is the draw — the black jacket has been the weakest-performing box at this trip. Several secondary rating models single her out as the one to beat, and with those suitability figures she's a real threat if the draw doesn't cost her.
Drops sharply in distance today after all her recent form came at 480 metres in stronger company, and there is no sprint form whatsoever to judge her on at this minimum trip. Her average performance figure is actually the highest in this field, but that was built over almost double the distance against tougher opposition, so it's not a like-for-like comparison. Fast early but tends to fade, a pace profile that may or may not translate to the sharper test. The orange jacket is a fair draw. Either the class in hand tells, or the unfamiliar minimum trip catches her out — a genuine leap into the unknown.
Finished 4th last time out and form has been steady without threatening to win recently. Holds the best average time of anyone in this field, a genuine point in her favour. The white jacket is a fair, workable draw at this trip. Competitive on the clock without the standout structural edge the leading pair bring.
Finished 3rd last time out over a month ago, so there's a slight freshness question after the layoff. Form before that has been fair without threatening to win. The stripes are a fair, workable draw at this trip. Competitive enough to feature but without a standout factor in her favour against sharper rivals.
Finished last last time out and form has been modest through recent starts. The slowest recorded times of anyone in this field, a real concern at a trip where the clock carries so much weight. The red jacket is a fair, workable draw. A patient closer by style, but she'll need plenty to go right to trouble the pace-setters here.
Key insight: A large sample shows the blue jacket clearly outperforms the rest of the field at this trip and grade, and today's fastest dog on the clock is drawn right in that box.
Trap 2 strongest at 23.0%, trap 4 weakest at 15.6%
1,422 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Strictly Rosey | 0.620 | 0.610 |
| 2 | Flyhigh Sophie | 0.616 | 0.617 |
| 3 | Swift Hunt | 0.614 | — |
| 4 | Shortwood Model | 0.615 | — |
| 5 | Easy Magico | — | 0.609 |
| 6 | Kerrylane King | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.